Wednesday, June 24, 2020

CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2)


 

COVID

articles authored by

Dr. T. Rama Prasad

and published in MEDICAL JOURNALS,   making a WORLD RECORD

 

1.      Rama Prasad. T.,  Origin of COVID.  The Antiseptic, 2022 August;  Vol. 119; No. 8 Indexed in IndMED – www.antiseptic.in

2.      Rama Prasad. T., COVID Deaths.  The Antiseptic, 2022 July; Vol. 119; No. 7; P: 14-22; Indexed in IndMED – www.antiseptic.in

3.      Rama Prasad. T., The long and the short of COVID in India.  The Antiseptic, 2022 June; Vol. 119; No. 6; P: 14-27; Indexed in IndMED – www.antiseptic.in

4.      Rama Prasad. T., COVID Fear and Paranoia.  The Antiseptic, 2022 May; Vol. 119; No. 5; P: 09-17; Indexed in IndMED – www.antiseptic.in

5.      Rama Prasad, T.,  Post-OMICRON Peregrination.  The Antiseptic, 2022 April;  Vol. 119;  No. 4;  P: 06-14;  Indexed in IndMED – www.antiseptic.in

6.      Rama Prasad, T.,  COVID – still an enigma.  The Antiseptic, 2022 March;  Vol. 119;  No. 3;  P: 20-25;  Indexed in IndMED --  www.antiseptic.in

7.      Rama Prasad, T.,  OMICRON – A Paper Tiger.  The Antiseptic, 2022 February;  Vol. 119;  No. 2; P:12-21;  Indexed in IndMED – www.antiseptic.in

8.      Rama Prasad, T.,  Ominous Omicron of COVID.  The Antiseptic, 2022  January;  Vol. 119;  No. 1; P:25 – 29;  Indexed in IndMED –   www.antiseptic.in

9.      Rama Prasad, T.,  COVID and Tuberculosis.  The Antiseptic, 2021  December;  Vol. 118; No.12; P: 11-17;  Indexed in IndMED --  www.antiseptic.in

10.   Rama Prasad, T.  The Science and Nonsense around COVID.   The Antiseptic,  2021 November;  Vol. 118;  No. 11;  P: 8-14;  Indexed in IndMED --  www.antiseptic.in

11.   Rama Prasad, T.  COVID, Children and Schools.  The Antiseptic.  2021  October;  Vol.118;  No.10; P: 08-18;  Indexed in IndMED --  www.antiseptic.in

12.   Rama Prasad, T.  India’s Third COVID Wave.  The Antiseptic.  2021 September;  Vol.118;  No.9; P: 14-20;  Indexed in IndMED – www.antiseptic.in

13.   Rama Prasad, T.  Vagaries of India’s COVID Vaccination Policy.  The Antiseptic.  2021 August;  Vol.118; No.8; P: 10-16; Indexed in IndMED – www.antiseptic.in

14.   Rama Prasad, T.  Mucormycosis and  COVID-19 in India.  The Antiseptic.  2021  July;  Vol.118; No.7; P: 21-26; Indexed in IndMED --  www.antiseptic.in

15.   Rama Prasad, T.  Disastrous Second COVID Wave in India.  The Antiseptic.  2021  June; Vol.118; No.6; P: 20-27; Indexed in IndMED – www.antiseptic.in

16.   Rama Prasad, T.  COVID Variants.  The Antiseptic.  2021  May; Vol.118; No.5; P: 11-14; Indexed in IndMED -- www.theantiseptic.in

17.   Rama Prasad, T.  Covishield or Covaxin ?  The Antiseptic.  2021  April; Vol. 118; No. 4; P: 12-16;  Indexed in IndMED – www.theantiseptic.in

18.   Rama Prasad, T.,  Versha Rajeev.  The Conundrum of COVID-19 Vaccines.  The Antiseptic.  2021  January;  Vol.118; No.1; P: 10-17;  Indexed in IndMED – www.theantiseptic.in

19.   Rama Prasad, T.  40+15 Hypoxia Test in COVID-19.  The Antiseptic.  2020 December;  Vol. 117; No. 12; P: 13-17;  Indexed in IndMED – www.antiseptic.in

20.   Rama Prasad, T.,  Versha Rajeev.  Antiseptics, Disinfectants and COVID-19.  The Antiseptic.  2020 November;  Vol.117; No.11;  P: 26-28;  Indexed in IndMED – www.antiseptic.in

21.   Versha Rajeev., Rama Prasad, T.  Fear and COVID.  Health.  2020 November;  Vol.98;  No.11; P:31-32

22.   Rama Prasad, T., Versha Rajeev.  Tea and COVID. Health.  2020 October;  Vol.98; No.10; P: 4-6.

23.   Rama Prasad, T.  Is the “Lockdown Medicine” too toxic ?  The Antiseptic.  2020  October; Vol. 117; No. 10; P: 13-15;  Indexed in IndMED – www.theantiseptic.in

 

The articles may be accessed at IndMED – www.antiseptic.in







A  brief  introduction

 

In the words of Prof C H Sivaraman, FRCP (London):

 

 “ ... Dr. T. Rama Prasad belongs to a distinctly different and unconventional species of doctors. He speaks sparingly and does not even display his qualifications or merits, but his innumerable published writings (he calls them ‘scribblings’ though they are ‘pearls of wisdom and knowledge’, sprinkled with a bit of humour and sarcasm) which received wide acclaim talk eloquently for him. The ‘PAY WHAT YOU CAN’ Clinic where services are available for which one may pay whatever one can is a facility run by Dr. Prasad for a very long time which could be a world record. Dr. Prasad is called a “god” by his patients, and many of them named their children after his name “Prasad” -- that is the height of recognition of goodness of a human being... ”

 

This is not an ad,  it’s about an odd service.

 

GREETINGS  from

‘PAY  WHAT  YOU  CAN’   Clinic

“Thena  thyakthena  bhoojithaha”– Ishopanishad

   ( Translated by  Prof. B.M. Hegde  as: “Rejoice  in  giving.”)

          True to this quote, I have been rejoicing at what little I could give.  Defying stereotypes, this clinic has been in existence for a very long time, sans glitz, blitz, ads, microphones, speeches and noise.  As a matter of my policy, publicity is shunned.  The reason is simple.  Good work needs no noise and nonsense.  My ‘SCRIBBLINGS’ on related topics may be accessed at:  http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com  or www.rama-scribbles.in


  


My consultation fee is not decided by me.  It is the patient’s pleasure. The patient may pay (donate) whatever he can and what he wishes.  If one is short of money, he or she need not pay anything.  And the money thus received is used for charity to help the needy, the poor and the less fortunate.  If interested to know more about this facility, go to:  http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2017/06/pay-what-you-can-clinic.html

 

          "We need not run after money.  If we are meritorious and compassionate, money would run after us, and it eludes us if we run after it.”      --  T. Rama Prasad

 

            “Richness is not having lots of money.  It is the feeling that one has enough of it.   Contentment sans comparison is what makes one really rich.”     --  T. Rama Prasad.

Dr. T. Rama Prasad, Director, ‘PAY  WHAT  YOU  CAN’  ClinicPERUNDURAI,   Erode Dt., TN, India.    Former Medical Superintendent (Special),  RTS & IRT Perundurai Medical College and Research Centre,  PerunduraiWebsite: www.rama-scribbles.in Blog: https://drtramaprasad.blogspot.comEmail:drtramaprasad@gmail.comFacebook: T Rama PrasadTwitter: @DrRamaprasadtWhatsApp: +91 98427 20393

                           


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AUTHOR   Dr. T. Rama Prasad

 

 

A  short list of some of the published articles in The Antiseptic (a premier Medical & surgical journal), 

  ‘The Hindu’ (a national Newspaper), etc. authored by Dr. T. Rama Prasad.


  1.     Digital clubbing and Hypertrophic Pulmonary Osteoarthropathy -  
          Pathogenesis --  The  Antiseptic,  Vol. 76.  pp.  213-215,  1979

  2.     Childhood Tuberculosis - Part I --   The Antiseptic, Vol. 76, pp. 449-504,1979

  3.     Childhood Tuberculosis - Part II --  The Antiseptic, Vol. 76.  pp. 567-574, 1979

  4.     Stevens-Johnson Syndrome and Thioacetazone --  The Antiseptic,  Vol. 77,   pp.  99-102, 1980

  5.     Highly Purified Insulins  -  An Assessment --  The Antiseptic,  Vol. 77,  pp. 3455-347, 1980

  6.     Is the "Lockdown Medicine" too toxic ?  --  The Antiseptic,  Vol.117,  No.10,  pp. 13 - 15, 2020

  7.     Antiseptics, Disinfectants and COVID-19 --  The Antiseptic,  Vol.117,  No.11,  pp. 26 - 28,  2020

  8.     Disastrous Second Covid Wave in India --  The Antiseptic,  Vol.118,  No. 6,  pp. 20-27,  2021

  9.     Covid Variants --  The Antiseptic,  Vol. 118,  No.5,  pp. 11-14,  2021 

 10.    The Conundrum of COVID-19 Vaccines  --  The Antiseptic,  Vol.118,  No. 1,  pp. 10-17,  2021

 11.    Covishield or Covaxin ?  --  The Antiseptic,  Vol.118,  No. 4,  pp. 12-16,  2021

 12.    40+15 Hypoxia Test in COVID-19  --  The Antiseptic,  Vol. 117, No.12,  pp. 13-17,  2020

 13.    Mucormycosis and COVID-19 in India  --  The Antiseptic,  Vol. 118,  No. 7,  pp. 21-26,  2021

 14.    Vagaries of India’s Covid Vaccination Policy – The Antiseptic,  Vol. 118,  No. 8, pp. 10-16,  2021 

 15.    India’s Third Covid Wave  --  The Antiseptic,  Vol. 118,  No. 9,  pp. 14-20,  2021 

 16.   Covid, Children and Schools  --  The Antiseptic,  Vol. 118,  No. 10,  pp. 08-18,  2021

 17.   The Science and Nonsense around COVID  -- The Antiseptic,  Vol.118,  No.11, pp. 08-14, 2021

 18.   Covid and Tuberculosis – The Antiseptic, Vol.118,  No.12,  2021

 19.   Tea and Covid  --  Health,  Vol. 98,  No.10,   pp. 4-6,  2021

 20.   Fear and Covid  --  Health,  Vol. 98,  No. 11,  pp. 31-32

 

 21.    HEALTH  CHECK-UP:  how healthy is it ?  -  The Hindu, Open Page, January 15, 2012 – 

          https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/open-page/Health-check-up-how-healthy-is-it/article13379235.ece

 22.    THE ‘GOOGLE EFFECT’:  may be good, may be bad  -  The Hindu, Open Page, April 22, 2012

          https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/open-page/the-google-effect-may-be-good-may-be-  bad/article3340116.ece   

23.     OF  TEA,  COFFEE  and  COMMERCE  -  The Hindu,  Open Page,  January 12, 2014  …

          https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/open-page/of-tea-coffee-and-commerce/article5567951.ece

24.     A  BAD  PATCH  - The Hindu, Open Page,  March 15, 2020 ... 

          https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/open-page/a-bad-patch/article31069356.ece

 

25.     Yellow Nail Syndrome - Chest (U.S.A.), Vol. 77,  p.580, 1980 

          https://journal.chestnet.org/article/S0012-3692(16)40458-7/fulltext

26.     Yellow Nail Syndrome - The Indian Journal of Chest Diseases & Allied Sciences, Vol. 22,  pp. 69-72,  1980.

27.     Drug Resistance in Tuberculosis  -  Journal of the Indian Medical Association,  Vol.  64, pp. 264-267,  1975.

 

 

References to more articles by Dr. T. Rama Prasad may be found in:  http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com

                                                                                             www.rama-scribbles.in

 

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Dear Dr. Rama Prasad

                                              I   am sure  the  world  will  be a better place,   if  people  understand  your  writings  ...  ‘EXCELLENT’  is the word.                                I cannot  find any other  word  in  this  language to  describe what  you  have  written  without  any  pretensions.  You have brought out some home truths to those who care to read your website  ...  You are a great thinker, writer and crusader ...  As usual, your messages are incisive, to the point and make lots of sense, much better than my articles …

 

  ...  You  are  not  only  GREAT,  but  are  a  true  missionary  in  medicine.  May your tribe increase for the good of mankind.  ….          

Love,

    -- Padma Bhushan  Prof. B. M. Hegde (awarded Padma Vibhushan in 2021)

 

MD, FRCP (Lond), FRCP (Edin), FRCP (Glas), FRCP (Dub), FACC (USA), FAMS,  Former Professor of Cardiology, Middlesex Hospital Medical School,  University of London, UK,  Former Vice-Chancellor, Manipal University, India, Affiliate Professor of Human Health, Northern Colorado University, USA,   Editor-in-Chief, The Journal of the Science of Healing Outcomes,  Chairman, State Health Society’s Expert Committee, Govt of Bihar, India  and  Padma Bhushan  awardee  of  2010.  www.bmhegde.com

 

 

 

CLICK ON THE HEADINGS BELOW TO ACCESS THE “SCRIBBLINGS”

·   ABOUT ME and MY SCRIBBLINGS  (2)  'PAY WHAT YOU CAN' Clinic

·   MY LOVE STORY & good old days  (4)  BETTER HALF  (4)  SHIVA, KRISHNA, Ramanuja & Ramanujan  (5)  MOTHER-IN-LAW  (6)  YOU ARE NOT OLD  (7)  MODERN MEDICINE -- the Good, the Bad and th...  (8)  Dr. Peon, PhD  (9)  MEDICAL CONFERENCES & Clinical meetings  (10)  RUN ON MONEY  (11)  MEDICINE IN RURAL INDIA  (12)  RURAL ARE THE REAL  (13)  INTERNET EFFECT  (14)  MARKETING TRICKS & INNOVATIONS  (15)  INCREDIBLE INDIA !  (16)  SCHOOL EDUCATION  (17)  DEVALUED DEGREES  (18)  TEA, COFFEE and COMMERCE  (19)   SEX. and MARRIAGE  (20)  THE CHANGING WORLD  (21)  RAPE  (22)  SEXUAL HARASSMENT  (23)  DRESS SENSE  (24)  OPEN AIR DEFECATION  (25)  ONAM 2017  (26)  TEST-TUBE BABIES and TERMINATION BABIES  (27)  TEST-TUBE PUPPIES  (28)  ASTHMA, ALLERGY & COPD  (29)  GIRL CHILD : GOLDEN CHILD  (30)  MY REAL AWARDS  (31)  TREES and PLANTS  (32)  PERUNDURAI MEDICAL COLLEGE & SANATORIUM campus  (33)  SOPHISTICATED CHEATING  (34)  NIPAH & ZIKA viruses  (35)  SWINE FLU -- A (H1 N1) influenza  (36)  INDIAN SUPERBUG  (37)  HCQ, IVERMECTIN, CORONAVIRUS and FRAUDS  (38)  YOGA  (39)  CORONA and CHARLES DARWIN  (40)  GOD, RELIGION & UNIVERSE  (41)  LOCKDOWN MEDICINE  (42)  CODUP  (43)  GOD-MEN  (44)  DOGS  (45)  CANCER  (46)  SMILE and STRESS  (47)  CIVIC SENSE & MANNERS  (48)  MY ART  (49)  TUBERCULOSIS in India  (50)  DIABETES  (51)  FOOLED TO BELIEVE  (52)  DENGUE, ZIKA and MOSQUITO  (53)  COMPLEXION  (54)  BAHUBALI  (55)  VINAYAKA chathurdhi 2017  (56)  SUNDAY LUNCH ... Dec 3, 2017  (57)  ABDUL KALAM  (58)  BIRDS and DRUGS  (59)  YELLOW NAIL SYNDROME  (60)  RICHNESS and HAPPINESS  (61)  FISHES  (62)  KMCH  (63)  MY 'SCRIBBLES' IN NEWSPAPERS  (64)  To live in INDIA or ABROAD ?  (65)  SILENT, ISOLATED and INSULATED  (66)  PONGAL FESTIVAL  (67)  SPB  (68)  CESAREAN DELIVERY  (69)  POLLUTION, Disease and Deepaavali  (70)  HAPPY 2018  (71)  BRINGING UP CHILDREN  (72)  SINGAPORE  (73)  STAFF & STUDENTS. -- photos  (74)  "AHIMSA"  (75)  GRADUATION DAY -- 2018, Perundurai Medical Col...  (76)  PERUNDURAI is the GEM  (77)  WORLD CANCER DAY ..February 4, 2017  (78)  INDIAN ENGLISH  (79)  FOOD, EXERCISE and SLEEP  (80)  Nurses Day 2017  (81)  DEEPAAVALI  (82)  PUTHAANDU -- Tamil New Year Day - 2018 & 2017  (83)  COMPUTER. ILLITERATE  (84)  SMILE and LAUGHTER  (85)  REMOTE ANCESTORS  (86)  ODD things ... wow, whacky & weird !  (87)  FACEBOOK 'scribbles'  (88)  HANDWRITING  (89)  MY QUOTES


The following is the comment  written by the internationally renowned scholar, Pritam Bhattacharyya (Editor-at-Large of Pentasect and Founder and Chief of Wordsmith at Wordsmith Communication,  Chairman of Freelance Foundation,  )  on the blog article on Coronavirus and COVID-19

(1) https://wordsmithofbengal.wordpress.com/2012/01/16/health-un-heath-and-fear-of-un-health/

 (2)  https://wordsmithofbengal.wordpress.com/2012/04/23/google-effect-and-kali-yuga-prophecies/  

                        wordsmithApril 12, 2020 at 10:42 PM

 

                        “One of the best articles I have read on this theme and having balance, measure and proportion. Miss Corona in hindsight is really kind and benign in a sense - Nature has rolled a dice with fatality of 2-3%. She is under no obligation not to roll a dice of fatality 40,50,60% with Ms. Corona being "size zero" and "air-borne". Consider what would have happened ? 

                        

                        Dr. Prasad is one of the few doctors whom I know who fall into the rare category of "healers". A healer knows the art, science and commerce of healing, i.e. allowing the innate immunity of the body to manifest itself. 

                        

                        One should be very careful and critical about three things in the world : Big Pharma, Big Government, Big Science. In the proverbial Kali-Yuga, all three converge with overlapped agendas and sometimes not with the best interest in mind of the end users : patients, citizens, learners. 

                        

                        Finally, this pandemic will also pass. The system will come to a new equilibrium. But I think a whole generation will carry this impression forward and may become saner with this. 

                        

                        I nurture another hope : just like pivotal events propel a whole generation (Apollo Mission and interest in space science), this may inspire many young Indians to shift their focus into public healthcare, virology, immunology, public immunity, psychological counselling and learning the art and science of healing. 

                        

                        Again, it was very nice to find an article of this time in the avalanche of printed words in this theme. 

                        

                        Continue your good work.”

 

                                                       

                 

       

COVID world:  23 of my articles on ‘COVID’ were published in 23 months in Medical Journals which is a WORLD RECORD in Medical Journalism.

This article titled “Origin of COVID” is the 24th one.  

           --  Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  ‘PAY WHAT YOU CAN’  Clinic,  Perundurai,  India

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


.   Origin  of  COVID   .       

 

RAMA  PRASAD  T.

Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  

Formerly:  Medical Superintendent (Special) of RTS & IRT Perundurai Medical College and Research Centre,  Perundurai, Tamil Nadu, India.     

Presently:  Director of ‘PAY WHAT YOU CAN’ Clinic, Perundurai, Erode District, TN – 638052.  drtramaprasad@gmail.com        WhatsApp +91 98427 20393         BLOG  https://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com WEBSITE      www.rama-scribbles.in       Twitter  @DrRamaprasadt             Facebook  T Rama Prasad      Telegram  Dr T Rama Prasad

`


          A MONTHLY JOURNAL OF MEDICINE AND SURGERYSN 

                        Vol. 119     No. 8     August  2022    ISSN  0003 5998

        Indexed in  IndMED       Email: admin@theantiseptic.in    www.theantiseptic.in

 

 

GREAT  HOLY  SOUL

                                                                    16.10.2017 

" ... I always wonder that we both seem to be identical in our thoughts, deeds and actions. ... I always cherish your friendship and appreciate your humanitarian attitude towards life, poor rural people and the needy. ... I went through your articles ... especially, the 'PAY WHAT YOU CAN Clinic' touched my heart, and after studying, I wondered: "What a great holy soul you are !"  You are a living example of Swami Vivekananda. ... "

 

Dr.  J.K.K. Munirajahh,  M.Tech (Bolton)

Chairman,  JKKM Group of Institutions & Industries

Komarapalayam, Tamil Nadu, India

 

 

"...A study of your work reveals how fertile is your brain and how facile is your pen.  Your command of English is breathtaking.   One cannot help being astounded by your encyclopaedic range of knowledge and its depth is unfathomable......Your sense of humour is very much to be appreciated.  Your invaluable treasure "SCRIBBLINGS"  is to be preserved for posterity....."

                                                                 --  Prof. P. Lakshmi, MA,

                                                                                              Principal,  Vellalar  College for Women,

                                                                                                      Thindal, Erode,  Tamil Nadu, India

Dear Dr. Rama Prasad,

 “..When I saw a copy (of your book titled  "Some of my SCRIBBLINGS")  in the  medical college library, curiosity got the better of me and I borrowed it.  As I went through it,  curiosity turned into admiration. What struck me first and the most was your command over the language.   I appreciated your interest in widely varied subjects,  from pornography to piano,  as the saying goes.  I also realised that the interest was not just superficial,  but substantial as evidenced by the statistics quoted to emphasise a point.   When I finished with it,   it left me wondering how you continued to sustain your interest despite having spent more than 3 decades in this place,  well  isolated and insulated from academic and intellectual environment...” 

 ---  Group Captain (Retd)    Prof. N. Ramachandran, MD,

         Professor of Paediatrics,  Perundurai Medical College Perundurai,  Erode District,  Tamil Nadu,  India

 

 

“…  I am amazed to find how the book (Some of my “Scribblings”) mirrors your multifaceted personality – the sterling qualities of head and heart.  It reflects the encyclopedic range of your mind.  I am struck by the fact that there was no subject that is untouched – from physical to metaphysical,  sacred to secular,  all under the sun have been dealt with quite thoroughly, authenticated and well-documented to reveal a genuine humanist at work.  …  Combined with the ­­­art of healing is your art of drawing and painting. …  We are amazed to see your paintings and to learn that the illustrations in the “Scribblings” are your own. …”

                                             --  Prof. V. Prafulla,

M.A.,  Ph.D. (Eng.),  M.A. (Hindi),  P.G.T.E.,  Former Principal,  Erode Arts College for Women, Erode, Tamil Nadu,  India;  Former  Professor of  English,  Visalakshi College,  Udamalpet,  Tamil Nadu,  India. 

 

 

WRITINGS  AND  TALKS of  Dr. T. Rama Prasad

 

List  No.  1

 

  1.      Drug Resistance in Tuberculosis  -  Journal of the Indian Medical Association,  Vol.  64, pp. 264-267,  1975.

  2.      Digital clubbing and Hypertrophic Pulmonary Osteoarthropathy -  Pathogenesis -       The  Antiseptic,  Vol. 76.  pp.  

        213- 215,  1979.

  3.   Childhood Tuberculosis - Part I - The Antiseptic, Vol. 76, pp. 449-504,1979

  4.   Childhood Tuberculosis - Part II - The Antiseptic, Vol. 76.  pp. 567-574, 1979

  5.   Yellow Nail Syndrome - Chest (U.S.A.), Vol. 77,  p.580, 1980 –

         http://journal.chestnet.org/article/S0012-3692(16)40458- 7/fulltext

  6.   Short-course Chemotherapy - The recent Advances in the Treatment of  Respiratory Tuberculosis - Current Medical Practice

        Vol.24, pp.  41- 46,  1980.

  7.   Stevens-Johnson Syndrome and Thioacetazone - The Antiseptic,  Vol. 77,  pp.  99-102,  1980.

  8.   Yellow Nail Syndrome - The Indian Journal of Chest Diseases & Allied  Sciences,  Vol. 22,  pp. 69-72,  1980.

  9.   Highly Purified Insulins  -  An Assessment  -  The Antiseptic,  Vol. 77,   pp. 3455-347, 1980.

10.   Diabetes and Tuberculosis - The Medicine and Surgery,  Vol. 21,  pp. 10-12, 1981.

11.   Tuberculosis Control in India -  In Press

12.   Tuberculin Test  -  Relevance to diagnosis in India today -  In Press

13.   Toxic Epidermal Necrolysis  -  The Antiseptic,  Vol. 75, p. 194, 1978.

14.   Drugs in the treatment of Tuberculosis - The Antiseptic,  Vol. 75,  p.678, 1978

15.   Chemotherapy of Tuberculosis - The Antiseptic,  Vol. 76,  p.248,  1979.

16.   Streptomycin in Tuberculosis - The Antiseptic,  Vol. 76,  p.516,  1979.

17.   Health of the citizen (Special article)  -  The Hindu,  Vol.99 A,  No.198,  p.8, 1976

18.   How effective is the TB control programme ?  (Special Article) -  The Hindu,  Vol.100,  No. 274,  p.8,  1977.

19.   Five years Plans and TB Control Programme (Special Article) - The Hindu,  Vol.101, No. 275, 

20.   BCG vaccination - The Antiseptic,  Vol. 76,  p. 726,  1979.

21.   Genetic Selection - The Antiseptic,  Vol. 77,  p.258,  1980.

22.   National Tuberculosis Control Programme -  views presented,  on invitation by the Tuberculosis Association of India,  

        at the 32nd  National Conference on  Tuberculosis and Chest Diseases,  1977.

23.   Correlation between Geomagnetic Activity and Haemoptysis -  paper presented at the II Tamil Nadu State Conference

        on Tuberculosis &  Chest Diseases,  1980.

24.    Snakes.

25.   AIDS  -  the disease of the decade  -  Radio Talk  -  All India Radio,   Coimbatore, Feb. 1,  1986.

26.   AIDS  -  What next ?   -  Radio Talk  -  All India Radio,  Coimbatore,  May 24, 1986

27.   BRAIN  FEVER  (Encephalitis):  taming the scourge  -  Radio  Talk  -  All India Radio, Coimbatore,  February 14,  1987.

28.   HEALTH  OF  THE  HIGH  RISK  GROUPS:  Mothers, Children and elderly  -  Innovative Health Care Programmes, 

        Paper submitted for Scientific Session of the National Annual Conference of the Indian Society of Health administrators.

29.   SAVING THE YOUNG  -  healthcare of the children in developing  countries - Radio Talk  -  

        All India Radio,   Coimbatore,  January,  1988.

30.   MEDICINE and MONEY  -  Co-Chamber Journal,  Vol. 5, Issue 8,  p.8, 2010,

31.   THE  INDIAN  SUPERBUG  -  Co-Chamber Journal,  Vol. 5,  Issue 9,  p.15, 2010

32.   SWINE  FLU  -  Co-Chamber Journal,  Vol. 5, Issue 10, p. 13 

33.   HEALTH  CHECK-UP:  how healthy is it ?  -  The Hindu, Open Page, Jan. 15, 2012 -  

        ……http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/open  page/article2801701.ece

34.   THE ‘GOOGLE EFFECT’:  may be good, may be bad  -  The Hindu, Open  Page,  April 22, 2012  

        ...http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/open-page/article3340116.ece

35.   OF  TEA,  COFFEE  and  COMMERCE  -  The Hindu,  Open Page,   January 12, 2014  …

         …  http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/openpage/of-tea-coffee-and-commerce/article5567951.ece.

36.   A  BAD  PATCH - The HinduOPEN PAGE,  March 15, 2020 ... 

         https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/open-page/a-bad-patch/article31069356.ece

37.   MODERN MEDICINE:  how good is it in India ?  -  Co-Chamber Journal,          Vol. 11,  Issue 5, p. 23,  June 2016  & Vol. 11, 

        Issue 6,  p.  18, July 2016

38.  WORLD  TB  DAY: March 24, 2016  -  Health,  Vol. 94, No. 5, p. 20,  May 2016

39.   IS  THE  "LOCKDOWN   MEDICINE" TOO  TOXIC ?  --  The Antiseptic,  Vol.117,  No.10,  pp. 13 -15,  2020

40.   ANTISEPTICS,  DISINFECTANTS   and COVID-19  --  The Antiseptic,  Vol.117,  No.11,  pp. 26 - 28,  2020

41.   40+15 HYPOXIA  TEST  in  COVID-19 --  The Antiseptic,  Vol.117,  No.12, pp.13 –17,  2020

42.   THE  CONUNDRUM  of  COVID-19  VACCINES  – The Antiseptic, Vol. 118,  No. 1,   2021

43. Fear and COVID-19 – HEALTH,  Vol. 98,  No. 11,  pp. 13 -14,  2020

44. Tea  and  COVID-19 – HEALTH,  Vol. 98,  No. 10, pp. 4 – 6,  2020

 

List No. 2   contains references to about 1000 writings which may be found on my Website --  T. Rama Prasad

 

“Education is the most powerful weapon we can use to change the world.”   ---  Nelson Mandela

 

 



 

Dr. T. Rama Prasad   www.rama-scribbles.in

LOVABLE  RURAL  FOLK ... February 10, 2018

 

Yes, rural are really lovable folk. Most of them have a refreshingly rural and innocent background. They have blind faith in gods, and doctors as well.

After a few decades, we may see no more of such good plain-hearted rural folk. And, even now, we rarely see the good old grand grandmother of ‘topless’ (‘blouseless’) era ! The women of that generation cover their upper bodies with a piece of a cloth only (end piece of saree) wrapped around without any underclothing like bra or blouse. 

Today (February 10, 2018), one frail-looking grandmother in that 'topless' attire (see the attached photo) walked into my consultation chamber, accompanied by her grandson, but not needed to be assisted by him to walk in.  She (Gowandayamml) fluently talked in the grand old style ... said she got the appointment with great difficulty (limited consultations today, as I had to spare some time to attend my granddaughter's 'food court bonanza' at her school).   At the end of the consultation, she wanted a 'cough syrup' (most of the 'cough syrups' are used unnecessarily and for psychological satisfaction, and to the great delightfulness of drug industry !).   I gave her a sample bottle of a cough syrup, free of cost, of course ... and lo and behold, her face was lit up with happiness. Little pleasures ... little things matter in life ... read the 'Scribbling' titled 'Richness & Happiness' on my blog.   She narrated at length of her previous visits over decades and profusely thanked me for keeping her fit (in fact, it is her good old lifestyle and her constitution that kept her fit, not me !).   I asked her whether I may have a photo with her.  She was amused and laughed.  I called the receptionist to take a photo.  The lady of the old school put up a serious pose for the photo.  Receptionist, Nandhini, asked her to smile ... in vain ... perhaps, the grandma thought that one should not move or smile when the camera clicks (In our school days, photographers used to instruct us not to move or smile when they take group photos in the school, with those bulky 'plate' cameras with a long exposure time !).  I shall give her a print of the photo when she visits me again ... curiously, we both are of the same age group by the calendar, though seem not to be by the images !   Finally, the plain, simple, candid and 'topless' granny left my chamber.  After a while, she came back with money (hundred rupees notes) in her hand to put into my tiny 'Pay what you can' hundi,  as consultation fee.  I had to persuade her a lot not to give any consultation fee,  saying that it's a great pleasure for me to treat her free of cost ... again there was a flash of a cheerful smile across her face.  This is the most pleasant reward we get in medical practice -- the cheerful smile of satisfaction.

If you wish to read more about the good rural folk, click on http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.in/2017/08/rural-are-real.html

Reprinted from  FACEBOOK … go to Facebook to read comments on this.

Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  www.rama-scribbles.in        http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.in
'PAY WHAT YOU CAN’ Clinic, Perundurai, Erode Dt., TN, India., Former Medical Superintendent (Special), RTS & IRT Perundurai Medical College and Research Centre, Perundurai.

 


 

WORLD  HEART  DAY     …    September 29

Various writings and ads (with commercial colour of discounts) appeared today across the globe scaring the public about their heart health.  Some of them, purported to be of educative value to the public, may have a hidden agenda of vested interests.  And, some normal persons may be converted into patients !  People are confused on knowing about needless tests, medicines and even surgeries.

Much of the modern treatment may be like cutting some of the branches of an evil tree without tackling the roots.  ‘Modernity’ in lifestyle brought in its wake all the adverse factors,  STRESS & ECOLOGICAL IMBALANCE (destruction of Nature) being the important ones, associated with money, materialism, competition, comparison, ego, hubris, hegemony, selfishness, greed, arrogance, anger, miserliness, manipulability, vanity, vengeance, etc.  MODERNITY may be the root cause for the arrival of COVID.  Moderns may have to mend their ways to prevent emergence of more novel viruses.  Should we celebrate March 11 (March 11, 2020 was the day on which the WHO declared ‘Covid’ as a pandemic) as the ‘WORLD COVID DAY’  ?

 

Cell phones arrived,  we forgot writing letters;
Automobiles arrived,  we forgot walking;
Computers arrived,  we forgot spellings;
Calculators arrived,  we forgot mathematics;
Modern jobs arrived,  we forgot families;


TVs arrived,  we forgot cinema theatres;
Digital games arrived,  we forgot playgrounds;
Modern pharma arrived, we forgot grannies’ remedies;  

Speciality hospitals arrived,  we forgot ‘MBBS clinics’;

Super-specialists arrived,  we forgot family doctors;


Nuclear families arrived,  we forgot relationships;
Junk food arrived,  we forgot healthy meals;
Food courts arrived,  we forgot cooking;
HEART specialists arrived,  we forgot HEARTY meals !

COVID has arrived,  we forgot everything else !

(In 22 months, 22 of my articles on COVID were published – a WORLD RECORD !)

 

Dr. T. Rama Prasad,

https://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com          www.rama-scribbles.in 
drtramaprasad@gmail.com,  Director,  'PAY WHAT YOU CAN' Clinic,  Perundurai,  Erode Dt.,  TN,  India.,  Former Medical Superintendent (Special),  RTS & IRT Perundurai Medical College and Research Centre.




  

     
    


 




 

 


“We are sometimes praised and sometimes pilloried.  We should neither bask in the glory of success nor sulk in the shadows of defeat.”

 



         


AUTHOR




After a few pages of introduction to Dr. T. Rama Prasad, a hundred pages of 'scribblings' on the subject of 'Covid' would follow.  'Scribblings' on other subjects may be found under various headings present in the right margin. 

23 of my articles on ‘COVID’ were published in 23 months in Medical Journals which is a WORLD RECORD in Medical Journalism.

The article titled “Origin of COVID” is the 24th one.  


           --  Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  ‘PAY WHAT YOU CAN’  Clinic,  Perundurai,  India



Dr. T. Rama Prasad's Scribblings...

        In the words of Prof C H Sivaraman: “ ... Dr. T. Rama Prasad belongs to a distinctly different and unconventional species of doctors. He speaks sparingly and does not even display his qualifications or merits, but his innumerable published writings (he calls them ‘scribblings’ though they are ‘pearls of wisdom and knowledge’, sprinkled with a bit of humour and sarcasm) which received wide acclaim talk eloquently for him. The ‘Pay what you can’ Clinic where services are available for which one may pay whatever one can is a facility run by Dr. Prasad for a very long time which could be a world record. Dr. Prasad is called a ”god” by his patients, and many of them named their children after his name “Prasad” -- that is the height of recognition of goodness of a human being... “

https://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2017/04/about-me-and-my-scribblings_38.html

https://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2020/06/coronavirus-covid-19-sars-cov-2_43.html

   

 Dear Dr. Rama Prasad,

                                              I   am sure  the  world  will  be a better place,   if  people  understand  your  writings  ...  ‘EXCELLENT’  is the word.        I cannot  find any other  word  in  this  language to  describe what  you  have  written  without  any  pretensions.  You have brought out some home truths to those who care to read your website  ...  You are a great thinker, writer and crusader ...  As usual, your messages are incisive, to the point and make lots of sense, much better than my articles …

  ...  You  are  not  only  GREAT,  but  are  a  true  missionary  in  medicine.  May your tribe increase for the good of mankind.  ….          

Love,

    -- Padma Bhushan  Prof. B. M. Hegde (awarded Padma Vibhushan in 2021)

MD, FRCP (Lond), FRCP (Edin), FRCP (Glas), FRCP (Dub), FACC (USA), FAMS,  Former Professor of Cardiology, Middlesex Hospital Medical School,  University of London, UK,  Former Vice-Chancellor, Manipal University, India, Affiliate Professor of Human Health, Northern Colorado University, USA,   Editor-in-Chief, The Journal of the Science of Healing Outcomes,  Chairman, State Health Society’s Expert Committee, Govt of Bihar, India  and  Padma Bhushan  awardee  of  2010.  www.bmhegde.com

---------------------------------------------------------

        The following is the comment  written by the internationally renowned scholar, Pritam Bhattacharyya (Editor-at-Large of Pentasect and Founder and Chief of Wordsmith at Wordsmith Communication,  Chairman of Freelance Foundation,  )  on the blog article on Coronavirus and COVID-19

(1) https://wordsmithofbengal.wordpress.com/2012/01/16/health-un-heath-and-fear-of-un-health/

 (2)  https://wordsmithofbengal.wordpress.com/2012/04/23/google-effect-and-kali-yuga-prophecies/                          wordsmith  April 12, 2020 at 10:42 PM


                        “One of the best articles I have read on this theme and having balance, measure and proportion. Miss Corona in hindsight is really kind and benign in a sense - Nature has rolled a dice with fatality of 2-3%. She is under no obligation not to roll a dice of fatality 40,50,60% with Ms. Corona being "size zero" and "air-borne". Consider what would have happened ? 

                        Dr. Prasad is one of the few doctors whom I know who fall into the rare category of "healers". A healer knows the art, science and commerce of healing, i.e. allowing the innate immunity of the body to manifest itself. 

                        One should be very careful and critical about three things in the world : Big Pharma, Big Government, Big Science. In the proverbial Kali-Yuga, all three converge with overlapped agendas and sometimes not with the best interest in mind of the end users : patients, citizens, learners. 

                        Finally, this pandemic will also pass. The system will come to a new equilibrium. But I think a whole generation will carry this impression forward and may become saner with this. 

                        I nurture another hope : just like pivotal events propel a whole generation (Apollo Mission and interest in space science), this may inspire many young Indians to shift their focus into public healthcare, virology, immunology, public immunity, psychological counselling and learning the art and science of healing. 

                        Again, it was very nice to find an article of this time in the avalanche of printed words in this theme. 

                        Continue your good work.”

                                                                             Pritam Bhattacharyya                                                                                        

 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------



This is not an ad,  it’s about an odd service.

 

GREETINGS  from

 

‘PAY  WHAT  YOU  CAN’   Clinic

 

“Thena  thyakthena  bhoojithaha”– Ishopanishad

   ( Translated by  Prof. B.M. Hegde  as: “Rejoice  in  giving.”)

          True to this quote, I have been rejoicing at what little I could give.  Defying stereotypes, this clinic has been in existence for a very long time, sans glitz, blitz, ads, microphones, speeches and noise.  As a matter of my policy, publicity is shunned.  The reason is simple.  Good work needs no noise and nonsense.  My ‘SCRIBBLINGS’ on related topics may be accessed at:  http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com  or www.rama-scribbles.in




 

 

My consultation fee is not decided by me.  It is the patient’s pleasure. The patient may pay (donate) whatever he can and what he wishes.  If one is short of money, he or she need not pay anything.  And the money thus received is used for charity to help the needy, the poor and the less fortunate.  If interested to know more about this facility, go to:  http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2017/06/pay-what-you-can-clinic.html

 

          "We need not run after money.  If we are meritorious and compassionate, money would run after us, and it eludes us if we run after it.”      --  T. Rama Prasad

 

            “Richness is not having lots of money.  It is the feeling that one has enough of it.   Contentment sans comparison is what makes one really rich.”     --  T. Rama Prasad.

Dr. T. Rama Prasad, Director, ‘PAY  WHAT  YOU  CAN’  ClinicPERUNDURAI,   Erode Dt., TN, India.    Former Medical Superintendent (Special),  RTS & IRT Perundurai Medical College and Research Centre,  PerunduraiWebsite: www.rama-scribbles.in Blog: https://drtramaprasad.blogspot.comEmail:drtramaprasad@gmail.comFacebook: T Rama PrasadTwitter: @DrRamaprasadtWhatsApp: +91 98427 20393

                           ../Downloads/Portrait%20...%2010.06.2019%20copy.jpg                    ../Downloads/Portrait%20...%2010.06.2019%20copy.jpg                   

 

                At the award ceremonies on July 3, 2016  and  August 7, 2016

                          


WRITINGS  AND  TALKS of  Dr. T. Rama Prasad

List  No.  1

 

  1.      Drug Resistance in Tuberculosis  -  Journal of the Indian Medical Association,  Vol.  64, pp. 264-267,  1975.

  2.      Digital clubbing and Hypertrophic Pulmonary Osteoarthropathy -  Pathogenesis -       The  Antiseptic,  Vol. 76.  pp.  

        213- 215,  1979.

  3.   Childhood Tuberculosis - Part I - The Antiseptic, Vol. 76, pp. 449-504,1979

  4.   Childhood Tuberculosis - Part II - The Antiseptic, Vol. 76.  pp. 567-574, 1979

  5.   Yellow Nail Syndrome - Chest (U.S.A.), Vol. 77,  p.580, 1980 –

         http://journal.chestnet.org/article/S0012-3692(16)40458- 7/fulltext

  6.   Short-course Chemotherapy - The recent Advances in the Treatment of  Respiratory Tuberculosis - Current Medical Practice

        Vol.24, pp.  41- 46,  1980.

  7.   Stevens-Johnson Syndrome and Thioacetazone - The Antiseptic,  Vol. 77,  pp.  99-102,  1980.

  8.   Yellow Nail Syndrome - The Indian Journal of Chest Diseases & Allied  Sciences,  Vol. 22,  pp. 69-72,  1980.

  9.   Highly Purified Insulins  -  An Assessment  -  The Antiseptic,  Vol. 77,   pp. 3455-347, 1980.

10.   Diabetes and Tuberculosis - The Medicine and Surgery,  Vol. 21,  pp. 10-12, 1981.

11.   Tuberculosis Control in India -  In Press

12.   Tuberculin Test  -  Relevance to diagnosis in India today -  In Press

13.   Toxic Epidermal Necrolysis  -  The Antiseptic,  Vol. 75, p. 194, 1978.

14.   Drugs in the treatment of Tuberculosis - The Antiseptic,  Vol. 75,  p.678, 1978

15.   Chemotherapy of Tuberculosis - The Antiseptic,  Vol. 76,  p.248,  1979.

16.   Streptomycin in Tuberculosis - The Antiseptic,  Vol. 76,  p.516,  1979.

17.   Health of the citizen (Special article)  -  The Hindu,  Vol.99 A,  No.198,  p.8, 1976

18.   How effective is the TB control programme ?  (Special Article) -  The Hindu,  Vol.100,  No. 274,  p.8,  1977.

19.   Five years Plans and TB Control Programme (Special Article) - The Hindu,  Vol.101, No. 275, 

20.   BCG vaccination - The Antiseptic,  Vol. 76,  p. 726,  1979.

21.   Genetic Selection - The Antiseptic,  Vol. 77,  p.258,  1980.

22.   National Tuberculosis Control Programme -  views presented,  on invitation by the Tuberculosis Association of India,  

        at the 32nd  National Conference on  Tuberculosis and Chest Diseases,  1977.

23.   Correlation between Geomagnetic Activity and Haemoptysis -  paper presented at the II Tamil Nadu State Conference

        on Tuberculosis &  Chest Diseases,  1980.

24.    Snakes.

25.   AIDS  -  the disease of the decade  -  Radio Talk  -  All India Radio,   Coimbatore, Feb. 1,  1986.

26.   AIDS  -  What next ?   -  Radio Talk  -  All India Radio,  Coimbatore,  May 24, 1986

27.   BRAIN  FEVER  (Encephalitis):  taming the scourge  -  Radio  Talk  -  All India Radio, Coimbatore,  February 14,  1987.

28.   HEALTH  OF  THE  HIGH  RISK  GROUPS:  Mothers, Children and elderly  -  Innovative Health Care Programmes, 

        Paper submitted for Scientific Session of the National Annual Conference of the Indian Society of Health administrators.

29.   SAVING THE YOUNG  -  healthcare of the children in developing  countries - Radio Talk  -  

        All India Radio,   Coimbatore,  January,  1988.

30.   MEDICINE and MONEY  -  Co-Chamber Journal,  Vol. 5, Issue 8,  p.8, 2010,

31.   THE  INDIAN  SUPERBUG  -  Co-Chamber Journal,  Vol. 5,  Issue 9,  p.15, 2010

32.   SWINE  FLU  -  Co-Chamber Journal,  Vol. 5, Issue 10, p. 13 

33.   HEALTH  CHECK-UP:  how healthy is it ?  -  The Hindu, Open Page, Jan. 15, 2012 -  

        ……http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/open  page/article2801701.ece

34.   THE ‘GOOGLE EFFECT’:  may be good, may be bad  -  The Hindu, Open  Page,  April 22, 2012  

        ...http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/open-page/article3340116.ece

35.   OF  TEA,  COFFEE  and  COMMERCE  -  The Hindu,  Open Page,   January 12, 2014  …

         …  http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/openpage/of-tea-coffee-and-commerce/article5567951.ece.

36.   A  BAD  PATCH - The HinduOPEN PAGE,  March 15, 2020 ... 

         https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/open-page/a-bad-patch/article31069356.ece

37.   MODERN MEDICINE:  how good is it in India ?  -  Co-Chamber Journal,          Vol. 11,  Issue 5, p. 23,  June 2016  & Vol. 11, 

        Issue 6,  p.  18, July 2016

38.  WORLD  TB  DAY: March 24, 2016  -  Health,  Vol. 94, No. 5, p. 20,  May 2016

39.   IS  THE  "LOCKDOWN   MEDICINE" TOO  TOXIC ?  --  The Antiseptic,  Vol.117,  No.10,  pp. 13 -15,  2020

40.   ANTISEPTICS,  DISINFECTANTS   and COVID-19  --  The Antiseptic,  Vol.117,  No.11,  pp. 26 - 28,  2020

41.   40+15 HYPOXIA  TEST  in  COVID-19 --  The Antiseptic,  Vol.117,  No.12, pp.13 –17,  2020

42.   THE  CONUNDRUM  of  COVID-19  VACCINES  – The Antiseptic, Vol. 118,  No. 1,   2021

43. Fear and COVID-19 – HEALTH,  Vol. 98,  No. 11,  pp. 13 -14,  2020

44. Tea  and  COVID-19 – HEALTH,  Vol. 98,  No. 10, pp. 4 – 6,  2020

 

List No. 2   contains references to about 1000 writings which may be found on my Website --  T. Rama Prasad

 

“Education is the most powerful weapon we can use to change the world.”   ---  Nelson Mandela


CLICK ON THE HEADINGS BELOW TO ACCESS THE “SCRIBBLINGS” on other subjects

·   ABOUT ME and MY SCRIBBLINGS  (2)  'PAY WHAT YOU CAN' Clinic

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COVID world:  23 of my articles on ‘COVID’ were published in 23 months in Medical Journals which is a WORLD RECORD in Medical Journalism.

This article titled “Origin of COVID” is the 24th one.  


           --  Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  ‘PAY WHAT YOU CAN’  Clinic,  Perundurai,  India

 

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.   Origin  of  COVID   .       

 

RAMA  PRASAD  T.

 

Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  

Formerly:  Medical Superintendent (Special) of RTS & IRT Perundurai Medical College and Research Centre, 

Perundurai, Tamil Nadu, India.     

  

Presently:  Director of ‘PAY WHAT YOU CAN’ Clinic, Perundurai, Erode District, TN – 638052.  drtramaprasad@gmail.com        WhatsApp +91 98427 20393         BLOG  https://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com

WEBSITE      www.rama-scribbles.in       Twitter  @DrRamaprasadt             Facebook  T Rama Prasad 

Telegram  Dr T Rama Prasad

 

 

 The Antiseptic

`

          A MONTHLY JOURNAL OF MEDICINE AND SURGERYSN 

                        Vol. 119     No. 8     August  2022    ISSN  0003 5998

        Indexed in  IndMED       Email: admin@theantiseptic.in    www.theantiseptic.in



CORONAVIRUS -- COVID-19  ...  September 1,  2020

( SARS-CoV-2  )

"Panicky over-reaction to corona deaths  has destroyed global economy;
Strict implementation of 'hygiene advisory'  would have been sufficient."
--  T. Rama Prasad

Dear Friends,

Life is like a prepaid card paid by the Creator.  We don't know how much was paid and how much is in balance.  Insurers are now stunned to know that COVID-19 can bring the balance down to zero within hours or days of its attack.

The British Prime Minister's card balance dropped suddenly to almost zero before he came out of the Covid ICU,  days before a son was born to his  fiancee !




        'Covid Umbrella' -- a must                            'Dog mask' -- a must

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Is the  “LOCKDOWN  MEDICINE”  too toxic  ?

http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2017/04/lockdown-medicine.html

   








The subject of 'Lockdown' is an epidemiological hot potato.  Is 'lockdown'  right or wrong ?  Both !  An Orwellian world (dis) order.  Hubris is toxic which conjures up pitfalls for all of us.  Puffed up with exuberant hubris,  we humans have committed two blunders simultaneously :

 

(1)  We acted like the 'virus deniers' and ostriches  (the Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro,  the British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the US President Donald Trump), didn't care for the advisory and left our own fate to the destiny.     To know more about these ostriches, click on:   

https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/the-club-of-virus-deniers/article32071033.ece

 

(2)  We imposed 'Total Lockdowns' which could not be implemented as they should be and left the fate of the citizens to the destiny.  In many countries,  the delusive idea of lockdowns rested on a parade of fallacies and follies, and the people didn’t care for the hygiene advisory on prevention.  Unplanned lockdown is a death sentence to economy.

 

Considering the complex nature of the virus, we shouldn't let our guards down and simply surrender to the destiny.  There is no uniform default strategy for all the countries and we have to make course corrections nimbly to maintain a balance between economic and public health costs and benefits.  It is like being on a Schrodinger's seesaw.  For instance, Sweden didn't lose much (lives, freedom & economy) despite not imposing tough lockdowns, perhaps because of voluntarily adhering to health advisory and the sense of social responsibility.  And lowest mortality rates are logged in by Japan and South Korea without resorting to lockdowns, perhaps due to their culture of mask-wearing.  

India is different. It is a large country with different zones having different timelines of onset of the epidemic.  Added to this is the notoriously poor compliance with guidelines by the 'bemused-cum-resigned' Indians. This means that a total lockdown of the whole country would not yield the desired result.  Moreover, lockdowns have no 'historical scientific basis'.  Eight months into the pandemic, it still remains an enigma.  Cases surging further.  Economy dipping lower.  The number of cases has increased from 500 to over three million and the number of deaths has increased from 10 to over 64,000 in five months after the 'lockdown' in India.  Economy ?  GOK.

 

The  Corona  Conundrum

 

 

“Doctor, is the lockdown good or bad for us ?,” asked my patient Vinodini.  I said, “both good and bad, like the Schrodinger’s cat which is both alive and dead.”  The Nobel Laureate Erwin Schrodinger devised the famous ‘thought experiment’ of putting a cat and some lethal things inside a box to see whether the cat would be alive or dead in order to prove a point in quantum physics.  Until one opens the box, the cat is supposed to be both alive and dead !  The same is the case with the lockdowns.

                                                      

NOT  A  PLAGUE

 

The life in the first half of 2020 was like looking at scoreboards and listening to continuous commentary over media as of cricket or election results.  The "case" score went on spiralling up. Erroneously, people have come to think that the "cases" are "patients suffering from COVID-19 requiring admission or quarantine."  And that they are "dangerous and untouchables" though there is nothing to be alarmed or ashamed about it.  

 

The people are more scared of the quarantine and the social stigma rather than the virus. The fact is only that the virus is detected in their bodies, and that about 80% of them may not have any symptoms or only mild symptoms which may not require any specific treatment.  We all have thousands of microbes in our bodies which may not produce disease because of our immunity.  And, in course of time, we may gain immunity, called ‘herd immunity’, to this coronavirus also, through natural sub-clinical infections or vaccine when it is made.   

 

The Delhi sero-survey findings published in July 2020 indicate that a whopping 50 lakh people have already developed 'herd immunity' through 'silent infection', while only 100,000 cases (1 in 50 of the infected) were detected through RT-PCR testing, in Delhi of a population of 20 million.  Later in August 2020, a new jaw-dropping sero-survey result followed – 57% positivity in Mumbai slums and 51% in some areas in Pune.  Perhaps, because of better ‘India-specific’ racial immunity passed on through generations of cellular immunity and 'pre-existing' 'cross-reactive' ‘memory T cells’ against spike or membrane proteins of SARS-CoV-2, the ‘Case Fatality Ratio’ has been less than 2% in India, despite the creaky, rickety and shambolic health care systems.   This is a sliver of a silver lining to our dark cloud.

                                                                   

THREAT  PERCEPTION

 

The alarmist predictions on ‘Covid’ proved wrong.  On a larger canvas, the damage done by the virus does not seem to be huge, especially in India.  Less than 65,000 people died so far in India, as on 01.09.2020, due to COVID-19.  It is a small number compared to 4,35,000 deaths due to TB annually or 1,50,000 deaths due to road accidents per year, in the country.  How about deaths due to other diseases ?  Too many.  Ten million Indians die every year of various causes – an international disgrace.  Just look at the figures for the lockdown period of 6 weeks (March 25 to May 5) -- India's pro-rated death toll from all causes would be 10 lakhs, including due to -- influenza and pneumonia of 75,000, TB of 54,000,  diarrhoea of 50,000,  road accidents of 32,000 and suicides  of 24,000.  The media have set the eyes of the whole country on only one coronavirus death out of 638 total deaths !   We had been kept in the dark about the other 637 'non-Covid' deaths !  Even that one death is mostly due to co-morbidities, the purely COVID-19 death rate being around 0.3 per cent.

 

Lockdown, a blunt instrument, has become the default strategy and an epidemiological fashion, based on mathematical models of a limited theoretical frame.  An indefinite pan-national blanket ban of all activities just to tame one disease in a country like India is an example of profound insanity.  Further lockdowns may further vitiate a nebulous situation.  Can we lockdown for another two years ?  During a press briefing in Geneva on August 21, 2020, Dr. Tedros, the head of the WHO said: "We hope to finish this pandemic in less than TWO YEARS, especially if we can pool our efforts." 


Instead of using the 'sledgehammer of lockdown' to crack the 'nut of virus', strict enforcement of the troika of masks, distancing and hygiene, along with prompt 'testing', 'tracing' and 'treating' would have been sufficient for India.    Improving the creaky health structure of 1.3% of GDP is imperative.  Of course, we can’t fix decades of neglect while in the throes of a pandemic.

 

LEARN  TO  LIVE  WITH  IT  

 

The only thing we are worried is about the speed with which this virus killed around the world and the mysterious pathology involved.  But even then, the number of the COVID-19 deaths is nothing when compared to the deaths that occur routinely due to other diseases.  At least 1,000 people have been dying every day in India due to TB alone over decades.  Did we 'lockdown' the country ?  We learned to live with it and we have to do the same with Corona.  Perhaps, additionally, we have to learn to die in 'cytokine storms' !  "Learn to live and die with Corona" is far better than "Learn to live and die with Lockdown."  


Mathematical models are different from ground realities.  The cavalier calculations remained a mirage – where is that time-table of ‘peak’, 'flattening', ‘decline’ and ’community spread’ ?  The scientific hubris backfired -- cases increased from around 500 to around three million and the deaths from around 10 to around 65,000, after the lockdown in just about five months, in India.  Virtues of a martinet governance have been an illusion.  Governmental obfuscation which took on mythic proportions and infected policymaking, is a matter of concern.   It is highly complex -- it's not like switching-on and switching-off a light.  With just an order everything can be locked down, but can't be opened the same way.

 

TUBE  VISION

 

During the corona period we have cultivated a 'tube vision' which lets us see only about corona,  blind to other diseases, hunger, deprivation, livelihood, GDP, etc.  And,  the 64 million city-slum-dwellers and the scores of migrant labour were outside the field of vision when the surgical strike of the lockdown was a 'breaking news'.  Or was it a 'braking news' ?  Millions of people were adversely affected due to break in vaccination schedules and unavailability of services for 'non-Covid' ailments, because of the restrictions imposed by lockdowns -- just one example: there was a 64% rise in deaths of dialysis patients between March and May of 2020.  

 

Of course, one may argue that the scenario could have been worse, without the lockdowns -- a conjecture and an assumption. It’s like saying that if BCG was not given, Covid deaths would have been enormous.  May be there is some truth, but not the whole truth. The pandemic-lashed reality intrigued both scientists and soothsayers alike.

 

RECALIBRATE  THE  STRATEGY

 

Nevertheless, lockdown is a very effective preventive medicine but is too toxic for India where it cannot be implemented as it should be on a national scale. Nonetheless, localised lockdowns (cluster restrictions) are necessary.  Lockdown is just one of the tools, not a silver bullet. Not even the vaccine that may be coming. Going forward, a recalibration of the strategy is imperative.  And only people-friendly strategies would work.    

                                           

In India, stringent implementation of ‘Covid-preventive protocols (masks, distancing, hygiene, etc.)’, strict restriction of risk-prone activities in selected locations and PERFECT cost-free treatment of all the patients at any cost to save lives, and rendering all possible service at the PEOPLE'S  DOORSTEP would yield better results than by imposing 'total lockdowns' and repressive police-powered restriction of movement of people.  It should be a PEOPLE-FRIENDLY activity devoid of social stigma. No need to beat the poor and hungry migrant workers for the 'fault' of walking back to their homes across the States.  No severe injuries due to thrashing for the fault of not wearing face masks.  No fatal tortures for closing the shop late by one hour.  No assaults on frontline-workers and doctors.  All this happened – did it not ?  It should be a 'containment' activity, not a 'lockdown' activity.  There is a lot of difference between the two.

 

         An enormous number of 'Mobile Medical Units' should go around all the living places continuously. These "Units" should go to the doorsteps, educate people about preventive steps, test them, trace the contacts, treat them at home on a daily visit basis, take them to hospitals when institutional treatment is needed (only about 10% need it), help them empathetically, drop them back at home after discharging and follow them up daily later. The holy grail should be 'at-home care'.

 

 

HOLISTIC  APPROACH

 

They should also take care of the people's non-Covid ailments during this interim period.  Scores of people suffered and died due to the lockdown-related difficulty to access hospitals for 'non-Covid' illnesses.   For various reasons, many private doctors and hospitals shut their doors at this point of time when they could have played a pivotal role.  One of the reasons is the set of ‘rules & protocols’ of the government.   And some of the allegedly greedy hospitals that treated Covid patients were the cause for the General Insurance Council (GIC) to move the Supreme Court of India for overcharging.  When objected by the GIC, in one case, the bill of Rs.14 lakh was brought down to less than 4.5 lakhs !  An alleged unholy nexus between clinical laboratories and hospitals to fabricate ‘fake Covid positive’ results that may enhance admissions out of fear is reported.

 

A total 'touch-me-not' attitude prevailed, while the dire need was a total and friendly service.  The public service was distant and scary at the mercy of the officials.  If the help was at their doorsteps, people would have gained confidence, cooperated and even helped the authorities. Scared of quarantines,  they wouldn't have evaded to report symptoms and went underground breeding the virus and disseminating,  as it had been happening -- this is a very important cause for the surge of the cases during the lockdown period.  

 

‘Beds’ don't save patients.  'Quarantine prisons' won't halt the march.  ‘Tests’ can’t cure.  We relied too much on these.  It is the “friendly human touch" that's important to persuade people to participate.  They need not scramble and run around like a headless chicken to finally get only a piecemeal type of impersonal response.  All this had robbed TRUST and   frustrated the people.   The people lost FAITH in the system and the science itself.  We should not waste precious time waiting for the people to come for treatment.  They won't come in the present panic-filled scenario unless trust is built up urgently. A delay in disease detection would lead to a cascade of events which negatively impact everything, from a deluge of patients to tragic fatalities.     It’s all about using the right tools at the right time in a given situation.              I repeat:  The holy grail should be 'at-home care'.

          

A  MARATHON,  NOT  A  SPRINT      

 

In this plan of action, there won't be many defaults.  There won't be confrontations with officials and disregard to their protocols. Of course, an enormous number of vehicles and dedicated manpower is to be inducted.  The cost involved and the loss of life (including that indirectly due to the lockdown) by doing it this way would be phenomenally much less than what it could have been with a 'total lockdown'.  This is a homely holistic solution. It is the media overplay, coronaphobia' and the 'lockdown-overreaction' that killed everything.

 

GOVERNMENTS  MISGUIDED

 

Governments cannot be blamed for all this because they are mostly guided by their scientific advisors, rightly or wrongly."  But the bewildering fact is that the hard-hitting ‘Joint Task Force’ official statement issued by Indian Public Health Association (IPHA),  Indian Association of Preventive and Social Medicine (IAPSM) and Indian Association of Epidemiologists (IAE) bluntly blamed the government for relying more on the bureaucrats than on experts in the field1.  The statement pointed out several lapses by the government and made many recommendations to replace what they called "draconian lockdown."  See the full statement in the link provided at the end.

 

Now that It's clear that the fight is a marathon and not a sprint, the need is for endurance, perseverance and patience, at least until we get a vaccine.  Vaccine-making is another mindless hasty activity (getting ready by August 15, 2020 !) like the 'lock down'.  See the speedy 'Russian roulette' of 'Sputnik V' which set aside scientific norms and pursued 'vaccine nationalism'.  If this vaccine fails, it may generate mutants more hazardous than D614G.

 

Vinodini looked a tad beyond and said that the surge to seek therapy from shrinks would also shrink by this holy grail of 'at-home care'.  In India, 7.5% of the population suffers from mental disorders, according to the WHO.  And It is estimated that the ‘lockdown-stress’ would increase this mental illness by 20%. 

 

(Based on the transcript of a WEBINAR by Dr. T. Rama Prasad.)

 

Dr. T. Rama Prasad

drtramaprasad@gmail.com

www.rama-scribbles.com

 

Formerly:  Medical Superintendent (Special) of RTS & IRT Perundurai Medical College and Research Centre, Perundurai, Tamil Nadu, India.

 

Presently:  Director, PAY WHAT YOU CAN  Clinic, Perundurai, Erode District, Tamil Nadu – 638052.

 

Reference:

1.     https://www.iphaonline.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Second-Joint-Statement-of-IPHA-IAPSM-and-IAE-on-COVID-19-containment-plan-May-25-2020_Shorter-version-final.pdf

 

More information on the lockdowns and the coronavirus may be accessed at:  http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.sg

 

 

UNPLANNED  LOCKDOWN  IS  A  DEATH  SENTENCE  TO  ECONOMY

 

=============================================================



  1. September 1, 2020:  UNLOCKED.  No, we are not scared Miss CORONA.  We have decided to live with you because  "LEARN TO LIVE AND DIE WITH CORONA"  is better than "LEARN TO LIVE AND DIE WITH LOCKDOWN".  Let us have a HAPPY LIFE TOGETHER.  --  Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  PAY WHAT YOU CAN  Clinic,  Perundurai.  

    First confirmed case of COVID-19 infection in India: A case report

    Sir,

    Coronaviruses (CoV) are a large family of viruses that cause illness ranging from the common cold to more severe diseases such as Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS)-CoV and severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS)-CoV. On December 31, 2019, China informed the World Health Organization (WHO) about cases of pneumonia of unknown aetiology detected in Wuhan city, Hubei province of China. From December 31, 2019 to January 3, 2020, a total of 44 patients with pneumonia of unknown aetiology were reported to the WHO by the national authorities in China. During this period, the causal agent was not identified. The cases initially identified had a history of exposure to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market. The most common clinical features of the early clinical cases from Wuhan, China, were fever (98.6%), fatigue (69.6%) and dry cough (59.4%). The second meeting of the Emergency Committee convened by the WHO Director-General under the International Health Regulations (2005) regarding the outbreak of novel coronavirus 2019 in the People's Republic of China on January 30, 2020, declared COVID-19 outbreak as Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC). As on February 17, 2020, except China, 25 other countries have been affected by COVID-19 outbreak with 70,635 confirmed cases and 1,772 deaths in China. Outside China, 794 cases were reported with three deaths.

    We present here the first case of COVID-19 infection reported in Kerala, India. On January 27, 2020, a 20 yr old female presented to the Emergency Department in General Hospital, Thrissur, Kerala, with a one-day history of dry cough and sore throat. There was no history of fever, rhinitis or shortness of breath. She disclosed that she had returned to Kerala from Wuhan city, China, on January 23, 2020 owing to COVID-19 outbreak situation there. She was asymptomatic between January 23 and 26. On the 27th morning, she felt a mild sore throat and dry cough. She did not give a history of contact with a person suspected or confirmed with COVID-19 infection. She did not visit the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market, however, she gave a history of travel from Wuhan to Kunming by train where she noticed people with respiratory symptoms in railway station and train. She received the instructions from the Kerala State authorities to visit a healthcare facility if she develops any symptoms because of the travel history to China.

    In the Emergency department in General Hospital, she was afebrile with a pulse rate of 82/min, blood pressure 130/80 mmHg, temperature 98.5°F and oxygen saturation 96 per cent while the patient was breathing ambient air. Lung auscultation revealed normal breath sounds with no adventitious sounds. In view of her travel history from Wuhan, the district rapid response team decided to admit her in an isolation room which was designated for the corona epidemic. An oropharyngeal swab was obtained and was sent to the ICMR-National Institute of Virology (NIV), Pune, for the detection of viral respiratory pathogens on January 27, 2020. Three millilitres each of EDTA blood and plain blood samples were also collected and sent to NIV, Pune, where COVID-19 was diagnosed using real time reverse transcription PCR. Specimen collection was done on day 0 (admission) and every alternate day. Urine and stool samples were also sent for detailed evaluation. She was started on azithromycin (500 mg), cetirizine (10 mg) and saline gargle. Over the next three days, her symptoms improved.

    Her oropharyngeal swab result was reported by the NIV, Pune, to District Control Cell on January 30, 2020 as positive for COVID-19 infection. The details of basic laboratory investigations done on days 3, 7 and 20 of illness are shown in the Table. On day 1 of illness, the total white blood cell count was towards the low normal side, but on days 5 and 20, the count showed a rise which was consistent with a viral infection. Erythrocyte sedimentation rate was highest on day 7. The rest of the investigations were normal. She was referred to the Government Medical College, Thrissur, Kerala on January 31, 2020, and was admitted in isolation block designated for corona infection. By this time, the outbreak monitoring unit of the institution had brought out a detailed policy regarding the standard operating procedures including infection control measures to be followed in the isolation block. On presentation, she had only mild sore throat and rhinitis. She was conscious, oriented, afebrile, with pulse rate 76/min, blood pressure 100/70 mmHg, respiratory rate 12/min and oxygen saturation 97 per cent in the ambient air. General examination revealed no significant findings. She was started on oseltamivir and symptomatic measures. She gradually improved over the three days and became asymptomatic on February 3, 2020 and became negative for COVID-19 infection on day 19 of her illness. The oropharyngeal swabs for diagnosis of COVID-19 infection were collected on days 1, 4, 5, 7 and every alternate day, i.e. days 9, 11, 13 and so on after the onset of illness. The initial swabs remained positive till day 17 after which the swabs on days 19, 21 and 23 were negative and the patient was discharged. She was discharged from the hospital on February 20, 2020.


    VARIANT  MUTANTS


    But, in December 2020, when we thought you were packing away, scared of the vaccines,  you have sprung a surprise through changing your coat -- the UK variant !!!

    The first incidence of this new virus was detected in U.K.in September 2020 and within three months it has widely spread in UK  and in many Europian countries.The name given to the virus appears as jargon to most of us . Kindly go through this post for easy understanding. It is named as V.U.I.2020/12. The expansion for this abbreviation is Virus Under Investigation in December 2020. The technical name is B.1.1.7 that means that a British virus discovered for the first time with seventeen mutations since its first appearance in Wuhan. The corona virus is an RNA virus and it enters human cells by cheating the angio-tensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE-2) receptor because the amino acids present in the spike protein has homological resemblance to ACE from sequence 270 to 510. So any mutation occurring in this region may become advantageous or disadvantageous for the virus. The corona virus has two major proteins namely the spike protein and the nucleo capsid protein. The spike protein gets locked up with the ACE 2 receptor and the nearby heparan sulfate receptor in the human cells and then injects the viral RNA into the cells. Hence all the vaccines are aimed against the spike proteins to prevent the viral entry into the cells. The genetic sequencing of the spike protein show the presence of 9909 amino acids.Each amino acid is coded by three nucleic acid bases such as A(adenine), U(uracil),G (Guanine)and Cytosine (C) .Eg. UUU codes phenyl alanine,UAU codes Tyrosine and so on.Hence the 9909 amino acids in the spike proteins have 9909 multiplied by 3 that is 29727 bases.

    Now, the new British virus is found to be 

    N501Y. This means that the amino acid at position no. 501 is Asparagin written in short form as N. the code for which is AAU. Now the first letter A (adenine) is mutated to U(uracil) and the code is changed to UAU which codes for Tyrosine written in short form as Y. So ,N501Y means that at position 501 asparagin is changed to tyrosine. It is an advantageous mutation for the virus because it gives a tight binding of the spike protein to the ACE 2 receptor.Hence the virus sreads with 70% increased speed.(double speed). But whether it is more lethal is yet to be known.

    Anyway the vaccines already manufactured against the older spike protein is expected to be useful  against the new mutant virus also. 

    NATURE is more powerful than man and the Darwin's doctrine that 'Survival of the Fittest' holds good at all times and for all organisms including man. 


A  letter  from  CHARLES DARWIN



As a proxy for Charles Darwin,  I wrote this 

letter which is a mix of facts and fantasies.   
                          .                                                                          
              --  T. Rama Prasad

 

 




CHARLES  ROBERT  DARWIN

Westminster  Abbey,  LONDON         

September 9, 2020

 

Dear Humankind,

 

“It is not the strongest of the species that survives,  nor the most intelligent that survives.  It is the one that is the most adaptable to change.”

 

Once again, read my quote of the 18th century about  adaptability.  SARS-CoV-2 is 'most adaptable to change'.  That's why it is surviving and thriving.  That's the secret of success of some species.  Some of you might have read my writings on  "Origin of Species",  "Theory of Evolution",  "Natural Elimination of the Weakest",  "Survival of the Fittest", etc.  You, Humans, are still on earth because of your adaptability.  But now you are not able to cope up with Corona.  When you can't conquer Corona, you have to adapt rather than to surrender.

 

It's a pathetic sight to see you all scramble over like a headless chicken and finally locking yourselves inside your homes with absolute uncertainty of coming out.  How long are you going to lockdown your means for livelihood and still be alive ?

 

This novel Corona is a story about 'Much ado about nothing'.  OK, it's about 'Much ado about something', because it spread faster, killed quickly and affected many,  a tad unlike the previous coronaviruses and pandemics.  But it need not cause panic.  It is a fitting solution for the overpopulation and indiscipline, and an action of nature in tune with happenings for healthy sustenance of species.

 

You had 'super-evolved' to manipulate 'Nature' to suit your self-centred materialistic interests.  You had altered the course of evolution and invited calamities like droughts, floods, forest fires, earthquakes, tsunamis, formidable diseases, both metabolic and infective, etc.  And now you invited Coronavirus.  It will be your permanent guest.  Nature has its own ways of controlling ecosystems and maintaining environmental balance.  Don't interfere with it too much.  Adapt, adapt and adapt.

 

When you go beyond a limit,  nature steps in for a speedy correction of the course of evolution which in normal course takes a very long and sinuous course.  The speedy correction is needed in your own interest, to upgrade species and provide them better evolutionary opportunities and perfections.  And more importantly to correct your erratic mindset. That's why Corona stepped in.  Let it do its job, while you protect yourselves and treat yourselves to the possible extent.  But don't go overboard.

 

The idea of nature is to relieve the hopelessly sick, weak and unproductive,  and to endow the rest of the over-populated lot with better living conditions,  and to promote  more robust genetic pool of human species.  You are nearly eight billion and nine per cent of you are aged 65 or over.   You were half of this number half-a-century ago.  It is the evolutionary necessity to get rid of the dead wood  (some of the aged and the chronically ill who are hopelessly vulnerable to serious illnesses and who may soon succumb even without COVID-19) which is more of a liability, health wise and economy wise, at present and in future.  Corona may take away some of these people 'naturally'.   

 

In the large context of species preservation, there is not much place for sentiments.  This doesn't mean that all the vulnerable would be or should be wiped out -- those with good immunity and who take extra care would escape.  And who knows ?  The number of these 'natural covid' deaths may be much lesser than the deaths due to  your interventions -- and think about the enormous number of deaths that may occur indirectly for various reasons due to consequences of lockdowns.   Irrespective of the deaths and the demographic balance,  the most important benefit accrued due to the pandemic would be the realisation of human values, correction of lifestyles, shedding materialistic outlook,  and preservation of 'nature'.

 

This is my recognised theme of ecosystems -- 'Natural elimination of the weakest and survival of the fittest'.  What doesn't kill one , makes one stronger, and more immune.   Moreover, the virus would have taught all the human beings, by now, how to live a 'good lifestyle' and prevent future calamities, catastrophes and cataclysms.

 

What did you do when this corrective step by nature struck you ?   You mortals interfered with nature again, too much.  Didn't allow the virus to do its job.  It couldn't 'peak' early, decline early and leave early, leaving you with some sort of 'herd immunity'.   You delayed everything and upset your own whole set up.  You 'locked down' everything and deployed all your ammunition to kill the enemy.   Unmindful of your defences and offences the highly 'adaptable' enemy forayed into every nook and corner of the globe and tanked you all.  The lockdowns  didn't kill the raging virus, but they sure did kill millions of jobs.

 

Arrogance against nature.  Albert Einstein said: "The only thing more dangerous than ignorance is arrogance."  When arrogance failed, you went into a fit of fear out of which you went into a mode of "Lockdown."  You have sent the whole economy into a tailspin, with jangled nerves and rattled lives, presaging difficult times ahead, and with uncertainty looming large.  Your meticulously programmed career schedules, birthday bashes and holiday itineraries are kaput.  Oh, how scared you humans are -- non-touch friendship, non-touch romance, non-touch weddings ... !   And all your big investments, backed by prudent actuarial consultants, went bankrupt.  The highly ambitious launches of big business barons are going down the sunset.  All these could have been avoided if you had sensibly handled the situation without hubris, and with adaptiveness and level-headedness.  Industrial ecosystems can't be created by magic nor can they be revived by a silver bullet.  You destroyed them,   just as you destroyed forests out of your greed.  Over the top reaction.  Can you reforest by a click on your laptop ?   Your greed has no limits and ethics at all -- even in the midst of the corona crisis,  you indulged in murky profiteering activities through shameful and fraudulent research publications about anti-corona drugs in reputed journals like The Lancet and The New England Journal of Medicine.  And you call it 'Modern Medicine' !  And your 'modern medicine' billed $1.1 million in the US and Rs.16 lakh in India to treat just one Covid patient.  Overcharging is so rampant that the General Insurance Council (GIC) moved the Supreme Court against alleged 'profiteering' by private hospitals in India.  When objected by the GIC, in one case, the bill of Rs.14 lakh was brought down to less than 4.5 lakhs !  And your 'modern laboratories and private hospitals' have an unholy nexus to promote admissions based on fake Corona positive lab reports and then to exploit the terrified patients.

 

Through your stupid 'lockdown reactions', you thought that you saved a lot of lives, but it is insignificant when compared to the overall deaths, death of economy, sliding down of living standards, attrition, recession and severe slowdown over an indefinite period of future.  

 

While taking some basic precautions and necessary treatment, if you had allowed the virus to do its job of "evolution" and allowed yourselves to do your jobs normally,  some of the 'dead wood' would have perished,  but the remaining lot would have been robust both health-wise and economy-wise.   The fear now is that the whole lot may become "dead wood"  in course of time for 'non-COVID-19' reasons.  And I hate to write a book titled  "The Extinction of Humankind."

 

Long live Homo sapiens !

 

Yours humanly,

 

CHARLES    DARWIN



CHARLES  DARWIN  and  GOD

Westminster abbey

"[My] judgment often fluctuates…. Whether a man deserves to be called a theist depends on the definition of the term … In my most extreme fluctuations I have never been an atheist in the sense of denying the existence of a God. — I think that generally (and more and more so as I grow older), but not always, — that an agnostic would be the most correct description of my state of mind."                  --    Charles Darwin                 



 

Dr. T. Rama Prasad

drtramaprasad@gmail.com                        

www.rama-scribbles.com  

 

Formerly:  Medical Superintendent (Special) of RTS & IRT Perundurai Medical College and Research Centre, Perundurai, Tamil Nadu, India.

 

Presently:  Director, PAY WHAT YOU CAN  Clinic, Perundurai, Erode District, Tamil Nadu – 638052.


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This looks like a bomb, a corona and the planet Earth.  Earth is of the size of 12,000 kilometres in diameter, a bomb about one foot and the virus about 0.125 microns.  Why are we afraid of small things ?  Should we use sledgehammers to crack nuts ?  Use an axe to kill a mosquito ?  In fact,  could we kill mosquito which has been killing millions ?  Shameful for our gigantic strides in science and technology!  For over six months,  the tiny virus generated a welter of information for us to talk non-stop about politics and pandemics to weather and Weltanschauung.  With increased database on Covid,  confusion has proportionally increased.  Have we overcomplicated corona pandemic ?  Yes, we would do pretty darn well by just sticking to the basics of prevention and treatment instead of confusing more with mutations like D614G.


Mentally blank and imbalanced.  UNCERTAINTY is the synonym of this ominous and looming pandemic.  Remedial measures seem to be worse than the malady.  The world is trapped in an intriguing maze of interventions.  How to come out ? 

MISSING  STRANGERS  ! 

        People felt lonely during the lockdown.  Not because they missed their near and dear.  But because of missing the  crowds of strangers -- in public places, roads, restaurants, shops, bus stops, markets, beaches, parks, temples, trains, buses, etc.  Human psychology is such that they badly missed what they used to complain as a nuisance.



        Imagine sitting alone in a movie theatre;  travelling as a lone passenger in a train;  shopping in an empty mall;  navigating through an exhibition without people jostling around;  being in a 'Kalyanamandapam' with only a few known people -- this applies to both the hosts and invitees.

        And imagine the flow of 'strangers' in the stunningly colourful gardens of the 'Gardens by the Bay' or in the 'Jewel' at Singapore.   They don't really enjoy without the presence of the strangers though they never interact with them, be it in Singapore or Srirangam.  

        They miss the din and noise generated by strangers.  They miss the mad rush, traffic jams, the hustle and bustle of city life, speeding vehicles belching exhaust fumes, blaring cacophony of music and noise everywhere.  All those bad things seem to make people happy.  Yes, they missed them badly.  Difficult to understand the human being !!!

THE  TICKING  TIME  BOMB

          This coronavirus could have been just another virus except for the following peculiarities: 
(1) About 5% of the patients with mild symptoms suddenly ran into life-threatening emergencies. (2) Blood oxygen dropped too low without causing the  usual warning of  breathlessness, but killing the brain / heart fast -- 'happy hypoxia' -- even while 'happily' taking dinner or walking -- see the newspaper report below. (3) Lining of the blood vessels in the lungs and many other organs in the body were affected rapidly. (4) Extensive pneumonia was present without severe external symptoms. (5) Unexplainable clotting of blood occurred which quickly lead to death, even in young people.  (6) Heavy casualties occurred in the most developed countries (about 4 million cases and more than   1,46,000 deaths -- a quarter of the global burden, as on 27.7.20, in the US which has the world's best healthcare infrastructure).  (7) Exceptionally fast and wide spreading. 

Except for these speedy catastrophic events,  most of us would not have even known the name of this disease.

         This virus ruins our immune system (our Interferon proteins alert the body when enemy enters --  then our antibodies kill the enemy pathogen -- then our T-cells & B-cells eliminate our infected cells).  Peculiarly, this virus cheats the system, gains entry into cells, rapidly destroys them even before the alert is sounded and the antibodies arrived.  And it triggers a 'self-killing' over-reaction of our immune system ("cytokine storm") -- immune system going overdrive damaging our own organs fatally.  


          It is the ticking clock that has set the pace in 'corona matters' -- emergency to find a vaccine and cure,  a race against time.  In the absence of these in sight, amidst the doom and gloom of lockdowns, people have become panicked and been driven into utter confusion and paranoia.  Quite a bit of this panic situation is due to media hype and disproportionate coverage.  And this lead to overreaction by governments resulting in  severely restricting movement and locking down everything which is quite uncalled for.  This did more damage than good.  After all,  the Coronavirus didn't cause morbidity and mortality much more than what other microbes have already been doing.  This is just a new speedy wave.

  Until a vaccine or cure is found, it seems we are doomed to "Touch -me-Not".



"Touch-me-Not".  Even the "Touch-me-Not" plant in the video above is saying "Namasthe" by folding its hands (leaves) instead of shaking hands !!!
Even the dog is scared of Covid  !
        
       



CORONA  TEMPLE

          Uncertainties and vicissitudes in life often make one hobble through life with the help of the crutches of faith.  During the past half-a-century,  "true devotion" seemed to have become slightly faded,  partly due to scientific advancements and arrogance of affluence.  Now that the science couldn't certainly stop Corona and lockdowns, and that lockdowns are melting away affluence and arrogance,  people are leaning more on faith for support.  Alas !  Then the temples are closed.  A new temple has come up as you can see below:


This is what 'CORONA  DEVI' said:
Dear Humans,

YOU are now having time to reflect on what is important in your life.
When all this is over and I am gone ... 
Shed your arrogance …  grow compassion instead.
Listen to the earth 
Stop Polluting the earth … Stop fighting amongst yourselves. 
Stop caring about materialistic things 
Start caring about the earth and all its creatures 

Because, next time,  I may come back even stronger and punish you more.

Helpfully yours,
Corona Devi.

"If you destroy NATURE,  Miss Corona would wipe you out with NUCLEIC ACIDS, not NUCLEAR WEAPONS."  --  T. Rama Prasad.

PARANOIA

          People are suspicious of everybody being a potential carrier of the virus.  They can't do away with maids and they don't want to risk their coming in.  They behave with them as though they are devils bringing in the virus.  Be humane -- treat them with kindness, dignity and respect. After all, they have been cleaning our houses, cooking our food, washing our clothes, bringing up our children, etc.  Read about the paranoia in the clipping below.



          An estimated 67 million people are employed in domestic work around the world.  Most of them are women.  This is a vast but hidden force asserting their rights on the 'International Domestic Workers Day' on June 16.
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STATISTICS

It's now amusing to read what I wrote on this blog page 5 months ago:  "As on 24.01.2020 … The death toll has alarmingly increased to 26 in China.  Korea, US, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore & Vietnam also identified cases.  The total number of cases reported has quickly rose to 834, ..."
We thought that 26 deaths was an 'alarming' number.  Today, on August 1, 2020, one is dying every 15 seconds in the world !

August 1, 2020

World            17,351,647    cases        2,226 ca/1m         673,339  deaths         86   dts/1m
US               4,612,837      cases        13,930 ca/1m       154,766  deaths.         467   dts/1m         
India                 1,639,350        cases       1,187 ca/1m               35,789 deaths.            26  dts/1m
China.                   84,165        cases.        58 ca/1m                   4,634  deaths.              3  dts/1m
Singapore             51,809        cases.      8,850 ca/1m                    27   deaths.             5  dts/1m
Tamil Nadu.         240,000       cases.                                        3,838   deaths
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January 1, 2021
                                        Cases.                   /m.          Deaths.          /m
  
World.                      95,852,786.                12,297       2,045,635      262
US.                          24,563,229                  73971        408,089         1,229
India.                       10,582,458.                 7,627.        152,588.         110
China.                      88,336.                             61.        4,635.                 3
Singapore                59,127.                       10,063         29.                     5
UK.                          3,433,494                  50,432.         89,860       1,320. 
Canada                     712,949.                     18,800.      18,074.          477
South Korea.            72,729.                       1418.           1,264.            25
Tamil Nadu               831,000.                                        12,264


Global coronavirus  cases reached nearly 100 million (1.3% of world population),  and over 2 million people died.  50 million in the first 11 months, and the next 50 million in just the next 3 months.One person was infected every 7.7 seconds, on an average, since the start of 2020.  Global fatality rate stands at 2.15%.  The worst affected countries -- the US, India, Brazil, Russia and the UK -- make up more than half of all the reported cases but represent only 28% of the global population, according to a Reuters analysis.  With over 25 million cases, the US has 25% of all the cases although it accounts for just 4% of the world population.
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INDIA

Before 'Lockdown' on 24.03.2020                       564  cases               10  deaths

After   'Lockdown' on  01.07.2020                585,729  cases        17,410  deaths

                                     01.08.2020               1,639,350  cases      35,789  deaths

                                     01.09.2020               3,624,613  cases      64,646  deaths

Before the ‘lockdown’ on March 24, 2020, there were 564 ‘cases’ and 10 deaths in India.   When it was ‘unlocked’ on June 1, 2020,  there were 97,008 cases and 5,606 deaths.  And, just after 30 days, on July 1, 2020  the number of cases had increased to 585,729 and the deaths had increased to 17,410.   And look at the figures of August 1, 2020  !!!   It looks that all the efforts of lockdown probably only delayed rather than averted the effect of the epidemic.  At best, they were only partially-successful, especially by not allowing the fatality rate to go up enormously.  When a ‘green zone’ is opened it is turning into a ‘red zone’ in no time.


India:  50,000 cases up to May 6th;  In the next 27 days - increased to 200,000.
            'Total Lockdown' from March 24 to May 31.  In the next 27 days, it has 
             increased to over 500,000 !  On July 16, 2020,  it was one million !!   
            And just after a couple of weeks, on August 1, 2020,  it was more than 
            one-and-a-half million  !!!

DEATHS in the WORLD:  In about 9 months, COVID-19 may be the cause for around one million deaths around the world. ALARMING, one thinks.  But, just pause a while, and look at the statistics below.  Around 44 million people have been dying each year due to just 10 kinds of illnesses even before COVID-19 entered the field !!!  And, with the attention shifted to CORONA during 2020,  the deaths due to other diseases would have gone a lot beyond the mark of 44 million !  Unintentional tragedy. 



A  KNOWN  UNKNOWN

            These are called DATA and STATISTICS -- a known unknown !  Using the same figures, different people draw different conclusions by twisting, torturing and tabulating to testify triumph or defeat.  Data is the new corona oil, also the new snake oil.  Punditry has it that what gets measured gets managed. Donald Trump says they tested more and recorded data more accurately, so they have more cases and more deaths.  India says look at the data of per million, we have less cases, and very less deaths.  Record keeping in India is a known unknown.  To paraphrase Shakespeare, the Bard, in Julius Caesar,  politicians have and will peddle snake oil, in the hope that people will willingly believe what they wish to be true.

   “Lies, damned lies and statistics.”
                             --   Benzamin Disrael

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UNCERTAINTY is the synonym of this ominous and looming pandemic.  Remedial measures seem to be worse than the malady.  The world is trapped in an intriguing maze of interventions.  How to come out ? 
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 VIRUS is not the problem,  VACCINE  is not the problem.  "MEDIA" is the problem.  Kill the media, the virus dies !!!  --  T. Rama Prasad
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December 31, 2020
FAREWELL  to  2020,  the CORONA  YEAR
  • Worldwide, 80 million infected, 1.75 died.
  • In India, 10 million infected, 1,50,000 died.
  • In Tamil Nadu, 8 lakh infected, 12,000 died.
  • Melody king SPB and former president Pranab no more.
  • Wildfires in Australia and California.
  • Taal volcano in the Philippines.
  • Oil spill of 20,000 tonnes into a river in Russia.
  • Plane crashes in Tehran & Pakistan killing 213.
  • Cyclone Amphan killed 130, & made homeless 500,000.
  • Steepest fall of global stock market.
  • Millions lost their jobs.
  • Stadiums, theatres & malls gathered dust.
  • Many, many, many more maladies.
  • But, more hygiene, more philosophy, more caring.
  • We are brought down to the basics -- how to survive. 

C  for  CHILDREN


A - for apple.  B - for boy.  C - for China.  Co - for  Corona,  COVID-19,  Cold,  Cough,  Comorbidity,  Corticosteroids,  Covaxin,  Covifor,  Confusion,  Conundrum.  Any more for C ?  Cytokine storm,  Curfew,  Containment zone,  Cops,  C vitamin,  Chloroquine,  Cholcicine,  ChAdOx1nCoV-19 and finally Critical care,  Cemetery &  Cremation.                       11,000,000  cases  &  500,000  deaths !!!  Oh, deadly "C"  !!!  --  T. Rama Prasad. 

        During the first four months of the "AC (After Corona) era", an impression was given that children were an exception to corona attack.  As months rolled by more and more cases of children were being reported.  Even a four-days-old baby who died was tested positive at GRH, Trichy (Aug 2, 2020), and 39 newborns tested positive at IOG, Egmore.  And more than 3 lakh American children were infected.



Youngsters are so uncertain of their lifespan that they are running to their lawyers to execute a 'will' for their properties.  See the newspaper clipping below:





LIFE  INSURANCE and COVID-19

And many are rushing for LIFE INSURANCE policies for HUGE AMOUNTS.
The 'Insurance Regulator' has made announcements regarding "COVID KAVACH" and "COVID RAKSHAK"  health insurance schemes.

January 6, 2021:  COVID-19 survivors who seek to buy new health insurance could face hurdles in future claims if their ailments can be linked to the viral infection.  The average ticket size of Covid claims stands at Rs.1.20 lakh and non-Covid claims at Rs.75,000.  Some of the seriously ill hospitalised patients may suffer from permanent damage to lungs, heart, kidneys and brain.

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VIRUS is not the problem,  VACCINE  is not the problem.  "MEDIA" is the problem.  Kill the media, the virus dies !!!  --  T. Rama Prasad
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"Lockdown is a reserve drug to be used sparingly in selected cases which are resistant to safer drugs, in view of its long term serious side effects.  It's not a panacea for all Covid ills."   --  T. Rama Prasad    
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 "The most absurd expectation from a "lockdown" is that it is a totally effective eradicator of the virus.  The truth is that it is the costliest medicine with a little effectiveness and a lot of serious side effects."        --  T. Rama Prasad
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"We may be coming to the close of a 'lockdown' period.  Let us not debate whether the lockdown did good or bad, as much can be said on either side.  Leave alone the micromanaging controversies and try to see the larger picture and learn and unlearn quickly and prudently."  
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"COVID-19 is our permanent guest.  When it mutates into a less lethal strain, it would be just another guest like H1N1, AIDS, Dengue, Flu viruses, etcetera about which we don't bother so much.  Finding --  T. Rama Prasad
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"If the mode of transmission is understood and the imperative preventive measures are strictly practised by the entire populations around the world,  the disastrous economic destruction due to lockdowns could have been avoided.  And the COVID-19 patients could have been treated according to the need without the terrifying mass quarantines of stupendous negative impacts." 
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"Clear understanding of the facts about this disease and voluntarily applying the knowledge goes a long way to prevent morbidity and mortality,  rather than applying coercive and punitive measures."    
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"The greatest damage that this pandemic did and will do is of infusing FEAR into our blood through media.  The 'INFODEMIC' is the real pandemic destroying health and economy through FEAR which leads to frightening thoughts and disastrous interventions."  --  T. Rama Prasad
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"Let's not debate.   This virus has come here as a permanent guest.  Let's not be obsessive to eradicate it.  Even if we lockdown for 3 years, it would be there, mutating continuously.  We have to act in a smart and nimble way where responsibility is shared between government and society."  -- T. Rama Prasad 
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"Uncertainty is the only certainty of Corona 
which goes laughing all the way to the blood bank."

-- T. Rama Prasad
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"Uncertainty is the synonym of this ominous and looming pandemic. 
 Lockdowns are kaput - Epidemiologists fainted - Economic analysts confounded
The world is now trapped in lockdowns."  --  T. Rama Prasad
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Everybody wants to go back to the "BUSINESS AS USUAL & MAKE MONEY"  mode.  But, Miss Corona says: "Well, at the risk of your LIFE."
                                                                                     --  T. Rama Prasad 
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"If you destroy NATURE,  Miss Corona would wipe you out with NUCLEIC ACIDS, not NUCLEAR WEAPONS."  --  T. Rama Prasad.

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"Panicky over-reaction to corona deaths  has destroyed global economy;
Strict implementation of 'hygiene advisory'  would have been sufficient."

--  T. Rama Prasad
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"Going forward,  the COVID-19 could become a 'viral/bacterial syndemic' posing to kill many more synergistically by joining hands with other microbes, what with the antibiotic resistance across the world and the weakened immunity."                                                                            

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"Not getting into the 'whirlpool' of an ICU with a 'cytokine storm' is a profit of tens of lakhs of rupees." --

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An 'umbrella' of an ICU in a 'cytokine storm'.   --  T. Rama Prasad

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"The virus is the GULLIVER;   The human is the LILLIPUT."  --  T. Rama Prasad
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SYNDEMIC

          When two or more epidemics interact synergistically to produce an increased burden of disease, we call it a 'syndemic'.   The Asian Influenza Pandemic of 1957 killed not only by primary viral infection, but also by secondary bacterial infections.  It was a viral/bacterial syndemic.  Now, the COVID-19 can join hands with other microbes and cause further havoc.
https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/preparing-for-a-syndemic/article31617304.ece  
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SARS (Nov 2002 to July 2003) was a coronavirus that originated in Beijing, China spread to 29 countries and infected 8,096 people and killed 774 people (CFR 9.6%)

MERS (2012) infected 2,494 people and 858 people died (CFR 34.4 %)
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MOSQUITO
            Another cause of concern is the possible alarming emergence of other diseases like dengue and malaria with the upcoming monsoon season associated with mosquitos in tropical South Asia. Chennai city reported over 400 cases of dengue in 2019.  Thousands of "Domestic Breeding Checkers" (DBCs), as they are called to control mosquito breeding places around residential areas, are now diverted to 'Corona Duty'.  This may lead to increase in mosquito related diseases.

THE  CONFUSION  OF  UNCERTAINTY


"Uncertainty is the only certainty of Corona 
which goes laughing all the way to the blood bank."

-- T. Rama Prasad

















Schrodinger’s cat … alive or dead ?        --  BOTH

Coronavirus  … living or non-living ?       --  BOTH

Lockdowns  …  success or failure ?         --  BOTH

Un-lockdowns ... relief or danger ?           --  BOTH

Coronavirus …  did good or bad ?            --  BOTH

ICU patient  …  alive or dead ?                 --  BOTH


Everything looks like the Schrodinger's cat !  
Look for the cat in the link below: 
https://www.themonitor.com/2020/03/24/commentary-outsmarting-virus/

         

          They are all there to confuse  --    

Contradictory  Findings


Correct information,  fake news and believed knowledge -- nothing certain.  Graphs. Mathematical models. Epidemiological projections. Scientific predictions, both alarmist and comforting, proved wrong.  Pre-prints.  Peer-reviewed publications.  Retracted articles in medical journals.  Statistical firm data.  Evolving evidence.  Inconclusive meta analysis.  Masks must ... not necessary.  3 feet distance ...  or 6 feet ... or 18.   BCG protective ...  not protective.  Virus lives for only a few minutes ... no, for many days.  Infects through cough ... even when one just speaks.  Through door knobs. Through newspapers. HCQ wonder drug ... it may also kill.  Plasma therapy life-saving ... may be dangerous too.  Gangajal.  Gomuthra.  Kashayam.  Chloroquine, Kudineer.  Hot water drinking.  Hot climate. Sauna bath. Sun bath. Smoking protects. Covid harmless to most.  Not very lethal.  Kills within hours.  Timely treatment saves.  No specific treatment.   A normal person may infect.  Lockdowns good.  Very bad too. Disinfectants good ... harmful.  Lockdowns ... ultimately gaining health and wealth.  Truth ... untruth.  Certain ... uncertain.  Learn ... unlearn. Children are immune,  and about 100,000 kids tested positive in just two weeks in July 2020 in the US alone. Elders more affected,  Children more infective,  False negatives 30%,  False positives alarming.  SARS-CoV-2  or  D614G mutant ? Lockdown for 3 weeks. One more month. And more months.  And finally, LEARN TO LIVE WITH IT !  For 10 months it was believed that 'Cytokine storm' killed COVID-19 patients rapidly.  Now (November 2020),  a study from Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis and St.Jude Children's Hospital in Memphis, Tennessee showed that only 4% of the COVID-19 patients with acute respiratory failure had the "sky high levels of immune molecules" that signify a so-called 'cytokine storm'.  So, the cause for the deaths remains unknown.



The 'social distance' was 3 feet ... then it was made 6 feet.  Now, with this information published in the journal 'Physics of Fluids', it seems it is to be increased to 18  feet !  With movement of air around at the speed of 4 kmph, droplets can go up to 18 feet in 5 seconds, it said.  Right now (20.05.2020) the wind speed of the Amphan cyclone, hitting West Bengal and Bangladesh, is such that the droplets can travel up to 720 feet in 5 seconds !!!  Safe distance may now mean 10 passengers in a big bus and 30 passengers in a big plane !!!  Oh, invisible Corona,  what a power you have !  You have distanced even the gods in the temples from us !  Uncertainty about you is the only certainty !


MODE  OF  TRANSMISSION

SARS-CoV-2 is transmitted from person to person via small respiratory droplets.  For more information on these droplets and masks, read further below on this page under the subheading "MASKS" 
The droplets are generated when a person with the virus exhales, talks, sings, shouts, coughs, or sneezes. One can contract the virus if one  breathes in these droplets.  This is the basis for "face masks and physical distancing".  
Large (5 to 50 microns, with more viral load) respiratory droplets containing the virus quickly settle down within about 5 seconds on surfaces and objects nearby within 2 metres due to heaviness and gravity.   It’s possible that one could acquire SARS-CoV-2 if one touches mouth, nose, or eyes after touching a surface or object that has the virus on it. However, this is not thought to be the main way that the virus spreads.  This is the basis for "hand-wash and sanitisation" recommendation.
The small droplets (less than 5 microns with lesser viral load, called Airborne or aerosol or micro droplets)  may hang on for a long time, may be minutes, hours or more, in enclosed spaces and be aloft and carried on by air currents  which when inhaled may cause infection.  These small aerosol droplets may spread much beyond 6 feet, may be tens of metres, and infect people ('airborne' infection) who are even a bit far away.  In a well ventilated room, these droplets are carried out of the room quickly and get diluted by the the plenty of air outside losing their  infective potential, as the viral load (quantity and density of viral particles) is also a deciding factor in infection.  This is the basis for recommending 'open-air' restaurants, 'out-door' meetings and vehicles with windows open, in contrast to 'closed air-conditioned' facilities and vehicles.  
Mode of Transmission of CORONA:  The WHO is being pressurised by 237 specialists around the world to revise its advisory by taking AIRBORNE infection into consideration.  The WHO seems to be hesitant as it may lead to advising mandatory indoor air systems to filter out particles, and  provision of ultra violet disinfection in hospitals and public establishments, and medical masks for the public -- all of which may not be possible in lower income countries.
For more details, click on the links below:
"If the mode of transmission is understood and the imperative preventive measures are strictly practised by the entire populations around the world,  the disastrous economic destruction due to lockdowns could have been avoided.  And the COVID-19 patients could have been treated according to the need without the terrifying mass quarantines of stupendous negative impacts."   --  T. Rama Prasad

CORONA PANDEMIC - CORONA INFODEMIC - CORONA ANXIODEMIC / PSYCHODEMIC

        The most conspicuous aspect of this pandemic is that it kick-started a digital Infodemic which is more infectious and more problematic than the virus itself.

          A lot of confusion is infused by the other pandemics - 'Infodemic', etc..  Unsolicited information 24/7 through countless channels had driven us into another pandemic - 'Anxiodemic'.  Anxiety, tension and fear.  We feel engulfed.  The fear is such that, even when the lockdown is lifted, we shall still remain in a foetal crouch !!!

          Though COVID-19 is exceptionally infectious,  it is not very lethal.  In fact, 90% of the cases in India had no or only minor symptoms, and deaths are less than 4%.  So get rid of the FEAR first. 

          The alarmist predictions on Covid proved wrong.  On a larger canvas, the damage done by the virus does not seem to be huge, especially in India, up to July 1, 2020.  Less than 18,000 people died in India as on 01.07.2020 due to COVID-19.  It is a small number compared to 4,35,000 deaths due to TB annually or 1,50,000 deaths due to road accidents per year, in India.  How about deaths due to other diseases ?  Too many.  Ten million Indians die every year of various causes.  Just look at the figures for the lockdown period of 6 weeks (March 25 to May 5) -- India's pro-rated death toll from all causes would be 10 lakhs, including  due to -- influenza and pneumonia of 75,000,  TB of 54,000,  diarrhoea of 50,000,  road accidents of 32,000 and suicides  of 24,000.
            And, the second serosurvey by the ICMR showed, surprisingly, that only 6.6% of the population had been exposed to SARS-CoV-2 virus by August 2020.



             
All this means that the 'Infodemic'-focussed media have set the eyes of the whole country on  only one coronavirus death out of 638 total deaths !   We had been kept in the dark about the other 637 deaths !  Compared to the Western countries, Covid-19 death rate in India is low due to multiple factors (see the list of 13 below), including local conditions which have an impact on epidemic trajectories.  Fortunately, the virus by itself didn't affect India much so far due various factors (mentioned below under the subheading "Unanswered Questions").  But the collateral damage is huge.  Hence the small number of corona deaths need not cause fear.  Get rid of the FEAR first.  Think more about the 'SIDE EFFECTS".

Points of discussions may be hypothetical and revolve around conjectures, especially when India is a data-poor country when it comes to human health.

 We had many pandemics before.  But this one is a little different.  It killed fast (though not too many) and spread fast in highly empowered countries which brought it into focus and undue magnification by media.  Otherwise, it is just another flu, albeit with more kill-power.  But the fear had driven many societies into miscalculated and random 'lockdowns' associated with economic disasters.   'Social Media Distancing' may be a preventive measure against  overreaction !  Indeed, many of the ailments, physical and mental, even in the pre-corona days, were due to the Internet.   

                   A UK study, published on July 22, 2020, from the   found that viewing TV for more than two hours a day resulted in an increase of 6 per cent of all-deaths and 8 per cent of cardiovascular deaths.  There has been an enormous increase in TV viewing during the 'corona lockdowns'.

CORONA era cars:  Ford introduces a new model in 2032 -- Ford Corona V-19.  Two seater - one front & one back, just like all other cars.  Fitted with Ultraviolet Disinfection lamps, and virus alarm system.  Automatic oxygen pumping when O2 saturation falls.  Sleek antique design like the 1932 model.  No guarantee or warranty just as for human life,  with COVID-29 around.  --  Dr. T. Rama Prasad, Perundurai.  




THE  LOCKDOWN  CONUNDRUM

"Uncertainty is the synonym of this ominous and looming pandemic. 
 Lockdowns are kaput - Epidemiologists fainted - Economic analysts confounded
The world is now trapped in  "Chakravyuh" of Abhimanyu -- the intriguing maze. How to come out ?"  --  T. Rama Prasad

          "The most absurd expectation from a "lockdown" is that it is a totally effective eradicator of the virus.  The truth is that it is the costliest medicine with a little effectiveness and a lot of serious side effects."  --  T. Rama Prasad

"Lockdown is a reserve drug to be used sparingly in selected cases which are resistant to safer drugs, in view of its long term serious side effects.  It's not a panacea for all Covid ills."   --  T. Rama Prasad    




"LOCKDOWNVYUHA:  Which Dronacharya's strategy is this ?  And which Abhimanyu is going to get us out of it ?"  --  Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  'Pay What You Can'  Clinic,  Perundurai.  




        

         In this context, there is one crucial question to be answered.  Will the SARS-CoV-2 linger continuously  or mutate itself into oblivion soon ?   If we had known the answer, we could have avoided the disasters we made for ourselves.

            Is the 'lockdown' right or wrong ?  Is the Schrodinger's cat alive or dead ?  Is the virus a living or non-living particle ?  The answer is 'BOTH'.

          'Lockdown' is a double-edged sword.  It is a fiercely debatable subject.   See how they are fighting in the US -- Donald Trump and the fear-mongering welfarism -- the Republican Red States and the Democratic Blue States,  for and against lockdowns ... Tesla Inc chief dared arrest saying he would open his factories against the law, and threatened to move his gigantic factories from California to Texas.  Paradoxically, the US, the most empowered country on the planet is the most adversely affected one by the Covid.  And, its president, the most powerful man in the world, seems to believe that the pandemic controlling honchos and the highly talented academic brains are not necessarily the best or smart people around.  It may sound a trifle ironic that the US president is against lockdowns and is at loggerheads with Anthony Fauci, the top medical advisor to the US.  The virus issue has become an international political issue too, with tensions ratcheted up between Washington and Beijing as they trade barbs over the origin of the virus.

          Considering the vicious nature of the virus, we shouldn't let our guards down and simply surrender to destiny.  There is no uniform default strategy for all and we have to make course corrections nimbly to maintain a balance between economic and public health costs and benefits.  It is like being on a Schrodinger's seesaw.  And also we should remember that the virus killed the economy despite not imposing a lockdown in Sweden.

           One must first understand the mode of spread of this disease and observe all the precautions according to the advisory given by the public health authorities.  This is the surest, safest and most economic way of containing this scourge.  Even a rigid lockdown does not ensure proper wearing of a right mask,  keeping the prescribed physical distance,  washing hands as advised,  observing personal hygiene,  informing about contacts and seeking treatment early.  Does the lockdown ensure all this ?
If not, it can't yield the expected results.  Don't bother about the results on the disease,  but what about the disastrous economic side effects ?  Fatal,  more fatal than COVID-19  !!!   Lockdown is a blunt instrument which can't cut the root cause,  whatever be the epidemiologists say showing mathematical models.  It may be used in a limited tailor-made way and as a situation specific strategy.  Not as a wholesale total lockdown all over a country for indefinite periods, as it's not a whole remedy without serious side effects.   This is applicable to all the countries.   

          Both the 'Corona Virus' and the 'Lockdown Virus' originated in China and spread across the globe.  The non-sustainable 'lockdown' has become a default strategy and an epidemiological fashion,  based on mathematical models and a limited theoretical frame.  An indefinite transnational blanket ban on all activities just to tame one disease is an example of profound insanity.  

SCENARIO  in  INDIA

          India had been under LOCKDOWN  (march 25 , 2020 onwards) which was considered as the most effective preventive step to stem the rot.  The Central Government has been in a mission mode and the State Governments have to be as proactive.  Ultimately, it is in the hands of the people.  It all depends on how meticulously they follow the advisory and the rules.   The bitter pill may not be liked,  but the result would be sweet,   if all goes well according to the plan.  The "IF"is the problem.

          However,  there are experts in the field who think sceptically about the benefits of lockdown.  It may all depend on the specific situation in a locality or the country at a particular point of time.   An editorial in a world famous medical journal, The Lancet, didn't consider the lockdown  as favourable for India (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30938-7/fulltext ).  Our own advisors seem to have followed double standards as can be inferred from the photocopy attached below:  

     It is LIFE versus MONEY.   Without life there's no money, and without money there's no life.  It's the affordability of a country that should decide the type of the 'LOCKDOWN'.  Different 'pundits' expressed different views. America is an example of the conflict, Trump backing the protestors against lockdown in some States.  For India, perhaps, a 'soft and selective lockdown' without a big blow to economy might have been desirable, along with very rigid restrictions in hotspots like Dharavi in Mumbai.  

          The number of deaths due to COVID-19 would be nothing (even without lockdown) when compared to the present and future deaths indirectly due to lockdown (due to the inevitable negligence of other health problems, disruption of regular vaccination schedules, lack of money for healthy living and medical care, etc.).   The harsh reality is that a huge portion of the population is suffering from various infectious and non-infectious diseases. It is an international disgrace that 1,000 persons have been dying of TB every day in India in spite of the half-a-century-old national TB control programme,  let alone the deaths due to other causes.  Even across the world, every year, around 5 lakhs of people die due to 'flu' (seasonal influenza) viruses, around a thousand a day.

          Lockdown -- what's the big deal -- using a sledgehammer to crack a nut !!!  The troika of "1. masks, 2. distancing, 3. hand hygiene",  used in a measured and logical way, would have been sufficient for India, along with improved 'healthcare infrastructure' which is notoriously creaky and rickety what with just 1.3% of GDP on health care (compared to 17% - $3 trillion - of the US).  We can't fix decades of neglect while in the throes of a pandemic.  

MY  COMMENT    ---  to read the comment, please go to the subheading "Is the CORONA MEDICINE  too toxic ?"  above.

          There are various ways of assessment.  One is to apply the 'human capital' concept of economics.    People die in pandemics ...  in massive numbers ... magnitude varies from country to country due to varied circumstances.  As a byproduct of  'infected cases',  immunity develops in the surviving population.  'Survival of the fittest' of Darwin's theory -- immunity is the only long term asset.  Perhaps, the low death rate in India is due to the 'herd immunity' we have.  Preventive precautions are to be taken, including lockdowns which are to be implemented judiciously depending upon the specific local factors and the possible economic impact.  Sometimes,  mathematical and epidemiological models may go for a toss and decisions made on their basis may ignore the seriousness of other compelling adversities on health and economy.  Other diseases don't get proper attention.  Disproportionally large damage may occur to the health of the citizen due to the surge of non-Covid diseases for various reasons like inaccessibility to treatment and a break in general vaccination schedules.  In such circumstances, a midcourse correction from  highly flawed lockdowns to less flawed followups is to be made.  

         According to a study conducted in South Africa a lockdown would kill 29 times more people than it saves.  The extent of economic damage would be anybody's guess.  According to a mathematical model by two former senior scientists of CSIR / NIIST (Ajit Haridas and Roschen Sasikumar),  lockdowns would be ineffective when started too early when only less than 1% of the population is infected, and it takes more than 70 days to cross the 1%; day 70 to 100 -- 22.5%; day 100 to 140 -- 1% again without intervention.  First, the 'herd immunity' must be let to develop, before taking the drastic step of lockdown.   But, herd immunity may take a very long time to develop.  And nobody knows how long the immunity developed after recovery would last.

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.06.20093104v1


However,  one economic assessment says:  If there is no lockdown the economic loss due to 5 million deaths would be about Rs. 20 lakh crore.  If there is a lockdown the economic loss due to disruption of production would be only Rs. 7 lakh crore -- https://www.newindianexpress.com/opinions/2020/may/07/lockdown-an-economically-sound-decision-2140161.html .  Now, look at the figures below:

          India's industrial output, as measured by IIP, contracted by 16.7% in March, 2020.  A mega 10% of GDP,  Rs. 20 lakh crore stimulus package was announced by the Prime Minister of India on May 12, 2020,  after about 50 days of lockdown,  to help nurse the economy back to health.  

          During the corona period we have cultivated a 'tube vision' which lets us see only about corona,  blind to other diseases, hunger, deprivation, present and future livelihood, future GDP, etc.  And,  the 64 million city-slum-dwellers and the scores of migrant labour were outside the field of vision when the surgical move of the lockdown was a 'breaking news'.  Or was it a 'braking news' ?

          It is highly complex -- it's not like switching-on and switching-off a light.  With just an order everything can be locked down, but can't be opened the same way.  Lots of risks --  risk of more number of cases,  risk of not getting back production, economy, health and life to the 'old normal' in the near future.  Even inside the health care system, the COVID-19 has crowded out 'non-covid' care, both public and private, to almost nil, as the days rolled on and the lockdown moved on from phase to phase -- 1 to 4.  This may lead to stupendous 'non-covid' health problems in future.  Is the country's multi-layered health system being sacrificed at the altar of one  virus ?


India -- 9 weeks after lockdown  ... 01.06.2020


Benefit or Loss ?  None can give a satisfactory answer as the issue is riddled with a multiplicity of factors in India, including statistical inaccuracies.  It is an experiment.
    
          Prime Minister Narendra Modi wrote / said on 29.05.2020 that despite tremendous suffering due to the lockdown,  India has averted a huge corona disaster.  On the same day, Dr. Balram Bhargava,  Director-General of ICMR, said that though there has been a rise in positivity rate,  the fatality rate could be kept low,  in spite of  the healthcare-spending being only around 1% of GDP.  He seemed to have indicated helplessness when he expressed the hope that COVID-19 would also quit like H1N1 (swine flu) which suddenly came as a big wave, stayed for a long time and suddenly disappeared, some years ago.  

India started the first phase of lockdown on March 24 and entered the first phase of  'Unlock' on June 1, 2020.



          In the first phase of 3 weeks, between March 24 and April 15, the number of cases had gone up by 20 times, and it is still  growing even at the end of 2 months.  Just in 10 days between May 18, 2020 and May 28, 2020 the number of positive cases had grown from 1,00,328 to 1,65,799 -- a whopping 65,000 increase.  And in just 7 days between  May 26 and June 2 the number went up from 1.5 to 2 lakh -- an alarming increase of 50,000 in one week.  But the death rate is low which is the most important factor (0.3 deaths per one lakh of population -- lowest in the world).  And sadly, the economy plunged down exponentially beyond any hope of full recovery in near future.  Added to this is the pathetic collapse of the migrant workers livelihood and their miserable run to their native States which couldn't be foreseen.  The impact of migrant work force on health and more so on industrial economy also could not be fathomed.    Apart from the agony they suffered to travel back to their native places, they were stigmatised by their own people as virus carriers -- and in fact they might have spread the infection in remote rural areas where healthcare vigilance is substandard.  .If the lockdown was only for three weeks, the workers would not have gone back and the employers would have fully supported them for those three weeks. 
          Proponents of the lockdown say that the situation would have been lots worse if the lockdown was not clamped and that a humongous catastrophe could be averted.  The critics say that it failed to contain the spread.   If it had failed, why it  didn't  work according to the expectations ? 


The following may be the causes:

(a)   The dense population and the deeply entrenched social customs and cultural conventions.  'Social distancing' is not practicable and can't be enforced in the vast heterogenous and congested India.  
(b)   For various reasons, people didn't and couldn't follow the 'health advisory'.  
(c)  Outbreaks occured at different places at different times, asynchronously',   jeopardising calculations based on mathematical models.  
(d)  Owing to loss of income over extended periods, people went into negative thinking and failed to be compliant.  
(e)  This virus is different in its mode of spread and sustainability.
(f)  Last, but not the least, it could be due to a flawed strategy based on just academic advice and mathematical models.  Governmental hubris sans war-room thinking,  keeping the private medical sector away from the battle field,  the incoherent and rapidly shifting strategies and policies, etc may also be the reasons.  Read: https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/indias-corona-strategy-is-very-amoebic/article31165263.ece

What should have been done and what should be done ?

Total lockdown for a long time may not be right for a country like India -- both for health and economic reasons, and both for short-term or long-term benefits.  The following could have been done after the first phase of the lockdown:
  
(a)  Strict and universal use of masks and hygiene measures at least until the end of 2020 at all places.  
(b) Strict tailor-made location-specific restrictions depending on the situation in selected zones.  
(c)  Strict medical supervision of all the vulnerable -- elderly persons and all those having chronic problems of lung, heart, kidney,  metabolic disorders, etc., irrespective of the age, at least until the end of 2020.  If this segment is protected, the rest of the population is not at much risk.  
(d)  Prompt and proper treatment of all suffering from cough and fever.  
(e) The rest of the majority of the working population could have been permitted at the end of the first phase of the lockdown to attend to their duties as usual, but taking all the precautions -- mainly using masks and hand-sanitisers. 'Social distancing' is neither practicable nor very necessary.  
(f)  All this should have been done at the end of the first phase (March 24 to April 15 during which period the number of cases had increased by 20 fold), as  further extension of lockdowns would only worsen the overall situation, especially the livelihood and national economy,   and as it may take another six months or even more to ideally 'flatten the curve' or to reach the 'bottom line'.  Just imagine the extension of lockdowns until the end of the year or even after, as it would take a long time to achieve ideal epidemiological goals for lifting the lockdown.



PHYSICAL  DISTANCING  GOES F OR A  TOSS 

The remedy of indefinite extensions of lockdowns would be worse than the malady.  There is no silver bullet.  This problem would persist and may even increase over a long period of time -- lockdown or no lockdown.  We can certainly slow down the spread by taking some basic precautions like wearing masks and observing hygiene advisory, and more importantly taking care of the symptomatics and the vulnerable population.  We don't know when a really effective vaccine would be available. Until then we have to learn to live with it, and we can't live without a livelihood.  Very fortunately, for reasons not very clear,  the death rate in India is quite low (0.3 deaths per lakh of population compared to 4.5 across the world and 29 of the US).  And even the infection as a proportion to the huge population is not much (128 cases per million).  And there is no need to resort to drastic and disastrous steps  when people are not dying in abnormal numbers.  Natural infection can go on, and it will go on, increasing the 'herd immunity'.   The more the number of people we test, the more would be the number of positive results -- but it doesn't mean more number of patients.  Majority of the people (80%) may not have any symptoms or only mild symptoms -- they only get more immunity through mild subclinical infection.  It's an advantage.  The main focus must be to keep the symptomatics and the vulnerable population safe and to keep the death rate low -- and it seems that the death rate is naturally low in India.


The police, officials and army, if necessary, could have been posted inside (now, they are outside) the work places and educational institutions to enforce preventive measures in addition to 'educate' them on precautions to be taken in daily life, letting the normal activities go on without affecting economy.  it may all  be hypothetical and conjectural due to insufficient information about this disease.   Anyway, we are half way through now (01.06.2020).  Let's see the results.

       Finally,  this is not to cast aspersions on anybody.   But let us be honest. False statistical figures make us lose all the credibility.  People around the world are wondering why the death rate due to COVID-19 in India is so low - lowest in the world at just 0.3 per lakh of population.  Just have a look into the matter in the photocopies below and know what even our own experts feel about it.  People of late have been obsessively tracking COVID-19 statistics, hour to hour, day to day.  What would they think when they realise that these are just some numbers !






POST-MORTEM  of the LOCKDOWN

        The following observations highlighted by the hard-hitting joint statement issued by  experts in the Indian Public Health Association (IPHA), the Indian Association of Preventive and Social Medicine (IAPSM) and the Indian Association of Epidemiologists may serve as a 'post-mortem report':

" ... The lockdown is draconian and based on flawed models presumably drafted by an influential institution which presented a worst-case simulation, which is shown to be way off the mark by subsequent events ...  Had the government of India consulted field-level epidemiologists who have better grasp of disease transmission dynamics compared to modellers or theoreticians, the purpose would have perhaps been better served ... Enforcing the lockdown indefinitely would be too disruptive and the deaths due to the lockdown for various reasons may overtake lives saved due to the lockdown-mediated slowing of the COVID-19 progression ...  From the limited information available in the public domain, it seems that the government was primarily advised by clinicians and academic epidemiologists with limited field training and skills ... India is paying a heavy price both in terms of humanitarian crisis and disease spread, because policy makers relied overwhelmingly on general administrative bureaucrats instead of engaging with expert technocrats in the areas of epidemiology, public health, preventive medicine and social science ... The incoherent and often rapidly shifting strategies and policies, especially at the national level, are more a reflection of afterthought and catching-up phenomenon by the policy makers rather than a well-thought and cogent strategy with an epidemiological basis ... Open and transparent data sharing with scientists, public health professionals and the public is conspicuous by its absence till date ... Had the migrant persons been allowed to go home at the beginning of the epidemic when the disease spread was very low, the current situation could have been avoided.  
They are now taking infection to every corner of the country, mostly to rural and remote areas, in districts with relatively weak public health systems ... Community transmission is already well-established across large sections or subpopulations in the country, though the government denies it ... Control of the pandemic at the State and district levels using evidence-based interventions while simultaneously ensuring optimal provisions for the livelihood of the poor and marginalised would have been ideal..."         

           In a matter like this, opinions of experts do differ, but the hard-hitting collective observations made by the three highly recognised academic associations of authentic experts  can't be brushed away as just another opinion.  It is compelling on us to ruminate fundamentally on the wisdom of taking a decision to lockdown and on the way of conducting the lockdown.

Sunetyra Gupta, Professor of Theoretical Epidemiology at Oxford, England  explains the downside of lockdowns.  She said "The thought of lockdown imposed in India and other countries with similar problems sends chills through me ... I felt it was going to cause immense harm and untold damage.  So, I don't think that it was a good solution ... This is just one disease. Let's face it, we don't have the infrastructure in place to prevent the deaths occurring from TB, diarrheal disease and other respiratory infections.  We don't have the health infrastructure and that is an international disgrace ..."  For more, go to:   
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/blogs/the-interviews-blog/we-cannot-look-at-this-epidemic-as-a-single-axis-of-how-many-people-are-going-to-become-infected/

    It is pathetic that the society had to respond to the lockdown, extended lockdowns and reimposition of lockdowns as though they were "Law and Order" problems.   Rigid implementation of the rules without sensitivity and pushing people into nightmarish quarantines, hellish and fatal  run of the migrant labour along railway tracts, alleged custodial torture for minor violations of the lockdown, etc   had distanced people from voluntary participation.  People had become terrorised more because of the HEAVY-HANDED  POLICING-LED actions and quarantines rather than the VIRUS.  Virus fear went into the background in the minds of the people.  It's reported that about 50 per cent of the people tested for the virus give false addresses and phone numbers to evade follow up and quarantine. They are said to be tracked , traced and treated like criminals -- and imagine the stigma factor.   People are afraid of going out for a morning walk, even with masks on deserted roads, for fear of being fined 100 rupees (see the receipt attached).

       
The lockdowns translated like this:  authoritative rules -- police -- arbitrary actions -- shifting policies -- incoherent plan -- punishments -- quarantines -- inconveniences --  stigma --  loss of livelihood -- hunger -- pain -- uncertainty of future and everything -- resentment -- loss of trust -- evasion. 
Evasion even to seek medical aid for fear of quarantine and stigma.  This led to cases going underground, breeding more viruses.   Under these circumstances,  many doctors and private hospitals were reluctant, even afraid, to attend to patients, putting forth some excuse or other.  For instance, see the misfortune of the Bangalore patient and the Coimbatore patient in the attached clippings alongside.  Partnership between the 'public medical sector' and the 'private medical sector' was woefully lacking, for various reasons.  This is the reason for the private medical sector to  evade.  There is a 'built-in negative factor' in our litigation system.  Why many doctors and hospitals shun to take care of road accident victims ?  (in spite of Constitution of India, 1950, article 21,   Indian Medical Council Act, 1860: Section 33, Clause 10, Tamil Nadu Private Clinical Establishments (Regulation) Act, 1997,  etc. which are extended to 'covid care')   For that matter why people passing by the accident sites on Indian roads generally evade to stop and help the victims ?  You can see the ground realities in the attached clipping with the heading "Don't turn away patients ..." -- an edifice of reluctance and enforcement !  It reflects 3 things --  1. Inhumanity  2.  Authoritarianism  3.  Impracticability of  complying with protocols and the capping of the charges.       
Section 65 and 66 of the Disaster Management Act 2005 and the Private Clinical Establishment Acts don't ensure empathy.  Nobleness should come from the bottom of the heart, not from the words 'Noble Profession' and the legal deterrents.

All this led to:   (1)  Unavailability of service.  (2)  Seemingly exorbitant charges.

July 1, 2020 -- DOCTORS  DAY.   We doctors thank you all for the greetings.  We want to keep the "PATIENT  FIRST"  in our minds.  This is AC era (After Corona).  Patients are afraid of going to doctors.  Doctors are afraid of attending to patients.  'Fear Pandemic'  is worse than the 'Virus Pandemic'. 


In India, we have a wide range of private and public treatment options.  So, we have plenty of complaints with regard to Corona treatment as can be seen in the clippings attached below.  In the private sector, the range is from a cheap unqualified charlatan charging less than 50 rupees to a state-of-the-art corporate hospital charging even more than 50 lakhs of rupees to treat a case of COVID-19.  Option is there, no compulsion.  
The high charges are sought to be justified on the grounds of high investment and sophisticated treatment -- a shot of medicine may cost 50 thousand rupees, and an 88 grams pack of donkey milk-based skin cream costs Rs.6,136.  And add to this the risking of the life, which can't be priced, of the staff, in spite of 'Personal Protective Equipment'.  'These high-end hospitals are meant for the wealthy.  The wealthy don't mind high charges so long as they are right. The grievance of even the richest is lack of transparency in accounting, exploitation and profiteering,  as it is well known that some of the hospitals have mastered the art of 'creative accounting', bordering on to shameful robbing in the 'Noble Profession'.  On the other hand, the managements of the private hospitals lament  that they are economically struggling even for their existence.  This also is to be considered, in view of the huge capital invested and the expensive maintenance.  The other option is government health facilities.  With 1.3% of GDP for them and the harsh realities of prevalence of red tape,  what else can they do ?  The bottom 70% in the financial scale in India have to be content with the vagaries and mercy of the unpredictable public health care sector.

    What's this situation due to,  after the lockdown ?  (1) Morbid fear of death, both for the patient and the doctor.  (2)  Struggle for economic existence of the private hospitals.  (3)  Sheer exploitation and profiteering.  There's more to it than what it seems to be.  The debate has been going on and the jury is still out.

In this context, an article by Dr. Raj B Singh on the justification for the private hospitals for charging what is economically viable for them,  and the need for the 'public health care sector' to do what the 'private medical care sector' is doing now as a solution to the problems is worth reading -- https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/needed-a-transfusion-for-public-health-care/article31798593.ece .  Medical service, in general, all over the globe is largely run on business models.  Just a competition.  Profit driven.  The government may just as well compete with the private medical sector and provide good  care at competitive rates instead of finding fault with the private hospitals.  People would just flock to the public sector if the service is good and priced reasonably.   And this would automatically 'regulate' the pricing and minimise 'exploitation' in the private sector.  Where would be the need to go to the expensive private hospitals ?  But the million-dollar question is: "Would it be possible for the government to do that ?"







Profiteering or Struggle for existence ?  












Adverse relationship with communities developed instead of 'public-private partnership' among people which only spells success in public health initiatives.  Making people voluntarily participate is a very sensitive issue which calls for sympathy, empathy and understanding.  People should be made to understand the situation clearly and make them receptive to the ideas.  The activity so far, to some extent, looked like an exercise that is usually done to maintain 'law and order'.  Police batons, arrests and punishments shouldn't be the first-line deterrents.  Invoking Authorities say that force is to be used as the people don't understand the gravity of the situation and cooperate.

         All this is written without prejudice and bias.  This is based on the views of various experts in the field -- of course, experts disagree on issues,  and the myriad of reports.  


To know about one more view (of Dr. T. Jacob John, former Professor of Virology, Christian Medical College, Vellore, and an internationally reputed virologist), click on the links below: 

https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/indias-corona-strategy-is-very-amoebic/article31165263.ece

https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/can-indias-workforce-have-a-safe-return-to-business/article31698049.ece


"Clear understanding of the facts about this disease and voluntarily applying the knowledge goes a long way to prevent morbidity and mortality,  rather than applying coercive and punitive measures."    
                                         
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"TRAVEL  DISTANCE"
"WORLD ENVIRONMENT DAY:  We have come to this level of "Travel Distancing" because we (the real viruses) destroyed environment which resulted in new diseases, droughts, floods, cyclones, earthquakes, etc.  Save 'NATURE' and save the PLANET".  --  T. Rama Prasad.  



THEN,  WHAT TO  DO  ?

         What should we do now ?  For the larger good of the planet,  JUST UNLEARN -- unlearn the bad materialistic lifestyle learnt over the past one century;  unlearn the unkind attitude to nature and man developed over the past one century.  This is just not to get out of the fire of the Covid-19,  but to have a good life in the long future.  JUST UNLEARN.  And,  follow the health advisory given by healthcare officials to tide over the present crisis -- personal hygiene, social responsibility, physical distancing, masks, etc. 
          The government would say 'we did our job, and hereafter it would be your job to look after yourself'.  Yes, hereafter,    "community and civil-society-led self-quarantine and self-monitoring" is better than "coercive top-down quarantine approaches, which are driven by the authorities."                                                                                              
         
"Let's not debate.   This virus has come here as a permanent guest.  Let's not be obsessive to eradicate it.  Even if we lockdown for 3 years, it would be there, mutating continuously.  We have to act in a smart and nimble way where responsibility is shared between government and society."  

SOCIAL  VACCINE

          We have to use the vaccine that is available now.  It is the 'SOCIAL  VACCINE'made by lockdowns, that is to be taken seriously by everybody around the world.  'Social Responsibility,  'Personal Hygiene', 'Lifestyle Modification' and  'Preserving Nature' are the main ingredients of this vaccine.  Don't foolishly think that lockdown is the remedy and the end of corona crisis -- this is just the beginning.  Lockdown is just a short-period demonstrative and training course of lessons in the 'classroom at home' to learn how  this 'Social Vaccine' is to be taken in course of time.  Last but not the least is 'Preserving Nature' which only has the long lasting benefit.

          After the 'lockdown' is lifted,  leave this 'classroom at home' and take this 'Social Vaccine' daily as a routine until a really effective biomedical vaccine is made.  And, it is most unlikely that a 'Really Effective' vaccine can be made in the near future.  This means that you have to take these preventive measures indefinitely for a long time even if you are free to go out for work or studies.  Miss Corona would be our permanent guest.


"MASKS  or  LOCKDOWNS:  If masks were worn universally since the start of the journey of Miss CORONA,  there wouldn't have been a need for the lockdowns.  Perhaps,  due to their 'mask-wearing culture', Japanese and South Koreans had low 'covid mortality', even without lockdowns."  --  Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  'Pay What You Can' Clinic,  Perundurai.  

          Our research of 40 years didn't find a really effective vaccine against HIV/AIDS which has killed about 35 million people so far.  Measles persists despite having a vaccine.  I shall tell you the story of the efficacy, failure and commerce of influenza vaccines later.  HIV could be controlled to some extent because of the awareness of the cause and consequences;  behavioural change and sexual discipline (a kind of 'Social Vaccine');  not through conventional vaccines,  medicines and legislation.  Same seems to be the case with Covid-19.  The 'Social Vaccine' (social responsibility, personal hygiene, lifestyle modification and preserving nature) delivered through the  'lockdown school' is the only hope to get out of this crisis;  not punitive legislation, not  hospitals, not further lockdowns. 

          If  carrots didn't work in the class room,  teachers used canes ... in the corona case, the caning would not be from teachers or police,  it will be from COVID-20  !!!   The Westerners need to learn this lesson seriously,  lest they would sink the whole world to unfathomable depths.  

We have been advocating ‘Covid-appropriate behaviour’ (masks, distancing & hygiene) for over one year to prevent a second wave.  Recklessness to this advice might also be the cause for the shocking swell in the cases.   This incessant advisory didn’t work though it is of paramount importance.    People have developed a strong sense of déjà vu about it as the recipe is the same over a long period.  They are fatigued and dejected.  Sermonic repetitions yielded only contrarian effects.  Most of the people, including many doctors, didn’t follow the advisory, as it is not practicable in India.  But, it is the cheapest and best preventive measure.  How many, including doctors,  are wearing  proper masks properly and disposing them off properly ?  While the advisory didn’t work,  it is to be made very clear that no Covid virus can expand its footprint without the lack of ‘Covid-appropriate behaviour’ of humans.  Under the existing circumstances, vaccination is the only thing available and reliable to stem the scourge.  And until the vaccination is completed the only preventive measure is to strictly follow the ‘Covid-appropriate behaviour’.

 


DON'T  GET  SCARED ... use the troika of  'masks, physical distancing and hygiene', in a logical and measured way.   Cooperation of the public and the participation of the 'private medical sector'  are crucially needed.  Mid-course corrections are necessary as there are many knowledge gaps in the 'corona compendium'.         

Further reading:  
https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/a-shot-of-hope-with-a-game-changing-vaccine/article31383184.ece (article by Dr. T. Jacob John, Virologist  &  Dr. Prathap Tharyan, Epidemiologist -- both from Christian Medical College, Vellore -- published in The Hindu of April 20, 2020)




Dr. T. Jacob John is a former Professor of Virology at Christian Medical College, Vellore.  Interestingly, I am having a letter written to me 34 years ago in 1986 by him in connection with an AIDS suspected case seen by me, a couple of months before the first batch of six AIDS positive cases were detected in India by Dr. Jacob John !  A photo copy of the letter is attached below for historical curiosity.  At that point of time, there were no facilities in India to do Western Blot test for AIDS.  So, the blood samples of these six individuals along with those of another 120 persons from Madras were flown to the USA for the confirmatory test, by the Vellore ICMR centre !

                                                                               --   T. Rama Prasad



































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Everybody wants to go back to the "BUSINESS AS USUAL & MAKE MONEY"  mode.  But, Miss Corona says: "Well, at the risk of your LIFE."
                                                                                     --  T. Rama Prasad 
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"If you destroy NATURE,  it would wipe you out with NUCLEIC ACIDS, not NUCLEAR WEAPONS."  --  T. Rama Prasad.
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The trees in the cartoon have a lot of sense.  In 2017, 1.2 million persons died in India alone due to air pollution related diseases. And the lifespan was reduced by two-and-a-half years.  It adversely affects lungs and such lungs are speedily destroyed by coronavirus.  Many of the recent deaths in the Western countries are due to this factor.  And, contrary to the general impression, asthmatic lung disease (358 million cases across the world) has a higher presence in the developed countries !
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My close relative, Dr. Bhagyashri Navalkele is the Medical Director of Infection Prevention and Control at the University of Mississippi Medical Center (USA).  She was born and brought up in India and had her basic medical education in Mumbai.  She has been a 'game-changer' at the university's COVID-19 facility and the 

https://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/2020/04/24/community-heroes-april-2020-ummc-doctors-play-key-role-coronavirus-fight/3004388001/
                                                                               --  T. Rama Prasad
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Bread is masculine and beer is feminine.  Every noun in French has a gender.  And now the Academic Franchise has decided to approve feminine form for COVID-19.                                                                            
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Dear Miss Corona,

Good morning.  You seem to be a smart and voluminous lady like our actress Sunny Leone or Vidya Balan.  Researchers told us that you are the largest among known RNA viruses (0.125 microns) and that we may use even ordinary surgical masks instead of the expensive N95 masks to filter you out.  We are lucky that you are not of the 'size zero' of the actress Kareena Kapoor ! 

You have become the most feared foe for us today. You have been so cruel to infect around 28,00,000 and kill about 200,000 humans and to crash down global economy shockingly, all within four months.   You have sent the stock market into a tailspin of shock waves,  made the airlines industry to nosedive causing a loss of hundreds of billions of dollars,  and made our Indian dream of  '$5 trillion economy' move into the realms of fantasy by impacting our trade by about hundreds of millions of dollars, all within a span of four months.  All our developmental plans had gone for a toss.  You had closed even our big temples, including Tirupati Tirumala, let alone huge malls, markets, theatres and tourist spots even before the 'LOCKDOWN' in our country.  Loss on tourism sector would be of gargantuan proportions.  All this you did within a short span of about four months ... we are terrified of what is yet in store for us, and we are scurrying around like headless chicken,  not knowing how to contain you.  What with all the WHO declaring you as a 'pandemic' scourge of stupendous stature. 

You have a well planned agenda to kill.  You killed the whistleblower Dr. Li Wenliang who posted early warnings of your presence on this planet on his social media group.  Also you killed Dr. Liu Zhiming, Director of Wuhan Wuchang Hospital who was trying to save people from your attack.  And you infected most of the medical staff in Wuhan and many in the West too, and killed more than 100 doctors in Italy.   You have terrorised the affluent Western societies by infecting lakhs of people and killing about half-a-lakh, and driving the British Prime Minister, Boris Johnson into ICU.  And, you killed 2,000 in one day on 07.04.2020 in America alone,  and a total of around 17,000 in Italy alone (much more than the fatality of about 4,000 in China). Your performance is acclaimed to be the best when you infected about 8,00,000 and killed about 45,000 in the indomitable America, the US.  As on April 22, 2020, you made a whirlwind tour across the globe and infected about 28,00,000 people and killed nearly 200,000 in 210 countries / territories !!!  Your most speedy and stunning blow is on the US which is highly empowered with grand health infrastructure ... you seem to be more angry with America ... perhaps, you don't like the one-upmanship of  'Uncle Sam' and his arrogance.

But, Miss Corona, why are you doing all this ?  ... A revenge ?  What harm we humans did to you ? ...  Oh, that's it ?  We had tinkered with nature and caused an ecological imbalance in the forests where you were residing in animals ... yes, it's true ... we disturbed you all.  Out of sheer greed, we encroached the territory of wildlife and deprived them of food and water ...  so the animals, bats, birds, etc. are forced to come out of the wild into human habitations.  And you viruses also came along with them and jumped from them into us to taste our blood with impish glee.  Alas !  What to do now, Miss Corona, to send you back into the forests ?   We can't go back to the good old culture and habits.  We can't change the environment.  We are incorrigibly addicted to 'modernity'.  And you can't be bribed to strike a deal to send you back to the forests we deforested.

We humans, normal imperfect mortals, first think of buying you with money because we strongly believe that money would take care of everything -- jobs to judgments, taxes to temples, deprivation to depression,  etc.  ... the pernicious influence of our deep trenched systems make it seem that it is easier to get marks, degrees, jobs, licenses, approvals, certifications, and votes through money.  Nothing vague or amorphous ... vulnerable to venality.  Miss Corona,  let me be honest ...if you are interested to know more about our nefarious "Kali-Yuga" activities, please click on the following two links, written by the internationally renowned scholar, Pritam Bhattacharyya (Editor-at-Large of Pentasect and Founder and Chief of Wordsmith at Wordsmith Communication,  Chairman of Freelance Foundation,  ) --  (1) https://wordsmithofbengal.wordpress.com/2012/01/16/health-un-heath-and-fear-of-un-health/
 (2)  https://wordsmithofbengal.wordpress.com/2012/04/23/google-effect-and-kali-yuga-prophecies/  

(Pritam Bhattacharyya posted a comment on this 'scribbling' which may be seen at the end of this writing - wordsmith.)

If you are interested we can pay you a huge ransom through a global fund.  We have nuclear arsenals to annihilate humankind en masse but not you only.  Further, as a gesture of goodwill, we humans will make December 31  as the WORLD CORONA DAY (the first death due to COVID-19 occurred on December 31, 2019 in Wuhan, China).  So, Miss Corona, be benevolent and let the human race exist.  Kindly retreat.And finally, we have one more request, Miss Corona.  Please don't get married.  When you marry someone in your community of vicious viruses,  you may beget children with treacherous genomes which may wipe out the remaining 40% of the world population, faster than by you -- one Chinese billionaire in the US estimated  that 60% of the global population would vanish because of you.

Postscript:

It may not be palatable to you, Miss Corona, but let me tell you this.  You had indeed  killed around 100 thousand in the rich Western countries, but you couldn't do much havoc in the Indian subcontinent and the African continent, despite our lower  standards of living, personal hygiene, sanitation, education, environment and medical facilities.  And add to that, our not praiseworthy habits and beliefs -- some of us are not touching newspapers and drinking cow's urine to ward you off !  Hot climate may not be the only factor, as some  countries in the tropical zone are also badly affected by you.  In India, of the size of 1.3 billion people, you could infect only around 19,000 people and kill only around 600, as on 22.04.2020.  You know why ?  Lower standards are a blessing in disguise for us.  

Our environment is full of filth, bacteria and viruses.  So, we had a lot of subclinical (not very symptomatic and not compelling to see a doctor) infections which generated immunity (resistance) -- like racial or herd immunity, over a period of decades and centuries.  Lower resistance in western societies may curiously be due to over-sanitisation  (too much of cleanliness and hygiene).  If a little is good, a lot need necessarily not be better.  This concept may seem strange and unacceptable,  but this view may be vindicated by 'post-corona' epidemiological studies.  

If you go a little back into the history of science,  you may think of Darwin's theory of evolution - natural elimination of the weakest and survival of the fittest.  One telling example is this:  Dharavi in Mumbai is the Asia's largest slum.  15 lakh people live on the little space of 613 hectares with no proper ventilation, sanitation, light and other basic facilities like water.  In the normal thinking, any infection like coronavirus in this slum would infect the entire Mumbai in no time.  Earlier, a decade ago, when swine flu struck India, hardly any case was detected in this slum while around 3,000 people died in the country.  Some researchers and Satish Pawar, Director of Maharashtra Health Mission said that the immunity of the population in this slum is robust which may explain this paradox.  Hence, Miss Corona, don't touch us, we are resistant and may retaliate brutally. And we have the unique miRNA, 'has-miR-27b' armour !

Yours truly,
T. Rama Prasad.
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Miss Corona





Dear Rama Prasad,

Yours is the first ever letter I received in my life.  I am a lifeless RNA particle, though.  Thank you.  I understand the anguish and the anger of the Homo sapiens. You humans seem to have misunderstood me totally.  Dear Prasad,  I want to make it very clear.  I didn't come here to kill you all.  In fact, I love  Mahatma Gandhi, an advocate of 'ahimsa'.  I just want to teach you all a lesson. 

Why are we coming out of our cosy caves and pristine jungles ?  Because you incomprehensible  humans caused an ecological imbalance through thoughtless tinkering with nature -- invaded our forests, destroyed them, forced animals along with us (viruses) to come out of the forests,  polluted the planet, caused global warming, etc.   Stupids to the core you are.  You are killing the hen that is laying golden eggs.  And you have all changed your lifestyle to the worst with scant regard for good old habits ... lost the sense of values ... and you Indian sheep  embraced the bad of the western culture -- shaking hands, hugging and kissing everybody, devouring junk food ... good, not yet using toilet paper instead of water.  Anything 'modern', you are hooked by, moral or immoral.   

You mortals are all intelligent idiots  ...  used your intelligence to become affluent, arrogant, adamant, angry, egoistic, and inhuman  ...  used your idiocy to materialistically overexploit nature and fiercely fight among yourselves, even using us (microbes) in your warfare.  You are all abysmally cruel and brutal not only to your neighbours but also to all other creatures ... look at your abattoirs where you slaughter millions mercilessly under the eerie veil of kind words like 'humane killing'.  Appalling.  What a treacherous lot you are !  Nature is not your inherited property to sap it to please your perverted tastes and crazy senses.

Don't arrogate with your sense of supreme intelligence and blindly believe that you can prevent and cure  diseases with vaccines and drugs.  I had exposed your hollowness.   Flames of my fury devoured your firewalls !  What could those highly empowered fatty western countries with impeccable health infrastructure could do when I unleashed my might ?  Scurrying around like headless chicken ?  I upended their comfort zone.  I challenged their certitudes. I did kill brazenly,   unlike you timid tots who do it clandestinely.  Prasad, I am killing only to save you all and the remaining life on this planet,  by forcing your selfish selves to live sensibly, sensitively and humanely.  Shed hypocrisy, megalomania and one-upmanship.  Be human.  But you are not humans, you are the vicious viruses of all time, full of soulless greed, distilled selfishness and insatiable corruption. 

You are notorious not to learn lessons.  Earlier, my cousins (SARS, MERS, EBOLA, NIPAH, H1N1, et al) came to discipline you, but in vein. That's why I had to step in.  I don't trust you, incorrigible humans.  Once the 'LOCKDOWN'' is over, you clever and  stupid fellows would get back into the 'BUSINESS AS USUAL' mode.  That's why I may extend my stay for some more time until you are mellowed, tamed, tuned and detoxified.  And imagine your misery when I extend the 'personal distance' to 10 metres !  You need to wash your brains, not just hands.


Postscript:

And, Prasad, I would like to tell you mortal fellows  (I am not mortal because I don't have life)  one more thing.  Do you all really believe in your own science and researchers ?  Some of the very ICMR scientists who approved the LOCKDOWN in India wrote in a research paper earlier that the measure could lead to "long-lasting adverse health outcomes" (Indian Journal for Medical Research) !   They further projected that "community and civil-society-led self-quarantine and self-monitoring" is better than "coercive top-down quarantine approaches, which are driven by the authorities."  And I read the news that research studies in Wuhan revealed that false negative reports on coronavirus diagnostic tests could be as high as 30% ! ... British Prime Minister is in ICU and Uncle Sam is fuming at WHO and halted funding it.  You are all good at blame game.   You are all uncertain Lilliputians in virology ...  I can sweep you all off the planet in one stroke.  However, Prasad, tell your Indians that I have a soft corner for them ... look at the figures,  I didn't do much harm despite their vulnerable and creaky health care system.

Your saviour,

Miss Corona.


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It is shocking and surprising to see such a surge in the most empowered country.  As on 09.05.2020, the figures are given below.  The impact is low in India whose strength to combat the disease is not comparable to the US.  Is it due to the several factors I mentioned below or due to gross under testing and underreporting ?  The difference wouldn't be so much even if it was 'gross', especially considering the population ratio.

UNANSWERED  QUESTIONS

1.  Why is the 'Corona Impact' so much in America (Cases: 21 lakhs;  Deaths: 116 thousand;  Population: 0.3 billion;  Deaths per lakh of population: 29; Health infrastructure: Top-notch, with around 20% of GDP and 19 trillion dollar economy),  and so little in India (Cases: 3 lakhs;  Deaths: 8 thousand;  Population: 1.3 billion;  Deaths per lakh of population: 0.3;  Health infrastructure: Not praiseworthy, with just around 1% of GDP of Rs 200 lakh crores),  as on June 13, 2020 ?

2.  Should we revisit the pandemic and revise our theories ?

3.  When will we get rid of this pan-global problem ?

The first question may be answered this way:  If we have 'EXIT' polls for India (like that for elections) scripted by epidemiological experts, most of them would have predicted macabre deaths as was of the 'Spanish Flu' of 1918 or the 'Bubonic Plague' of 1855 (10 million deaths in India).  It just didn't happen -- didn't even of a minute fraction of it.  Why ?  
And, India has only 0.2 deaths per lakh of population compared to around 4.1 per lakh population for the world and 28.6 for the US.  Why ?  Hardly any of the 3,200 train coaches (converted and kept ready for use by Covid patients) was required to be used.  The 'disappointed' specialists all over the world are scratching their heads for the 'failure' of their predictions !  

Some hypothetical factors are:

(1)  Strict and timely 'Lockdown' in India  (2)  Bad hygiene in India leading to high 'herd immunity' by virtue of subclinical infections (3)  Low allergy in Indians resulting in low 'cytokine storms'  (4)  Hot weather in India not being favourable to the virus  (5)  The weak virus reaching India  a bit late after multiple conservative mutations abroad  (6)  Low international travel to and fro India (7)  More broad spectrum immunity of Indians due to various infections as some viral protein features are shared with other microbes and parasites through multiple mechanisms of celllular ingress and proliferation  (8)  Racial herd immunity acquired through a series of a multitude of infections / mutations and polymorphisms over millennia and passed on through Indian generations of cellular receptors  (9)  Younger population is higher in India who have higher immunity and are not hyper-prone to allergy, perhaps, due to  lack of 'western-type-of-oversanitisation'  (10)  America's junk food and unhealthy lifestyle, indirectly and directly, made them vulnerable (read the two LINKS given below)  (11)  Almost all Indians (and almost none in America) had BCG vaccination which may confer antiviral immunity / 'trained immunity'. (12)  Some allergy and pollution related lung diseases like asthma and COPD have a higher presence in the Western societies (13) Like Nipah virus, this virus also may have called it a day in India !

These 13 factors are not listed according to the importance, as no one  knows certainly about this game.  Some may put the first factor (Lockdown)  at the bottom also.

There is another unanswered question:  Why is the Case Fatality Rate (CFR) is low (around 3%) in India,  and why there is a lot of disparity of CFR among the various States -- Tamil Nadu, the third worst-hit State ... 0.7%;   West Bengal, the number 8 in case load ... 9% (as on 19.05.2020) ?



WESTERN is MODERN





The article cited above (America's junk food), with statements by  Dr. Nicole Saphier, MD, a radiologist at New York's Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center makes the following home truths come to the surface:


Indian poverty is a blessing in disguise.  The Western affluence is a killer in disguise.  The root cause for the West's metabolic bad health, their vulnerability to corona fatalities and the enormous public and private medical expenditure may lie in their bad life style, food habits, culture and commercialism, in general.  The bad commercialism is such a priority that most of the stakeholders (including doctors and researchers) channelise their energy and resources to develop more drugs, more vaccines, more diagnostic novelties, more medical and surgical equipment, more sophisticated hospitals, more bizarre dietary supplements, more endos and echos, more 'evidence-based' diagnostic and treatment protocols (cleverly designed money-making formats),  more health insurance business and making more money rather than to prevent diseases, metabolic and infective, in the world.

And in the process of making money, nature was destroyed (near home and far in the forests, all over the world) leading to more diseases ... more business ... and more destruction. If humans promote good life style , good health and better environment, all these gigantic commercial enterprises would collapse.  Ill-health  sustains the multi billion dollar 'Medical Industry' which countries can't afford to lose.  The US alone spends about $2 trillion on diseases caused, directly or indirectly,  by bad life style.  This business would be lost if people live right. The stakeholders are numerous -- individuals to industries. The 'bad-food industry' and the 'bad-entertainment industry' help the 'bad-medical industry' by ruining the people's health.  Shrewd business.  Pseudoscientific industry lures the gullible public with various health gadgets, including 'Oxygen Parlours'.  And one wondered why sunlight and disinfectants can't be injected to prevent corona !

In general, the Westerners are good, hardworking, talented and jolly people. But they have their own philosophy, habits, tastes, culture, morality and weaknesses. They seem to crave for immense and instant pleasure to their five senses which their wealth can easily buy ... why worry now about future health, we have world class medical facilities and all the wealth in the world to pay for them ... let's take life easy,  go around the world holidaying, devouring and drinking ... enjoy --  the animalistic doctrine of "Work - Consume - Die", dressed in subtle and gross deceptions. That seems to be the thinking in 'The Land of Free' and 'The Lands of Plenty'.  They may hate to be disciplined and love to be arrogant.  Otherwise, how were we threatened of 'retaliation' if we didn't supply 'hydroxychloroquine' tablets immediately ? And naturally their children were brought up on the same lines.  

The tragic spillover of the Western life style is that some of our wealthy, fussy and food-centric 'pseudo-western-Indians' have been embracing the Western  way of eating and living as a status symbol and getting ruined --  aping the Western tastes ... processed foods,  packaged foods, pizzas, pastas, burgers, cookies, rolls, colas,   avocado, zuccotto, corona beer, E-cigarettes, McDonalds, KFCs, etc. ... all status symbols ... hypocrisy. They cultivated an exalted and dizzy feeling of superiority over the 'rubbish folk of Indian lifestyle and culture' !!!   If you live the life right, you may as well forget the three Ds -- Diseases, Doctors and Drugs !

GOOGLE:
According to our caller ID data sheet, the last 12 times you called you ordered an extra-large pizza with three cheeses, sausage, pepperoni, mushrooms and meatballs on a thick crust.
 
CALLER:  
Super! That’s what I’ll have.
 
GOOGLE:
May I suggest that this time you order a pizza with ricotta, arugula, sun-dried tomatoes and olives on a whole wheat gluten-free thin crust?
 

Most of the corona deaths are associated with co-morbid conditions like diabetes, heart disease, metabolic diseases, obesity, etcetera.  These are all related to a great extent to the food habits which Dr. Nicole Saphier mentioned in the above article.

Obesity a driving factor in many COVID-19 deaths, international study indicates  ...  March, 2021

Reuters (3/4, Kelland) reports researchers found in an international study that the majority of deaths from COVID-19 “have been in countries where many people” have obesity, “with coronavirus fatality rates 10 times higher in nations where at least 50% of adults” have overweight. According to the report, “90% or 2.2 million of the 2.5 million deaths from the pandemic disease so far were in countries with high levels of obesity.” The researchers analyzed “COVID-19 death figures from Johns Hopkins University in the United States and the World Health Organization’s Global Health Observatory data on obesity.”

        The Hill (3/4, Choi) reports the findings were released in the World Obesity Federation’s annual report.


AMERICAN  RECKLESSNESS  or  WISDOM ?

On June 20, 2020, a political rally was conducted in Tulsa, Oklahoma, US at an indoor accommodation of 19,000 seats where most of the attendees, including the President of the US who addressed the gathering, didn't wear masks while the Coronavirus was spreading and killing fast (2.2 million cases and 1,20,000 deaths).  And Trump said at the meeting that the "bad aspect" of virus testing is logging more cases.  
AT  TULSA  RALLY
Moreover, a series of meetings were planned on June 23, 2020 including the one at the Dream City Church of 3,000-seat capacity in Arizona with the participation of the US President. Wearing of masks is optional.  Arizona, Florida and Texas or hotspots for Corona and have Republican Governors who are said to be bullish on reopening businesses. 


          

"The appearance, at the Dream City megachurch, was one of his first rallies since taking a three-month hiatus because of the coronavirus pandemic. Images from the event showed a large crowd tightly packed together, with almost no one wearing protective masks. There were no temperature checks for the estimated 3,000 cheering attendees who, like many of Trump’s staunchest fans, ignored a new local ordinance requiring them to wear a mask, despite a public-health plea from the Democratic mayor on Monday."  There were 3,591 new cases and 42 deaths on that day,  and Trump made fun of coronavirus at the meeting.
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/06/23/trump-rally-arizona-336565  .


AMERICA -- "The Land of the Free"

On July 1, 2020, Anthony Fauci, infectious disease expert and the leading member of President Donald Trump's coronavirus task force said: "The number of cases could go up to 100,000 per day if authorities and the public fail to take steps to suppress the pandemic ... Americans should wear masks and avoid crowds and mend lax behaviour ... I'm very concerned and I'm not satisfied with what's going on,  because we're going in the wrong direction."

The LAND of the FREE    While the medical head of that land said so,  the administrative head ventilated about the freedom.  They are at loggerheads.   'Uncle Sam' assured that the citizens will have the freedom to choose between 'mask' or 'no mask', in 'the land of the free'.  Wisdom and science of the POTUS !!! 


POTUS said:  (1) "A study found that 85% of those wearing masks contracted coronavirus."  (2)  "The virus will just go away."   He will win on Nov 3, if all the mentally unwell Americans vote for him (half of Americans said that the corona crisis harmed their mental health -- Kaiser Family Foundation poll) !!!  --  Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  PAY WHAT YOU CAN  Clinic,  Perundurai.  http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com


INDIAN  IMMUNITY  and  BCG  VACCINATION

April 1, 2020
You are an Indian and you had BCG vaccination.  And you had grown up amidst filth and germs.  So, you may be immune to COVID-19. 

No, it's not an APRIL FOOL'S DAY joke.  COVID-19 has spread to most countries across the globe.  Puzzlingly, the impact of the disease is different in different countries.  Why ?  We don't exactly know.  Cultural norms, climate, affluence, empowerment, infrastructure, mitigation efforts,  etcetera are cited as possible reasons for the differences.  Two more factors may be added on the strength of very recent studies. 1. Indian immunity.  2. BCG vaccination 

1. INDIAN IMMUNITY:

Our environment is full of filth, bacteria and viruses.  So, we had a lot of subclinical (not very symptomatic and not compelling to see a doctor) infections which generated immunity (resistance) -- like racial or herd immunity, over a period of decades and centuries.  Lower resistance in western societies may curiously be due to over sanitisation (too much of cleanliness and hygiene).  If a little is good, a lot need necessarily not be better.  This concept may seem strange and unacceptable,  but this view may be vindicated by 'post-corona' epidemiological studies.  

        We all have thousands of microbes in our bodies which may not produce disease because of our immunity.  And, in course of time, we may naturally gain immunity, called ‘herd immunity’, to this coronavirus also, through sub-clinical infections.    When around 65% of the population has antibodies, presumably due to infection (asymptomatic or symptomatic), it may be assumed that the population has gained herd immunity.  As on August 20, 2020, we have the jaw-dropping sero-survey results --  57% in Mumbai slums,  51% in some areas in Pune. The Delhi sero-survey findings published in July 2020 indicate that a whopping 50 lakh people (28%) have already developed 'herd immunity' through 'silent infection', while only 100,000 cases were detected through RT-PCR testing, in Delhi (1 in 50).  The virus is spreading unevenly with different timelines in different regions.  So far, nationwide, 27.6 lakh (0.2% of India's population) cases were detected and around 53,000 died (August 20, 2020).

    Perhaps, because of better ‘India-specific’ racial immunity passed on through generations of cellular immunity and ‘memory T cells’, the ‘Case Fatality Rate’ has not been high in India, despite our creaky, rickety and shambolic health care systems.  This is a sliver of silver lining for us.  Moreover, there is evidence to say that SARS-CoV-2 - specific memory T cells are found in infected persons with or without symptoms -- even in those who did not develop antibodies (seronegative).  Memory T cells confer certain degree of adaptive immunity which may be longer-lasting than that with antibodies.

      In addition, the following is the authentic information about it.  A recent study of an integrated sequence-based analysis of COVID-19 genomes from different countries yielded interesting findings 

          The phylogeny of the genomes also makes it evident that a unique mutation in the spike surface glycoprotein (A930V - 2435 C>T) is present in the Indian sequence.  Any variation in the immunity or response to treatment may be due to this 'India-specific' difference.  COVID-19 genomes, host-virus interaction and pathogenesis may vary from country to country (https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.21.001586). 



COVID-19-specific Memory T cells

           Many people all over the world are exposed to four different coronaviruses that cause 'common cold'.   The common cold infections produce what are called 'Memory T cells' or 'Memory CD4 T cells' or 'Memory Helper T cells' or 'pre-existing cross-reactive memory T cells'.  These memory T cells may confer some immunity against SARS-CoV-2 also.  This is called 'Pre-existing immunity' in individuals who were never exposed to SARS-CoV-2.  It may be possible that Indians have more of these cells which reduce the severity and death rate of COVID-19.  In one study (La Jolla Institute for  Immunology, California) it was found that 28% of healthy blood donors were found to have the pre-existing cross-reactive memory T cells against spike or membrane proteins of SARS-CoV-2. The pre-existing cross-reactive memory T cells might be from previous exposures to common cold coronaviruses.  This is an unanticipated degree of 'population-level immunity' against COVID-19. It may be more in the Indian population.
 

MUTATIONS   
  
        The coronavirus keeps changing through mutations.  The SARS-CoV-2 that is present in India may not be the same as the one that caused the first case in China.  There are at least six identified strains of the virus in circulation across the globe (these are usually referred to as 'strains' or 'mutants',  but, they should more appropriately be called as 'lineages' or 'clades' or subtypes').  Ten lineages have evolved from the ancestral type --the Wuhan virus type.  Based on the revised time-stamped nomenclature, there are now (Aug 2020) 5 lineages --  19A, 19B, 20A, 20B and 20C. The lineages 20A, 20B and 20C all have the D614G mutation. The D614G lineages have become dominant in India -- 20A in northern and Eastern;  20B in southern and western. The D614G mutant viruses are super-rapid spreaders, but not very lethal. They are very dominant in Europe and North America but not so much in East Asia. They go on mutating.  Some are not effective and die out.  Some may become more virulent. While the G strain is the most common  (which dominated the earlier D strain after March 2020), some have vanished.  As in August 2020,  a swap between amino acids, identified as D and G, at position 614 in the code of the virus's spike protein produced a variant mutant called D614G which is currently the dominant strain  worldwide.   The strains present in the IUS are similar to those in Europe, perhaps due to the travel factor.  In Indioa, the first coronavirus was the L strain originating in Wuhan, which eventually mutated into the S and G strains and spread all over the country.  Due to closing of borders between States during the lockdown period, different types of mutations might have occured in different States.  The Malaysian case from Tamil Nadu raises the possibility of the D614G  strain being in Tamil Nadu.  A particular vaccine developed may or may not be very effective against a different mutant.  'An effective vaccine must be  against the entire diversity of the virus'.  Some say that not giving a vaccine is better than giving a partially effective vaccine.   For more about this virus read under the subheading "What is this virus about ?" on this page below.

2. BCG  VACCINATION:

         Bacillus Calmette Guerin (BCG) vaccine comprises of one kind of live but weakened (attenuated) tuberculosis (TB) bacilli usually given to infants to protect them against some forms (like military and meningeal) of TB.  You may be wondering:  "What's the connection between BCG and COVID-19 ?"  Most surprising is the assumption that BCG vaccination might have protected the countries where BCG vaccination is in general use - protection from COVID-19, though BCG is meant for protection against tuberculosis (TB). The assumption arises out of scientific studies (New York Institute of Technology, USA).  In a study (University of Texas, Houston) covering 178 countries, it is found that  death rates due to coronavirus are lower by a factor of 10 in countries that had a strong BCG vaccination regimens. It is found that morbidity and mortality due to COVID-19 are  high in countries where BCG vaccination is not in practice universally (Spain, Italy, France, USA, etc.).  The COVID-19 didn't affect much the countries where BCG vaccination is given soon after birth universally since a very long time (India, Japan, etc.).  Death rates are low even when infection rates are moderate in Malaysia, Ireland, the Czech Republic, the Slovak Republic, Hungary, Costa Rica, India and many other nations which have strong BCG programmes. All the same, Germany, Norway and Denmark have low death rates though they didn't have BCG cover. Interestingly, within Germany, the former East German part which had strong BCG regimen has now a lower rate of mortality due to coronavirus. There seems to be good correlation.

         What has bacterial TB vaccine to do with viral COVID-19 ?  Most of the Indians had BCG which may confer immunity against many bacteria and viruses.  Hence, perhaps, the death rate due to COVID-19 is low in India. 
 
            Almost all of us in India were given BCG vaccination (from 1948 onwards) soon after birth to prevent some forms of TB.  We seem to be lucky that we may have some immunity against coronavirus also, unexpectedly.  BCG vaccination significantly increases the secretion of pro-inflammatory cytokines, specifically IL-1B which has been shown to play a vital role in 'antiviral immunity' - 'trained immunity'.  And, BCG vaccination has been reported to offer broad spectrum protection against respiratory infections.  Thus, the BCG protection might influence the morbidity and mortality due to COVID-19 by protecting people from co-occurring infections and sepsis which ultimately kill (https://doi.org/co.1101/2020.03.24.20042973) A photocopy of an editorial published 40 years ago in a medical journal wherein my opinion on BCG vaccination was mentioned is attached below.
       


            BCG has been one of the most successful immunotherapies since 1977.  It has been in use for bladder cancer.  It may also be useful in colorectal cancer, leprosy and Buruli ulcer.  It may non-specifically reduce mortality in low-income countries and reduce other health problems including sepsis and respiratory infections, when given early in life.  Some are studying its effect on Type 1 diabetes.  BCG vaccine is in Phase-3 trials (as of March, 2020) in studies to prevent COVID-19 in health care workers in Australia and Netherlands. Neither country practises routine BCG vaccination.

          All this does not mean that BCG can be used as a vaccine or preventive against COVID-19.  It only means that this preliminary analysis of data indicate that one of the several factors accountable for the variation of morbidity and mortality among several countries may be the BCG factor.  A lot of research is to be conducted before any conclusive evidence can be put forth on this matter.

 On July 13, 2020, a BCG study trial is initiated to evaluate the effect of BCG in preventing or modifying COVID-19 in the age group of 60 to 95 years at the National Institute for Reseach in Tuberculosis (NIRT) at Chetpet, Chennai under the auspices of the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR).  Five more centres are chosen for this study in Gujarat, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and Delhi.  

3.  Subclinical TUBERCULOSIS infection may also act like BCG vaccination.  In India, tuberculosis germs are present in the air that is breathed in.  In most of the people they don't cause disease but may increase the immunity.  This may  be one of the reasons for the low mortality in India due to COVID-19.  It should be studied to validate this reasoning.

4.  GENETIC FACTORS

        There may be individual genetic factors which may influence contracting the disease or the severity of the disease.  For example, variants of the gene TLR7 along with defects in the production of immune system molecules type I and type II interferons may influence immune response, susceptibility to the virus and the vulnerability to 'cytokine storm'.


FEAR  and  POVERTY  PSYCHOSIS




        "Doctor, does this coronavirus get transmitted like AIDS ... and may I conceive during these corona days ?" asked my patient.  I had to scratch my head.  Sensing my nescience, she pulled out two newspapers from her bag.  One carried a report of presence of the virus (SARS-CoV-2) in the sperms of infected people,  and the other mentioned of unwillingness of women to conceive during lockdown periods.  The information is so fearful to her that nothing may convince her to conceive.  I counselled her not to let her marital life derailed by the 'infodemic'.

          The greatest damage that this pandemic did and will do is of infusing FEAR into our blood through media.  The 'INFODEMIC' is the real pandemic destroying health and economy through FEAR which leads to frightening thoughts and disastrous interventions.  We are drowned and suffocated with information, misinformation and fake information.   Fear, fear and fear.   Fear makes one mad.  

When it is said that a normal person without any symptoms can potentially transmit this deadly virus through normal breathing,  how can one be without   fear ? 

          Doctor is afraid of seeing a patient.   Patient is afraid of being tested.  Everybody is afraid of quarantine and social stigma.  Homemaker is afraid of a housemaid.   Maid is afraid of a coughing child in the house.  Employee is scared of going for work.  Employer is worried about closure of his factory if an employee tests positive.  One is scared of touching a newspaper.   Another is afraid of using sugar without washing it !  We are afraid of each other.     What life is this ?



Remedy seems to be worse than the malady

          Already many of the diseases in the 'modern' world are due to stress.  Now,  Covid is adding fuel to the fire, immensely enhancing the fear of the virus and the fear of loss of livelihood.  Tension and stress lead to mental illnesses which in turn lead to physical illnesses.   Fear destroys immunity and stress kills.  Sooner and later, directly and indirectly, there could be enormous morbidity and mortality due to fear and stress,   much more than that due to the virus illness.  The impact would be more due to the fear of losing life and the stress of economic crush / crash / crunch,  consequent to the ongoing disruptions in supply and production across the world.  Uncertainty of everything is the greatest stress.

Mental health issues of 'migrant workers' is a special problem in India.  Enormous number of the workers had to return to their home States due to the 'lockdown'.  They have no means of sustenance.  Many of them became so mentally ill that they attempted suicide.  Uttar Pradesh alone has 35 lakh migrant workers who have returned jobless.  Out of them, 37,681 workers were given "Psychological Support"through the partnership of the UNICEF.  A study conducted by Indian Psychiatry Society found that there has been an almost 20%rise in mental health issues during the pandemic.

FEAR is both good and bad. Excessive fear destroyed the economy and mental health through 'lockdowns'. Lack of fear spread the virus by not observing preventive measures. If it is 'unlocked' a bit, people are going about as though the virus is absent.  If you behave like the UNWISE MONKEY,  you will be totally 'caged' again !!!
 

CORONA  and  MIND  HEALTH

               Beggar to billionaire -- all seem to have been stressed mentally by corona. Mind may also be affected in the monumental 'Corona Crisis'.  The psychological impact looms large all over the world.  According to a survey (Aug 2020) by the International Labour Organisation (ILO), due to this pandemic, 50% of the young people across the world may have anxiety or depression and 17% of them may need therapy. 
        Even long after the pandemic is controlled (don't dream of eradication, it is likely to be a permanent unwanted guest),  the psychological and psychiatric fallout of this disaster may linger on for decades.  Already, there are seismic psychological pressures threatening American society. The present crippling of big-box retailers and mom and pop shops worldwide is making a dent on mental health.  Reports of related suicides are seen.

             
FEAR of death and the ANXIETY of uncertainty of returning to normalcy throws one out of mental balance.  It haunts the brains.  The present global population had seen panics of this nature only in movies, not in real life.  Perhaps, when thoughts of uncertainty of his future 'reel career' struck him, the celebrity cine actor Sushant Singh Rajput lost his mental balance.  At the age of 34 years, Sushant had an enviable glory of bringing a riveting vitality to his performances, and made a distinct imprint and impact on the audiences.  Why did he end his life ??? Is it due to 'corona depression' ?  Read the link below which points to that.  But GOK !:   
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/blogs/toi-editorials/fear-and-trembling-sushant-singh-rajputs-tragedy-speaks-to-the-wider-mental-health-challenge-of-covid-times/

     Scientific studies have shown that isolation from people coupled with economic deprivation and deaths leads to psychological distress, anxiety, tension and depression.  Fear and helplessness brought about by loss of income and jobs are common factors affecting the mental health of most people. It may manifest as "Post-traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD)", Anxiety Neurosis, Panic Reactions, Psychosis, Stress Dementia, Delirium, Nightmares, Paranoia, suicidal tendency, etc.  Further, the societal attitude towards the corona patients would be stigmatising and traumatising.  And the longer the one is isolated from normal life, the more disrupted is the mind.  A host of negative feelings creep in with economic slide down. Added to this is the time bomb -- "people with no symptoms may also transmit the virus" ... this information is enough to kill  ... stress kills.

        DOCTORS are no exception.  In just two months (July - August 2020) 11 suicides by doctors in India have been reported.  Even in the pre-corona period, many of the Indian doctors had mental problems (30% - depression; 16.7% - suicidal ideas; 90% - burnout feelings), a study by the PGMIER, Chandigarh shown in 2018. The increased mental morbidity among doctors may be due to professional stress, competition, jealousy, strained relationships with colleagues, high bar of goals, high expectations from relatives, high investment with low returns coupled with low service-mindedness, etc.



One psychiatrist said:  "It's normal in corona days if one talks to walls, trees and animals.  But if they talk back to him, he needs my therapy."

           OTHER  DISEASES  easily pounce on the bodies of a vulnerable mind. Perhaps, more damage to health and more deaths, than usual, would follow due to diseases other than COVID-19.  Uncertainties and vicissitudes in life trigger vulnerabilities, as also solitude.  Many of the existing diseases are due to the stress of 'modern life' and are preventable if changes in 'lifestyle' are made.

           IN  INDIA, the fallout of psychiatric disturbances may be less due to the better attachment to family members and the society around in contrast to the western societies.  The resilience quotient of Indians is very high.  The devastating derangement caused by the coronavirus in western countries is already making their folk run to shrinks for therapy.

           
FEAR OF THE CONSEQUENCES and sequelae of corona is the perfect recipe for depression and disaster.    In its wake, this virus made mental upset a byproduct. Many have been behaving aberrantly - depression to rage to paranoia. A sledgehammer ('Executive Order')  is  used to crack a nut (Meat Shutdown) ... a threat of retaliation was made to get hydroxychloroquine ... when asked whether you have any evidence that Wuhan Institute of Virology was the source of the outbreak, he said: "Yes, I have" (The Hindu, May 2, 2020). ...  perhaps more evidence than the Nuclear weapons in Iraq ! ...a bad news made him furious (read the unprintable word in the photocopy below)  -- all related to coronavirus 


 Don't be afraid of the flip side of the coin. Light and shade;  sweetness and bitterness;  hardness and softness and so on -- none is appreciable without the other.  Life is a mix of things, then only it is wholesome.  Think positively and act confidently.  Do the right things, corona could be contained. And everything would get back to normalcy. But be patient, it may take some time.  There were pandemics ... world had recovered ... in 1855, 'Bubonic Plague' pandemic killed ten million people in India alone.  Believe in yourself and have faith in the ONE whom you believe -- it gives you immense confidence and positivity.   It confers immunity.  Mind is a great immuniser. Happiness is a state of mind -- it is within you, don't run about foolishly to seek for it.

Once, somebody asked Bhagwan Buddha:  “I want happiness.  What should I do ?”  Buddha smiled and said:  “It is very simple.  ‘I’ stands for ‘ego’ – give it up.  ‘want’ stands for ‘desire’ – give it up.  Then, what remains in your ‘I want happiness’ is pure ‘happiness’!” --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IMMEDIATE  BENEFITS  of  corona and lockdowns
(for most of the people around the world, for a short 'home picnic' period of a few weeks !)

1.    Steep fall in Traffic Accidents
2.    Less air and noise pollution
3.    Least political pollution
4.    Strikes and dharnas vanished
5.    More sleep and less exhaustion
6.    Less arrogance and more aggressiveness
7.    More realism and less hypocrisy
8.    Less materialism and more morality
9.    More introspection and less ego
10.  Less crime, violence and fighting
11.  More home food,  less junk food
12.  High level personal hygiene
13.  Less drug consumption
14.  Less hospital bills and reimbursements
15.  Surplus water and electricity
16.  More savings for salaried people
17.  Surplus time, more time with family
18.  Leisurely routine,  less stress in life
19.  Work from home convenience
20.  More sympathy and empathy
21.  More humaneness and less cruelty
22.  Less animalistic behaviour
23.  More discipline and values in life
24.  Less corruption,  more transparency
25.  Less expenditure for people
26.  Less war and more philanthropy
27.  Less hatred and more love
28.  Realisation that we are smaller than virus
29.  Awareness that money can't buy everything
30.  Preparedness to leave the planet any moment

Thank you, Miss Corona, for the benefits to the Homo sapiens.    But, once you leave, we may get into the "BUSINESS AS USUAL" mode !                                                                                         ......Dr. T. Rama Prasad 

                                                           
                 BENEFIT  from  OFFICE  !                                                      BENEFIT  of  GAIN  !

"You had learnt to live with wife / husband.                                                                                      Now learn to live with Mrs. / Mr. Corona also.                                                                                                            Because you are wedded to both and can't divorce !"                      
 -- T. Rama Prasad.       For more quotes, click on:  https://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2017/06/quotes.html

June 18 :  "International  Picnic Day.  Yes, it was like a PICNIC  INSIDE  HOME  for 3 weeks from March 25, 2020.   But later, the  SWEET PICNIC turned into a BITTER BORE for many.  Now on, a picnic can be had outside the home, but it won't be the same.   The good old halcyon days have well and truly come to an end with the uncertainty of a truly safe and effective vaccine."  --  T. Rama Prasad  

COVID-19

            In 1855, 'Bubonic Plague'  pandemic swept the world and rapidly killed 10 million people in British India.  The epicentre of the outbreak was also in China -- a place called Yunnan. Later in 1918, the Spanish flu swept the world from Kansas to China ... perhaps, it didn't start in Spain  though it's named so -- it might have started in the US Army / Navy,  perhaps, the news was played down in those days of war, jingoism, censorship and denial.   The Spanish Flu killed as many as two crore Indians.  The Spanish Flu pandemic dealt a hammer blow to the already battered world economy by the ravages of World War I.  The prediction was that the world would plunge into catastrophic decline.  Contrary to the prediction 1920s saw a roaring development comparable to the development after the 'Black Death' medieval plagues in Europe followed by the Renaissance.  We hope a rebound development in the post-covid 2020s.    

             COVID-19  is a new virus which started its journey in China (Wuhan) in December 2019 and spread fast and wide to 210 countries / territories across the world within a short period of less than five months, https://www.verywellhealth.com/difference-between-epidemic-and-pandemic-2615168 ).  It's a humongous task to deal with.  Nearly100,000 were killed eclipsing the death toll of 774 of the global outbreak of SARS that also started in China.  The future course of  the disease is very unpredictable,  with the unexpectedly devastating spread to many countries.

  
The agent causing the infection identified to be a beta coronavirus; was first named as Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV). The International Committee of taxonomy of viruses then changed the name to SARS-CoV-2, connoting the coronavirus causing severe acute respiratory syndrome.
 The WHO has named the disease as COVID-19,  and declared this virus as 'Public Enemy Number One' which holds a grave threat to the entire world.   242 people died on a single day on 12.02.2020 in China and 793 on 21.03.2020 in Italy. The WHO had mandated all the countries to be "as aggressive as possible" in fighting the COVID-19.  



The following are the links to my 'scribblings' on some other viruses:






SYMPTOMS, DIAGNOSIS, PREVENTION and TREATMENT
SYMPTOMS:
The symptoms are like those of most viral fevers - 'cold  and flu-like' symptoms -  mainly fever, cough, shortness of breath and tiredness.  During the third week of April, 2020, the CDC (USA) added another 6 symptoms -- chills, repeated shaking with chills, muscle pain, headache, sore throat, new loss of taste or smell.   It is reported that loss of smell and taste may also be present.   A study from the University of Oxford, the Imperial college, London and  the NIH, USA revealed that grey matter loss in brain was seen after Covid with symptoms of loss of smell and taste.

'Chest X-rays' may show abnormalities in lungs.  Lung infection, mainly, and kidney / heart failure in some may lead to death.   Elderly people and those with co-morbidities (diabetes, heart disease, lung disease, kidney disease, etc.) are more vulnerable.  And,  men seem to be more vulnerable, possibly due to the higher levels of ACE2, one of the strongest biomarkers (European Heart Journal).

Symptoms after recovery:  

As it is in September 2020,  the symptoms after recovery have started to loom large.  As the cohort of COVID survivors is getting larger,  a large number of the patients have been complaining of various symptoms even long after being declared free of the disease.  A study from Italy reported that only 12.6% of the 'recovered' were free of any symptoms two months after 'recovering'.  In course of time, the symptomatic population of the 'recovered' is expected to be a huge challenge to the medical services.
The symptoms pertain to various systems in the body.  (1)  shortness of breath - lung damage (2)  palpitations & chest pain - heart damage (3)  fatigue and loss of muscle strength - nerve damage  (4)  loss of smell & taste, head ache, memory loss, suicidal tendency, sleeplessness,  stress, anxiety, depression, mental illness - brain damage / psychological, etc.    It is a matter of grave concern that some of the 'mild' cases also exhibited these symptoms after recovery.  
It may be naive to assume that one would become 'normal' after 'recovery'.  Psychological support, empathy and a graded physical rehabilitation are key factors to achieve normalcy.
  
According to a study published in the Journal of American Medical Association, 87.4% of the patients complained of symptoms, particularly of weakness and breathlessness, even two months after being discharged from hospitals.

Infected persons without any symptoms may also transmit this virus.  This is of grave concern and fear.

DIAGNOSIS:
Stopping the coronavirus virus requires fast and accurate testing. One of the most accurate and widely used lab methods for detecting the coronavirus is the real time RT-PCR, a nuclear-derived technique which may cost Rs. 4,500 per test.  "Mylabs" test kit may cost about Rs. 500.  IgGAB is another test.  Antibody-based rapid blood strip test may be available soon at a cost of less than Rs. 300.  Some imported strip test kits from China were found to be giving false results and were returned to the manufacturer.  And some RT-PCR tests showed an unexpected 30% false negative results - see the adjoining photocopy.
'Next Generation Sequencing' which scans the entire virus genome, unlike the RT-PCR (70 - 80%),  gives more accurate results (97%).


Lure of speed of entry and making a fast buck often put quality concerns on the margin.

Real time RT-PCR stands for real time reverse transcription–polymerase chain reaction. 
We are mostly relying on the result of this test to know whether a person is infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus or not.  Those who are tested positive in any country are called "cases" though they may not be patients suffering from symptoms.  And, more importantly, this test may give 'false positives' (meaning a positive report of a non-infected person due to some errors) and 'false negatives' (meaning a negative report of an infected person due to some errors or due to the inherent incapacity of the test to detect which itself may be as high as 30% !)  These pitfalls are to be taken into account while diagnosing.  This is why a clinical diagnosis is as important as the lab tests which may mislead us.  There is an excellent article by Dr. T. Jacob John and Dr. M. S. Seshadri (The Hindu, July 1, 2020) on this subject -- go to the link:

Rapid Antigen Tests
Standard Q COVID-19 Ag kit Test -- antigen antibody --  (brand name: PathoCatch -- Mylab -- about Rs.500) -- moderate sensitivity but high specificity -- 'Rapid Point of Care' test which doesn't require equipment -- like a card test -- result within 30 minutes -- if positive, may be confirmatory -- if negative, to be further tested by RT-PCR, if symptomatic.

Many countries are working with the IAEA to use real time RT-PCR to diagnose a variety of human, animal, and zoonotic diseases, including COVID-19.
CBC, LFT, CRP, Serum Ferritin, D Dimer, LDH are some of the investigations which would be of help.
'Chest X-rays' may show abnormalities in lungs.  Lung infection, mainly, and kidney / heart failure in some may lead to death.   Elderly people and those with co-morbidities (diabetes, heart disease, lung disease, kidney disease, etc.) are more vulnerable.  And,  men seem to be more vulnerable, possibly due to the higher levels of ACE2, one of the strongest biomarkers (European Heart Journal).


Chest X-ray of the first case of COVID-19 in the USA







Chest X-ray &  CT Scan
As coronavirus affects lungs in most of the cases, Chest X-ray / CT scan would be an important diagnostic tool.  Very widely varied abnormalities were noted within a week or two - mostly of pneumonia.  CT Chest yielded more information -- Peripheral lesions, Ground glass appearance, Patches of consolidation, Reverse halo sign, Air bronchogram,  Vasculation sign, Prominent pulmonary vessels, Crazy pavement pattern.  

CO-RADS - Level of suspicion for pulmonary involvement in COVID -19 Infection

CT findings

CO-RADS 1 very low Normal or non-infectious abnormalities

CO-RADS 2 Low Abnormalities consistent with infections other than COVID -19

CO-RADS 3 Indeterminate/ equivocal Unclear whether COVID-19 is present or not.

CO-RADS 4 High Abnormalities suspicious for COVID-19

CO-RADS 5 Very high Typical COVID-19

CO-RADS 6 Proven RT PCR positive


Clinical features, serum markers and CT chest are more dependable than RT-PCR test alone.

"RECOVERED" patients tested "POSITIVE"  and / or  "SYMPTOMATIC" !!!

Weeks after making full recovery, 260 people tested positive (RT-PCR) in South Korea.  It was confirmed that 'dead virus fragments' were still present in the recovered patients.  These were labelled as 'false positives'.   In Wuhan Pulmonary Hospital, 651 'recovered' patients were found to be 'positive' in about two weeks after discharge.  And 35% of them had one or two symptoms.  These patients may be infective, while the others may only be having 'Residual non-pathogenic viral components'.

Symptoms after recovery:  According to a study published in the Journal of American Medical Association (JAMA), 87.4% of the patients complained of symptoms, particularly of weakness and breathlessness, even two months after being discharged from hospitals.
A study published in the JAMA (July 2020) revealed that 80% of the 100 patients who recovered from COVID-19 had 'heart inflammation' and cardiac manifestations (Germany's University Hospital).

RE-INFECTIONS:  A few people are infected twice over by SARS-CoV-2. Earliest case was from Hong Kong. They are mostly asymptomatic.  One of those reinfected in India appeared to carry a variant that conferred resistance to neutralising antibodies. (CSIR-IGIB).  The infections were mild and it seems  that this is not of a serious concern at present.

SERUM MARKERS are important in the diagnosis.  


PREVENTION:

The most important preventive steps would be:  'testing / tracing / isolating as well as ideas to deploy a population health surveillance technologies like smart thermometers (Kinsa) and oximeters."

And, there are only general preventive tips: Live a good hygienic lifestyle, Upgrade   personal hygiene -- wash hands frequently with soap and water after touching common objects;  cover nose and mouth while sneezing or coughing;  wear a mask, avoid to stay in close proximity of people suffering from cold, cough, fever or flu-like symptoms; "Social / physical distancing" --keep one metre distance from others; avoid touching face, nose and eyes without washing hands; avoid crowded places; avoid travel with people from countries  of high virus burden; thoroughly cook non-vegetarian food; keep surroundings clean and disinfected;  reduce direct unprotected contact with wild or farm animals.
Avoiding touching nose with infected hands is important as 'Goblet and Celiated' cells in noses have high levels of 'Entry Proteins' that may get attached to the 'Spikes' on the coronavirus.

There’s currently no vaccine to prevent coronavirus disease (COVID-19).
You can protect yourself and help prevent spreading the virus to others if you:
Do
Wash your hands regularly for 20 seconds, with soap and water or alcohol-based hand rub
Cover your nose and mouth with a disposable tissue or flexed elbow when you cough or sneeze
Avoid close contact (1 meter or 3 feet) with people who are unwell
Stay home and self-isolate from others in the household if you feel unwell
Don't
Touch your eyes, nose, or mouth if your hands are not clean
  The preventive measures mentioned above are of paramount importance:  
Using soap and water is the cheapest and best,  more effective and much less costly than alcohol-based hand rubs or the antiseptic lotions to clear the hands of dirt and grease.  Face masks may be beneficial in a general way and when one is near people coughing and sneezing, but not absolutely essential when in clean surroundings.  Of course, the scare and the undue importance given to the hand sanitisers,  antiseptic lotions and face masks have pushed up their sales and made them disappear into 'black market' !
Right now we don't know for certain about the protective value of Chloroquine / Hydroxychloroquine.     But, the ICMR has recommended hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) to prevent development of COVID-19 specifically in certain high risk people. 

https://www.newindianexpress.com/todays-paper?sectionname=Opinions&date=05-24-2020
If you read the article cited in the above link,  you may doubt the scientific validity of the ICMR's decision on HCQ.   A publication in the LANCET indicates that there is no benefit of HCQ in treating COVID-19 patients.  It also mentions of more cardiac problems and deaths ( https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)31180-6/fulltext#seccestitle70 ).
    To know more about Chloroquine and Corona, click on: http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2017/04/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov.html


 A large study sponsored by University of Oxford on the efficacy of Chloroquine in preventing COVID-19 is going to take place - May 2020 to May 2022 ( https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04303507 ).  
According to the protocol of this study, a loading dose of 10 mg per kg of body weight of Chloroquine base is to be followed by 150 mg per day for 3 months.  Some people in India have already started taking Chloroquine, and if the trend catches up, the stock on the shelves would vanish as happened in the US !  Right now we don't know for certain the protective value of Chloroquine.  

And, there seems to be some evidence to suggest that some anti-diabetic drugs (Metformin, DPPA inhibitors - Gliptins - Sitagliptin, etc.) may prevent attack by COVID-19.  



Many natural food items which we take traditionally improve collectively our immunity generally against all the disease producing elements, including coronavirus.  It is said that Indian food items are more immunogenic due to some ingredients -- spices, condiments, garlic, turmeric, pepper, ginger, curd, buttermilk, traditional cereals, pulses, etc. Various studies, 'telescopically' study various food items and draw conclusions that 'this is good for this' and 'that is good for that'.  Manufacturers take out some substances from these food items, project these study results, often out of context and commercially exploit the    market !  For example, there is a study done at University of Queensland, Australia ( https://thevaultzmag.com/index.php/vaultz-daily-brief/bananas-help-prevent-coronavirus ) which indicates that bananas confer immunity against the coronavirus by virtue of good amounts of vitamins B6, vitamin C, etc.  One may extract something out of one banana, put into a capsule and sell it for 100 rupees ... you may as well buy 10 bananas for that amount and enjoy eating them !   And there is the fake news that tea inhibited coronavirus and that tea is being given 3 times a day to patients in China !  About tea,  go to
 http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/openpage/of-tea-coffee-and-commerce/article5567951.ece    
     





Keep "SOCIAL DISTANCE"  dear pumpkin lovers !

LOCKDOWN for prevention

          India is under LOCKDOWN  (march-April, 2020) which is considered as the most effective preventive step to stem the rot.  The Central Government is in a mission mode and the State Governments have to be as proactive.  Ultimately, it is in the peoples hand.  It all depends on how meticulously they follow the advisory and the rules.   The bitter pill may not be liked,  but the result would be sweet.

The 'LOCK DOWN' has, in fact, given a chance (at least to those in the higher income groups) to improve their health and lifestyle (over a short period of time) --- timely home food (sans junk food),  exercise in sunlight (jogging on terraces),  enough sleep,   no work tension,  less spending and more saving (for the salaried segment).  Here again, it is up to the people to use this opportunity this way or to be as in the photo below:


However,  there are experts in the field who think sceptically about the benefits of lockdown.  It may all depend on the specific situation in a locality or the country at a particular point of time.   An editorial in a world famous medical journal, https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30938-7/fulltext ).  Our own advisors seem to have followed double standards as can be inferred from the following report:





It is LIFE versus MONEY.   Without life there's no money, and without money there's no life.  It's the affordability of a country that should decide the type of the 'LOCKDOWN'.  Different 'pundits' expressed different views. America is an example of the conflict, Trump backing the protestors against lockdown in some States.  For India, perhaps, a 'soft and selective lockdown' without a big blow to economy might have been desirable.  

The police, officials and army, if necessary, could have been posted inside (now, they are posted outside) the working places and educational institutions to enforce preventive measures in addition to 'educate' them on precautions to be taken in daily life.  it's all hypothetical and conjectural due to insufficient information about this disease.   Anyway, we are half way through now (20.04.2020).  Let's see the results.

Is LOCKDOWN an economically sound decision ?

It is a fiercely debatable subject. There are various ways of assessment.  One is to apply the 'human capital' concept of economics.  If there is no lockdown the economic loss due to 5 million deaths would be about Rs. 20 lakh crore.  If there is a lockdown the economic loss due to disruption of production would be Rs. 7 lakh crore.  Which is higher ?  Critics may not agree with this model of calculation and the data factored in.  For more details, click on:
https://www.newindianexpress.com/opinions/2020/may/07/lockdown-an-economically-sound-decision-2140161.html

But, how long can we keep the watermelon without opening ?

DON'T  GET  SCARED ... use the troika of  'masks, physical distancing and hygiene', in a logical and measured way.   Cooperation of the public and the participation of the 'private medical sector'  are crucially needed.  Mid-course corrections are necessary as there are many knowledge gaps in the 'corona compendium'.

According to a study conducted in South Africa a lockdown would kill 29 times more people than it saves.  The extent of economic damage would be anybody's guess.  A little more about this may be found under the subheading "LOCKDOWN SYNDROME" in the above pages.

Clear understanding of the facts about this disease and voluntarily applying the knowledge goes a long way to prevent morbidity and mortality,  rather than coercive and punitive measures.

FACE  MASKS

CDC researchers say mask mandates and dining restrictions tied to decreases in SARS-CoV-2 infections and deaths from COVID-19

The New York Times (3/5, Rabin) reported CDC researchers found that in counties across the US, wearing masks “was linked to fewer infections with” SARS-CoV-2 and fewer deaths from COVID-19. In the same study, “researchers also found that counties opening restaurants for on-premises dining – indoors or outdoors – saw a rise in daily infections about six weeks later, and an increase in [COVID-19] death rates about two months later.”

        The AP (3/5, Stobbe) reported CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky said, “All of this is very consistent. You have decreases in cases and deaths when you wear masks, and you have increases in cases and deaths when you have in-person restaurant dining.”

        The Hill (3/5, Sullivan) also covered the study.      ...   March 2021


Smile is the most enchanting expression of a human being which has the most positive value.  Alas, it made an obscure retreat behind a face mask !

A smile used to add tremendous value to a face.  Now it is reduced to zero.  The mask turned smiling faces into inanimate objects.  We don't know whether a receptionist is inviting us with a smile or sullenness.


Yet, fashion is unique. 
FASHION  is a very powerful facet of a human being, even when the world is in the throes of a pandemic.  For example,  see the $185 Luxury Face Mask from Belgium in the photo.  Interestingly, I stumbled upon an article written by a school student on FASHION which you may read in the link below.  --  T. Rama Prasad.  https://bluemaskjolting.blogspot.com/2020/08/do-we-need-fashion.html   
https://bluemaskjolting.blogspot.com/2020/08/do-we-need-fashion.html  









Primarily there are 3 kinds of masks:  1. Cloth masks  2. Surgical masks  3. Respirator masks.  For details, Click on:            

"The best evidence of utility of masks comes from East Asian countries with a culture of mask wearing and a collective adherence to civic duties making coercive masking laws virtually redundant.  A common strand among these countries, ranging from democracies like Japan and Taiwan to authoritarian ones like China and Vietnam, is the relatively low Covid infections and mortalities despite high population density compared to Western nations.  Not surprisingly the East Asian economies fared better than those nations which went easy on masks and opted for stringent lockdowns instead."


"MASKS CONUNDRUM:  The much maligned WHO which hemmed and hawed over the efficacy of masks even when this juggernaut virus begun to leap across continents, has now came out favouring use of masks."         --  Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  'Pay What You Can' Clinic,  Perundurai. 
 Wearing of a mask by one who is coughing or sneezing offers  good protection to the others around. 

(1)  A cough may release 3,000 droplets of secretions.  Each droplet may contain up to 2 million virus particles.
(2)  A sneeze may release 40,000 droplets at a speed of 320 mph !
(3)  A single minute of loud speaking could generate 1,000 micro droplets.
According to aerodynamic studies, droplets of the size of 18 to 50 microns 
can travel up to 13 feet in the still ambience.
(4)  Also read under the subheading "MODE  OF  TRANSMISSION"  on this page further up.

A study published in  strategy does make sense.  "Interestingly, the much maligned WHO, which hemmed and hawed over the efficacy of masks even when this juggernaut virus begun to leap across continents, came out with a protocol" now (June 2020) that favours using masks  -- Senior Citizens : Medical Mask;  Others : 3-layer fabric Mask.

A recent study (September 2020, University of California, TNEJM) suggests that 'Universal Mask Wearing' would not only prevent disease, but also acts as something like a vaccine -- a small number of virus particles inevitably pass through the masks, enter the body, produce T cell immunity without causing disease (subclinical infection) and thus protect.


According to this, if all the 'carriers' wear masks and no one else wears a mask, the risk is only 5%.  And if this 5% is to be brought down to 1.5% (not much difference), the whole ocean of 'healthy contacts' has to wear masks to be protected from this drop of 'carrier' !  Here the caveat is 'how big is this drop' !  No one knows -- that's the problem of the WHO which had been reluctant to declare mask as essential until June 6, 2020.  And, it should be remembered that the 'transmission probability' figures were mostly obtained from 'simulation' and 'mathematical models', not from field conditions.

American Recklessness or Wisdom
History:  Jan 29, 2020 -- WHO said "In community settings, face mask is not required by individuals without respiratory symptoms  Feb 5, 2020 -- CDC does not currently recommend face masks as a preventive as there is no community spread in the US.  Feb 29, 2020 -- The US Surgeon-General said "stop buying masks ... not effective for general public."  April 6, 2020 --  WHO continued to discourage people from wearing a face mask.  June 5, 2020 -- WHO reversed its position saying masks protect individuals from coronavirus infection.  June 11, 2020 -- A paper was published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences documenting the benefits of wearing face masks.  But 85 scientists raised a hue and cry about serious errors in the methodology and wrong data projections of the study and demanded retraction of the paper ! An egregious blunder.

And now (July 2020) another debate is going on -- whether it is an 'airborne' infection or not.  In an 'open letter' to the WHO, 239 scientists from 32 countries have asserted that this virus can infect through small aerosol particles of less than 5 microns in size which can be 'airborne'.  They want the WHO to revise its recommendations on prevention based on this evidence.   These small droplets can spread much beyond 3 feet and infect.

"DON'T USE VALVED N95 MASKS"

And now on July 20, 2020, the Union Health Ministry advised public not to use 'Valved respirator N95' face masks.  The one-way valve is incorporated in N95 masks to (1) prevent moisture / sweat build up  and heat build up (10degrees F lower) inside the mask area, and to prevent fogging of glasses  (2) make breathing (exhalation) easier.  The downside of the valved mask is that it allows aerosols (which may contain microbes) in the breathed out air to go out without filtering.  Anyway, how many millions of the 1.3 billion are using the costly 'Valved N95 masks' ?  

This is a very fussy subject. If one wants to be more fussy, one must buy a "Fit Test Kit" to determine which size, style and shape of a mask fits the face.  Just go out on to Indian roads and see our 'mask culture' !  We talk about the importance of micronutrients in our diet while we have the 'silent killer' of chronic malnutrition, which is a euphemism for slow starvation  !   And,  Chinese stopped wearing masks in general public areas with normal people around, perhaps because they may not be much benefit.
And finally, the efficacy of a mask depends on the quality of the mask and the properness of wearing the mask.  As we see in India, most of the people don't wear the mask properly -- it is just piece of cloth loosely hanging over the nose, mouth or neck.  Some visible piece on the face to escape punishment just as they put something like a hemet on handlebar or on head when helmet-wearing is made compulsory for two-wheeler riders !  If everyone wears a right mask in a proper way, there wouldn't be a need for 'lockdown'.
Chinese are no more required to use masks in general public areas with normal people around.  They celebrated victory over Covid in September 2020, while the US and many other countries are still struggling hard to contain the disease !  



That's THE LONG AND THE SHORT OF the masks !!!

And then, FUNNY  MASKS !







Grand Green idea of Grandma !
But that it's not a joke is proved by the news below !









  


NEXT ADVISORY:  Never get married,  but may have 'Test-tube' babies  !!!                                                                                           --  Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  PAY WHAT YOU CAN  Clinic,  Perundurai.  http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2017/04/lockdown-medicine.html



CORONA TSUNAMI  devastated lifestyle and economy on this planet.  The world would start limping back to normalcy only when people would no more need to wear face masks.  WHEN ?  ... may be 6 months,  6 years  or  never !!!  -  Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  PAY WHAT YOU CAN  Clinic,  Perundurai.  

THAT's ABOUT MASKS --  in 'lighter & serious vein'  !!!




AMERICA -- "The Land Of The Free".    Should we wear the face mask or not ?  The LAND of the FREE:    While the medical head of that land said no,  the administrative head ventilated about the freedom.  They are at loggerheads.   'Uncle Sam' assured that the citizens will have the freedom to choose between 'mask' or 'no mask', in 'the land of the free'.  Wisdom and science of the POTUS !!! 


VACCINES  and  TREATMENT




Lure of speed of entry and making a fast buck often put quality concerns on the margin.  A lot of fraud is being committed in research and treatment.  If inquisitive to read about it, click on the two links below:
http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2017/04/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov.html

http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2017/06/modern-medicine-good-bad-ugly.html

HYDROXYCHLOROQUINE:  A shame on researchers and a blot on medical journals.  An apology was tendered and the article in The Lancet was retracted.                   


The umbrella of treatment in a 'cytokine storm'

     
Researchers all around the world are working at a furious pace to make a vaccine 'immediately' !  Over 70 groups are working with100 vaccine candidates and 460 clinical trials.  They want to make it in 2020 itself.  But it could be 2030 or never ! There has been mounting criticism from the world medical community that regulatory authorities are bowing to political pressures.  It is a global competition -- academic and commercial as well, and even political !  And, a vaccine nationalism !  For instance, the mindlessly hurried Russian vaccine Sputnik V is like a Russian roulette.  If it succeeds, it's a bounty, otherwise it's a disaster to the humanity. Who can regulate ?  There is also the urge as the global economy is on the verge of collapse.  The race is against time.  The race for a vaccine is more of a marathon than a sprint.  That's the reality.

(1) On July 22, 2020, the Trump administration inked a 2 billion dollars deal for 600 million doses of COVID vaccine with Pfizer and BioNTech, even before the development of the vaccine. The US biotech firm Moderna's vaccine candidate has shown some promise and will enter final stage trials in July 2020.  (1a)  mRNA COVID-19 vaccine.  (2)  British (Oxford) ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (AZD1222) vaccine uses 'live chimpanzee adenovirus type 5'  - initially failed in monkeys, but being tried in volunteers.  Being on a 'tried-and-tested' platform 80% success is predicted -- may be available by the end of 2020 for Rs.1,000, made from the Serum Institute of India, Pune.  (3) 'Challenge' trials of COVID-19 vaccine -- involving infecting willing people with the virus to know the protective effect.  (4)  "COVAXIN" is an indigenously developed 'inactivated vaccine' at the Hyderabad-based (India) vaccine manufacturer, Bharat Biotech.  It's permitted to do Phase I & II human clinical trials in June 2020 --results expected in October 2020. Meanwhile the ICMR chief kicked up a 'scientific storm' by 'ordering' completion of the trials 'quickly' so that the vaccine could be ready for use by August 15, 2020 !  (5)  "ZyCov-D" is the vaccine candidate of Zydus Cadila, slated to complete late-stage trials by March 2020.  (6) Russia and China may suddenly market their vaccines any time. Chinese firm CanSino Biologics Inc  is developing a vaccine (Ad5-nCoV) based on the adenovirus mechanism. It is approved for use by Chinese military and is lined up for being tested in Russia, Mexico and Saudi Arabia, having obtained a patent approval from Beijing.  On 11.08.2020, President Vladimir Putin said that Russia had become the first country to grant regulatory approval to a COVID-19 vaccine to be called 'Sputnik V.  This has raised concerns as this has not passed through the customary tests for efficacy and safety.  This vaccine consists of two serotypes of a human adenovirus, each carrying an S-antigen of the new coronavirus, which enter human cells and produce an immune response -- a recombinant adenovirus type 26 (rAD26) vector and a recombinant adenovirus type 5 (rAD5) vector, both carrying the gene for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) spike glycoprotein (rAD26-S and rAD5-S).  So far, adenovirus vector vaccines have never been used as commercial human vaccines except for a rabies vaccine and in some experimental studies.(7) Monoclonal antibodies.  (6)  Numerous drugs and treatment protocols.  These are all in the pipeline -- may come out or not !
https://indianexpress.com/article/india/covid-19-vaccine-may-be-ready-in-12-18-months-says-who-chief-scientist-6478396/


Celebrate INDEPENDENCE  DAY with our corona vaccine.  Even the baby is laughing at the idea !  Fast-tracking medical research studies is a matter of concern.  Can we produce a baby in one month bygetting nine women pregnant !!!"  Russia named its yet to be born baby "Sputnik V".  Let's rename ours as "Chandrayaan C" !        --  T. Rama Prasad.  

 







 This is going to be a long haul ... don't expect magic bullets or silver bullets.
However, amidst the doom and gloom, there is the news today (19.05.2020)      (1)  that volunteers who received the US vaccine (mRNA-1273 of Moderna biotechnology company) showed good immune response, and 
(2)  that at China's prestigious Peking University, a new way of treating with 'Neutralising Antibodies' made from the blood of recovered patients using 'Single-cell Genomics' technology is being developed.



There are two vaccines available at present in India. One is Covishield and the other one is Covaxin. We will see some of the facts of this two vaccines now (January 2021)

 Covishield :
          It is not exactly a live attenuated Vaccine. It's an engineered  Simian Adenovirus vector vaccine. It is replication deficient as some genes required for replication is deleted. The genome of Covid Spike Protein is then inserted. After injection into the body it produces Spike Protein of SARS COV2 which triggers immunological reactions.

         Simian adenovirus has been used because many people already have antibodies against human adenovirus developed from the recurrent common cold.This may prevent the development of adequate antibody response to the vaccine 

         This is the first ever Adenovirus vector vaccine licensed to be used in large scale ( Of course one Adeno virus vector vaccine was granted emergency use authorisation for Ebola previously and used in small number only and subsequently found to be not useful much.

         Normally Adenovirus vector vaccines are superior in producing T Cell response and inferior in producing B Cell antibody response.

           B Cell producing antibodies are normally good in preventing the intrusion of virus into the cell and there by neutralising the virus in the extracellular space

          Where as T Cell response is good for mainly destroying the infected host cell. I feel this may be the reason for the slightly decreased efficacy of Covishield in preventing the infection.

           At the same time please  remember that even if the efficacy is slightly less it's very good in preventing the development of severe Covid, hospitalisation and death as inferred from the studies. Moreover there are no major adverse events reported sofar.

 Covaxin : 
          Coming to covaxin It a killed vaccine. Conventional killed vaccines  produce weak immunological reactions and that's why adjuvants are added to enhance the immunological reactions.

          Multiple booster doses may be required as the immunity is not long lasting. They are more stable and generally safe.

          The disadvantage of the Covaxin is that the phase 3 trial results are not yet out. At the same time we have to accept that there are  no major adverse events reported so far to Covaxin also.

         The theoretical superiority in efficacy of Covaxin over Covishield will be known only after the phase 3 trials are out.

         Whichever may be the vaccine it may be beneficial to get vaccinated than getting an infection.

 Those who have contracted the disease previously : should also
get vaccinated because no one knows really how long the immunity from the infections last.

          Moreover mucosal infections generally don't produce adequate antibody response. Only infections causing Viremia produces good neutralising antibodies.

         Please remember that it was only a mucosal infection in many of the Covid patients. So it may be  better to get vaccinated even if one had contracted the disease previously.

 Coming to the Antibody dependent enhancement of infection ( ADE ) : 
         The theoretical chances of getting a severe Covid subsequently on exposure to SARS COV2 in a previously vaccinated person has not been reported sofar in Covid. Please note that ADE is more common with Flavi virus infections like Dengue only.


      The jury is still out on treatment protocols.

      Corona would have been unknown to the common man if it didn't kill so fast, so many and in so many countries.  If many didn't die, it would have been just another 'flu' and just another permanent guest !  Now, common people know of some 'desivir' or some 'zumab' !

      A great majority of the cases recovered without intensive treatment.  A few patients (around 3 per cent) succumbed in spite of intensive care -- and a few of these few might have died due to the "intensive care" with needless ventilators and heroic treatment without tackling inflammation and thrombosis !  

During the first 3 months (Jan-Mar 2020) we didn't know much about why people were dying of this diseases.  In the next 4 months (Apr-Jul 2020) we knew something and so the treatment protocols are better now (July 2020).  Earlier there was a rush to put the patients on ventilators, but 80% of them died.  Nearly 6 months into the pandemic,  doctors have learnt that it didn't work mostly, and started giving high-flow oxygen therapy -- 60 litres per minute --in prone position.   Uncertainty is the hallmark of Corona. Shifting advisories have become common.  For instance, AIIMS and Health Ministry, on September 2, 2020, advised not to use favipiravir, pirfenidone, methylene blue, itolizumab, tocilizumab, etc too enthusiastically as sufficient evidence is lacking to support their use. We have to still learn on the go !  Read on: 

       We have to restructure our strategies based on recent postmortem findings which point to an unthought of pathophysiology. The sudden and conventionally unexplainable deaths might have been due to a massive 'tsunami-like' 'allergic reaction' -- a 'cytokine storm' of widespread severe inflammation resulting in disastrous occlusion of small blood vessels due to micro thromboembolism / disseminated intravascular coagulation / vasculitis in lungs and other vital organs as well.   Some observations of endothelitis and vascular complications suggest that the disease is systemic and mainly involves the vascular endothelium.  Still, these insights into the pathology of severe COVID-19 are only hypothetical.  Ventilators and oxygen couldn't save, as the problem was elsewhere.   Hypoxia didn't respond to PEEP.  Anti-inflammatory drugs, thrombolytic agents and blood transfusions were not given priority in the first three months of the crisis.  Viral myocarditis with elevated troponin was not actively studied.

ASPIRIN  and  HEPARIN  and  RIVEROXABAN

COVID-19 is more than a lung infection.  It affects the blood vessels of lung and many other organs.  It produces blood clots (thrombosis) associated with acute life-threatening events.  Some recommend a low dose of HEPARIN and Aspirin to all COVID-19 patients admitted into hospitals to prevent clot formation.  Riveroxaban (in a dose of 15 to 20 mg once a day in the evening for one to four weeks depending on CT chest and D-dimer value  findings) is also recommended.  And some suggested TISSUE PLASMINOGEN ACTIVATOR which helps dissolve clots.  A specialised test, Thromboelastography (TEG) is being studied. This test is a whole blood assay that gives a lot of information about blood clots.   It is not yet clear as to what extent these clots are responsible for the deaths. https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/are-blood-clots-to-blame-for-covid-19-deaths 

STEROIDS

How to suppress this overreaction of our immune system ? There are some drugs, but they may compromise our defence system by over suppressing ... IL-6 inhibitor, Actemra (Tocilizumab) and IL-1 modifier, Anakinra reduce the flow of macrophages into lungs without hampering CD4 & CD8 cells -- so they are less compromising, but very costly and not easily available.  Next alternative -- steroids like prednisolone .. very cheap and available everywhere,  but they suppress the immune system very broadly, very compromisingly.  When nothing else is there to save a life, steroids are being tried in some countries during 'cytokine storms'.  Who knows ?  Though the WHO is against steroids,  they may be life-saving !  In fact, some promising evidence has come-forth to proclaim that DEXAMETHASONE is a life-saving drug.  It is a very cheap (few rupees)and very widely available drug. The anti-inflammatory drug TOCILIZUMAB seems to be a promising life-saving medicine -- about 50,000 rupees per dose.


REMDESIVIR





FAVIPIRAVIR

Fabiflu

PRONING

Keeping the patient lying in the prone position (belly down and back up position on the bed) is supposed to improve oxygenation.

COVID-19 RESOURCES

Story Image

CANCER DRUG:    Ex-vivo studies indicate elevated Bruton Tyrosine Kinase (BTK) activity, as evidenced by autophosphorilation and increased IL-6 production in blood monocytes, in severe COVID-19 patients.  This has lead to the study of ACALABRUTINIB which targets activated BTK in macrophages and reduces inflammation.  Acalabrutinib (Calquence of AstraZeneca) is already in use in cancers like Chronic Lymphocytic Lymphoma / Mantle Cell Lymphoma.  Administration of Acalabrutinib (off-label drug for COVID-19),  a BTK inhibitor,  showed clinical improvement  as published in the journal 'Science Immunology' on June 5, 2020  --https://immunology.sciencemag.org/content/5/48/eabd0110

         
 Like methemoglobin, the 'virus structural protein' may stick to heme, displace oxygen, displace iron, and the free iron toxicity (high Fio2) may cause inflammation of alveolar macrophages.  Radiological images may be vaguely interpreted as 'pneumonia', 'infiltration', 'consolidation', 'ground glass lesions'  or some fancy term. Frequent transfusions of RBC / blood may be beneficial.


  MONOCLONAL  ANTIBODIES & Plasma Therapy

Our biological protective reaction to corona is a double-edged weapon - it may kill the virus or it may kill us also through overreaction ... Cytokines & Interleukin-6 (IL-6) ramp up immune response ... Macrophages, CD4 T, CD8 T initiate immune response and protect us.    All these are our 'biological policemen'.  But too much of a response may harm us -- too much of macrophage inflammation may damage normal lung cells and kill us also.  When policemen harm  people, we have to correct  them, not abandon them -- same is the case with our 'biological policemen'.

DEXAMETHASONE  and  TOCILIZUMAB  and  ITOLIZUMAB, etc

        How to suppress this overreaction of our immune system ? There are some drugs, but they may compromise our defence system by over suppressing ... IL-6 inhibitor, Actemra (Tocilizumab) and IL-1 modifier, Anakinra reduce the flow of macrophages into lungs without hampering CD4 & CD8 cells -- so they are less compromising, but very costly and not easily available.  Next alternative -- steroids like prednisolone .. very cheap and available everywhere,  but they suppress the immune system very broadly, very compromisingly.  When nothing else is there to save a life, steroids are being tried in some countries during 'cytokine storms'.  Who knows ?  Though the WHO is against steroids,  they may be life-saving !  In fact, some promising evidence has come-forth to proclaim that DEXAMETHASONE is a life-saving drug.  It is a very cheap (few rupees)and very widely available drug. The anti-inflammatory drug TOCILIZUMAB seems to be a promising life-saving medicine -- about 50,000 rupees per dose.

Interleukin-6 Inhibitors

Last Updated: April 21, 2021

Interleukin (IL)-6 is a pleiotropic, proinflammatory cytokine produced by a variety of cell types, including lymphocytes, monocytes, and fibroblasts. Infection by the severe acute respiratory syndrome-associated coronavirus (SARS-CoV) induces a dose-dependent production of IL-6 from bronchial epithelial cells.1 COVID-19-associated systemic inflammation and hypoxic respiratory failure can be associated with heightened cytokine release, as indicated by elevated blood levels of IL-6, C-reactive protein (CRP), D-dimer, and ferritin.2-4It is hypothesized that modulating the levels of IL-6 or its effects may reduce the duration and/or severity of COVID-19 illness.

There are two classes of Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved IL-6 inhibitors: anti-IL-6 receptor monoclonal antibodies (e.g., sarilumab, tocilizumab) and anti-IL-6 monoclonal antibodies (i.e., siltuximab). These drugs have been evaluated for the management of patients with COVID-19 who have systemic inflammation. 


Itolizumab, an injectable monoclonal antibody drug in use for the skin disease 'Psoriasis', reduces inflammation by inhibiting key inflammatory markers like IL-6 and TNF and hence may be useful in tackling 'cytokine storm' of COVID-19, according to some evidence.  The Central Drug Standards Control Organisation (CDSCO) said that after detailed deliberation the Drug Controller General of India (DCGI) decided to grant permission (July 2020) to market the drug for the treatment of Cytokine Release Syndrome in moderate to severe Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) of COVID-19 patients.  But some experts are not impressed by the data, presented by the company to the DCGI of the study of just 30 patients across 4 hospitals of whom only 20 were given Itolizumab along with 'Standard Care Treatment', to justify such a permission.  They also pointed out that conducting Phase 3 trial was waived which is a bad move scientifically. It costs about Rs. 7,500 per pack (Alzumab of Biocon).


Bamlanivimab, Etesevimab, Casirivimab and Imdevimab

    Products farthest along in clinical trials have been created by Eli Lilly and Regeneron. Eli Lilly’s monoclonal antibody regimen, bamlanivimab (also known as LY-CoV555), consists of two antibodies directed against the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein and its receptor binding domain; Regeneron’s products, casirivimab (REGN10933) and imdevimab (REGN10987), consists of two antibodies that bind to different regions of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein receptor binding domain.   
This antibody cocktail (Roche / Regeneron) is given emergency authorisation in May 2021 amidst the severe second wave. The therapy is a cocktail of two antibodies Casirivimab and Imdevimab, which are synthetically manufactured copies of antibodies that the body produces after an infection. It has been shown to reduce hospitalisations in COVID-19 patients who are at a high risk of developing severe illness. https://www.reuters.com/world/india/india-approves-rocheregeneron-drug-covid-19-2021-05-05/ 

Eli Lilly's combination of two synthetic antibodies against COVID-19 reduced hospitalisations and deaths by 70% in high-risk patients, according to a study.

There has been a lot of confusion and controversy about the MONOCLONAL ANTIBODIES.  To know some details, click on:


Like many other things in 'Covid treatment',  opposing views are expressed about the efficacy of 'convalescent plasma' (CP) treatment. 



        'Convalescent plasma' consists of 'polyclonal antibodies' in serum derived from convalescing patients,  whereas 'monoclonal antibodies' are produced by some genetic engineering technology.  So far, they are found to be useful in RSV and Ebola diseases only.

INTERFERON

 On April 23, 2021, the Drug Controller General of India (DCGI) approved Indian pharma company Zydus Cadila’s anti-viral drug, Virafin, for emergency use to treat ‘moderate Covid-19 cases’ Virafin is the trade name used by Zydus Cadila for Pegylated Interferon alpha-2b. For the uninitiated, interferons are signalling proteins found in our bodies that act as immunological agents.

Zydus Cadila has outlined that this medicine can be given when there is a moderate degree of infection. When the viral load is between moderate and high, the need for oxygen is rapid. So, by administering this medicine, the viral load will decrease, and the need for oxygen will also reduce, within one week after a single dose.  This is a repurposed drug which is already in use for treating Hepatitis C.



CHOLCICINE  

Scientist in Israel discovered a chemical known as Alpha Defensin produced by WBC can cause the micro-clots in blood vessels of lungs, and that this can possibly be prevented by a drug called CHOLCICINE, a drug used for many decades for treating Gout.

METFORMIN

Metformin, widely used for diabetes, may prevent the entry of this virus by interacting with ACE2 receptors to which the virus binds and gains entry into the body.  This drug may reduce elevated blood glucose levels, and this virus itself may produce Type1 diabetes by destroying beta cells in the pancreas that produce insulin. It is advisable not to use this drug in combination with HCQ.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7190487/  

HYDROXYCHLOROQUINE (HCQ)

A tremendous lot is written on this drug, jocularly called as "Trump's pet drug".  A little is written about it in the following page and if you want to read more about it, click on: 

IVERMECTIN
Ivermectin, an approved drug for treating various parasite infestations, is under study for its anti-viral action as it was found to inhibit the replication of COVID-19 with an IC50 of2.2 - 2.8 uM.  It is a potential anti-virus agent in Chikungunya and Yellow Fever. 
Ivermectin has grabbed headlines for wrong reasons.  Based on the study data of Surgisphere, the company behind some discredited research studies (including those of HCQ), officials of Latin American countries recommended ivermectin as a possible coronavirus drug.  Clinicians there say the effects have been extremely devastating.  People emptied the drug stores and self-medicated with no scientific indications, and entered into a false sense of safety.  Back in India the UP government officials approved (August 2020) ivermectin for treatment and prevention of COVID-19, based on the evidence of a handful of in vitro and observational studies.  One Prof. Thomas Borody from Centre for Digestive Diseases in Australia 'believes' that ivermectin with zinc and doxycycline is a cure for COVID-19.  Prof. Ian Musgrave, a molecular pharmacologist from the University of Adelaide said: "Prof. Borody's 'belief' is to be taken with a pinch of salt as ivermectin acts only in test tubes." Prof. Borody wondered why Australia didn't consider his recommendation to include ivermectin in COVID-19 treatment while the 'HUGE INDIA' approved it !  Uttar Pradesh government approved it in August 2020. Concerns have been raised that human use of ivermectin may do more harm than good. The hype has shifted from HCQ to Ivermectin.  It's no wonder Miss Corona made people lose faith in "scientific" medicine !
The Pan American Health Organization, a regional office of the World Health Organization, has issued a statement warning against the use of ivermectin to treat COVID-19. The statement notes that the antiparasitic drug is being investigated in clinical trials, but currently, “ivermectin is incorrectly being used for the treatment of COVID-19, without any scientific evidence of its efficacy and safety for the treatment of this disease.” For details go to the links below:


Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH) COVID-19 Treatment Guidance(13) If empirical antibiotics are indicated, the recommendation is for: Doxycycline 100 mg PO BID x 5 days or Azithromycin 500 mg PO x 1 then 250 mg PO daily for 4 days along with Ceftriaxone 1 gm IV daily. For nonpregnant patients, doxycycline is preferred over azithromycin. Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) continues to remain a significant public health challenge, and the current antiviral arsenal for its treatment is limited, with questionable efficacy. While efforts are underway for the discovery of new effective agents, validation of their actual potential may take quite some time Therefore, the repurposing of existing drugs for new indications is the need of the hour, as we see it happening globally. Along with this endeavor, Doxycycline emerges as an antimicrobial agent possessing antiviral and anti-inflammatory activities; which by dampening the critical cytokine storm has the potential to prevent lung damage.(14) Along with its cost-effectiveness, acceptable tolerance (15) and ease of availability, Doxycycline, as a prominent consideration in patients with COVID-19 seem a rational as well as a realistic one. 

https://medicaldialogues.in/pulmonology/news/doxycycline-rationale-for-use-in-covid-19-68527

https://medicaldialogues.in/pulmonology/news/doxycycline-rationale-for-use-in-covid-19-68527 

Combinations of drugs with Albendazole / Doxycycline are also being tried.   
https://www.firstpost.com/health/medical-team-in-bangladesh-suggests-combination-of-ivermectin-and-doxycycline-for-covid-19-treatment-8380171.htmlFurther, papain-like protease inhibitors including praziquantel, cinacalcet, procainamide, terbinafine, pethidine, labetalol, tetrahydrozoline, ticlopidine, ethoheptazine, amitriptyline, naphazoline, formoterol, benzylpenicillin, chloroquine, and chlorothiazide are also hypothesized to counter the COVID-19.5


All the above mentioned remedies are to mitigate the impact of the virus but not directly to neutralise the virus.

AYUSH -- systems of alternative medicine - indigenous 

Various preparations belonging to the alternative systems of medicine in India, some approved and some not approved by governments are in the market as claimed to prevent / cure COVID-19.  'Arsenicum album 30' is one which is said to be recommended by the State governments in Rajasthan, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and Kerala.  'Coronil' of Patanjali is another brand in the market after settling a dispute about the claims.
Zingivir-H is an Ayurveda (system of 'Alternative Medicine') drug which is approved for trials in Indian patients.
"Another patient of about 40 years with high fever and who tested positive for COVID-19 in USA tested negative for Covid-19 with Ayurvedic medication.  A detailed case study has been cited (
If the treatments promoted to treat COVID-19 by the alternative systems of medicine are not to be "derided or scoffed at", the ICMR should guide them to conduct RCT studies of robust and hard caliber to prove their worth.



At present (June 2020), there is no conclusively proven specific drug or vaccination against the virus But lives may be saved by giving supportive and symptomatic treatment.     


      
 Empirically,  drugs like Lopinavir and Ritonavir which are used in HIV, SARS and MERS  (HIV protease inhibitors) and Remdesivir / Redemsivir which is used in Ebola are being tried.   Sofosbuvir also seems to be worth studying.  Remdesivir seems to be having a more specific role.  Phase-3 clinical trials are going on to assess the efficacy of Favipiravir in India (Fabi-Flu, Glenmark).  Galisivir, Balaxavir and Ribavirin are also being studied.  Plasma therapy is also being used.

PLATELET  THEORY:  It is opined that platelets are the ones that lead to lung inflammation.  CD13 (Human receptor) and HCoV-229E strains are 82% similar to SARS-CoV-2 which share similar function to intake the virus (University of Perugia, Italy).

As it stands today (June 2020),  most of these drugs are being used as "Compassionate / Emergency / Salvage" drugs, meaning that the drugs are permitted to be used for study or as a last resort, with some evidence in their favour but not yet conclusively proven to be effective and safe in COVID-19 disease.

       Remdesivir

      Favipiravir - brand name: Fabi flu - a course of 15 days costs around Rs. 13,000 per patient - Tablets 200mg - 1800mg twice a day for one day followed by 800mg twice a day for the next 14 days.

These two antiviral drugs may be available in India from July 2020 for 'regulated' use in COVID-19 cases.

Transfusions of RBC / blood, anti-inflammatory steroids, thrombolytic drugs, 'plasma therapy', antibiotics, immunotherapy, etc. are also being employed. 

 And, some centres are trying the anti-malarial drug Chloroquine to prevent / cure this disease without conclusive evidence of its efficacy.  A publication in the LANCET (22.05.2020)  of a large multinational real-world registry analysis indicates that there is no benefit of HCQ in treating COVID-19 patients.  It also mentions of more cardiac problems and deaths ( https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)31180-6/fulltext#seccestitle70 ).

October 17, 2020


Uncertainty of outcomes of 'modern medical treatment' in COVID-19 is certainly evident. Plasma therapy is claimed to be beneficial and proved to be useless (PLACID trial of ICMR for convalescent plasma).  And more disappointingly, the hope of preventing deaths by using many costly repurposed drugs is shattered by the world's largest clinical trial, the SOLIDARITY trial of the WHO.  Numerous people in India lost their loved ones and their livelihood after borrowing and spending an average of ten lakhs of rupees on each patient on these expensive drugs of no value.  The vaccine game of billions of dollars is currently going on.  With what certainty of positive results ?  
--  Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  PAY WHAT YOU CAN  Clinic,  Perundurai.  http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2017/04/hydroxychloroquine-hcq-and-coronavirus_29.html

Consequent to the fraudulent publication in The Lancet, WHO suspended its HCQ drug trial, over safety concerns.  France, Italy and Belgium have stopped using HCQ from 27.05.2020.  Touting of this drug by Trump and his outbursts at WHO about -China issue is a different story.

American 
Association of Physicians and Surgeons (AAPS) is supporting Trump on his HCQ statement. (https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/may/24/hydroxychloroquine-trump-us-doctors-coronavirus)

Some are using 'Blood Plasma' donated by patients who have recovered from COVID-19 as a treatment option.  Interferon alfa 2a and 2b is also under trial.  Some are using cells grown from human placenta -- Placental Expanded Cells.

Corona lung infection seems to exhibit very uncommon features.  Patches of pneumonitis were seen in 'chest X-rays' even when the patients had minimal symptoms - as in the first case in the USA ( Link to the first case report: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001191
'X-ray' of the 1st case in the USA


In some cases, the lesions rapidly progressed  within hours / days and killed.  Oxygen availability in tissues was unexpectedly low though the blood oxygen didn't fall as much.  Hypoxia (low amount of oxygen reaching the body tissues) - even 75% - was out of proportion to the breathlessness or 'X-ray' changes.  As such, conventional oxygen therapy or ventilator support didn't yield the expected results.  Around the 10th day, patients died of 'cytokine storm', acute ARDS, multi organ failure, etc.      
      

   The speed and the volume of loss of life over a short period of time is the main concern.  The spread and the pathogenesis of this virus would be an everlasting enigma.  

  Ivermectin, an approved drug for treating various parasite infestations, is under study for its anti-viral action as it was found to inhibit the replication of COVID-19 with an IC50 of2.2 - 2.8 uM.  It is a potential anti-virus agent in Chikungunya and Yellow Fever (  
https://www.drugs.com/medical-answers/ivermectin-treat-covid-19-coronavirus-3535912/prevent development of COVID-19 in certain high-risk groups,  just as is the case with Hydroxychloroquine ?  We don't know yet.  Combinations of drugs with Albendazole / Doxycycline are also being tried.   
https://www.firstpost.com/health/medical-team-in-bangladesh-suggests-combination-of-ivermectin-and-doxycycline-for-covid-19-treatment-8380171.htmlFurther, papain-like protease inhibitors including praziquantel, cinacalcet, procainamide, terbinafine, pethidine, labetalol, tetrahydrozoline, ticlopidine, ethoheptazine, amitriptyline, naphazoline, formoterol, benzylpenicillin, chloroquine, and chlorothiazide are also hypothesized to counter the COVID-19.5


          The US president Trump had declared that Chloroquine was approved in the US to treat COVID-19.  But Fauci, the top US expert in infectious diseases,  contradicted it saying that the drug needs to be studied for its efficacy against the coronavirus and that the claims are only 'anecdotal' !
     The following is a report in the press: ...

"A run on anti-malaria drugs chloroquine and ...

19 hours ago: Hospitals and doctors are wiping out supplies of Chloroquine, an unproven coronavirus treatment.  Lack of definitive evidence has not stopped exploding ... "  One Chinese publication indicated that Chloroquine may be beneficial in treating Coronavirus Pneumonia ( https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32164085 ). 
  To know more about Chloroquine and Corona, click on: http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2017/04/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov.html
https://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2017/04/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov.html
And, there are reports that Hydroxychloroquinde killed some in   the US !!!
Clin Med COVID article May 2020.2020-0188.full.pdf

"WORLD  CLASS  RESEARCH:  Read this photocopy entirely.  If we have 21 million dollars to throw into a garbage bin,  we can do the same research to cure COVID-19 with 19 'iddlis' a day for 19 days !!!  In these sad covid times, we get a lot of entertainment from America -- hydroxychloroquine, injecting disinfectants & sunlight, and now antacids !  Read in the link below about the frauds in medical research."                     --  Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  'Pay What You Can' Clinic,  Perundurai.    http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2017/04/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov.html


MOLNUPIRAVIR
"The drug, translated as "Molnupiravir" was jointly developed by two major pharmaceutical companies, "Rigibel" in Germany and "Merck" in the United States, and has successfully completed the first and second phases of clinical trials in humans. The effect is 100%; the current phase 3 clinical trial is nearing the end and the effect is very good. If it goes well, it will be available in the market within 4 to 5 months (end of 2021 ?).
The patient can take the drug by himself at home, and heal in 5 days, which is very convenient to use. Treating the new coronavirus in the future is like treating the common cold now. The new coronavirus is not terrible."

At the end,  what's the correct protocol of treatment  ?
GOK  !
But, Miss Corona,  we shall continue to fight.  We have lots of weapons.                                                                                         Chloroquine  to  Favipiravir ... Actemra  to  Anakinra ... Interferon  to  Immunoglobulins ... miRNA  to  has-mir-27b ... Gangajalam  to  gomoothra  and so on.         
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WHO  and  POTUS

"Both utter and do amusing and improper things.  In the context of the Covid Pandemic, both are accused of functional inefficiency, organisational lethargy, paucity of decisive leadership, bureaucratic indolence and shifting strategies.  WHO made another U-turn on 17.06.20 and dropped Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) from SOLIDARITY (CORONA) drug trial.   Trump seems to have made WHO lost its mental balance.  Click on the link below to read about the sensational story about HCQ, Trump, WHO, The Lancet, NEJM, medical frauds and tricks, and the politico-pharmaceutical ramifications based on influence and money."                                    --  T. Rama Prasad  https://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2017/04/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov.html

WHO  -- (1) Initially, denied person-to-person transmission of coronavirus.  (2) Denied and delayed declaring COVID-19 as a pandemic by 2 weeks.  (3) Initially, it announced that mask-wearing was not necessary for the uninfected.  But after a few months recommended face masks.  (4) Said that recovered patients are unprotected by antibodies from re-infection.  (5) Alleged  influence and haste in declaring H1N1 as a pandemic. (6) Hastily suspended its HCQ drug trial and made a U-turn next week. Again made a U-turn to stop HCQ arm of the trial.

POTUS  --  (1) Idea of injecting disinfectants & sunlight therapy.  (2) Noise from windmills causes cancer.  (3) Kidney has a very special space in the heart.  (3) Global warming is a Chinese hoax.  (4) Moon is a part of Mars. (5) China is accountable for the spread of COVID-19 and the US may seek damages.  (6) WHO is pro-China and so we stop funding WHO (7) Didn't like the idea of wearing masks and physical distancing. (8) On July 21, 2020,  Trump made a U-tiurn and urged Americans to use masks as a vital barrier to the virus' spread when America recorded 3.9 million cases.  (9)  Foreign student visas were nullified and almost immediately a U-turn was made in July 2020.  (10) Kamala Harris is not an American. (11)  The US military wages wars to make money for manufacturers ! 




     

TRUMP thought that the LION was in CHINA -- mislead by the guide called WHO !  After realising the fact, he stopped funding the WHO.   

 (https://www.newindianexpress.com/opinions/editorials/2020/apr/27/trumps-attempt-to-disinfect-patchy-corona-record-2135734.html   )
https://www.newindianexpress.com/magazine/2020/may/03/coronavirus-chronicles-descent-into-horror-2137496.html

CORONA  and KAWASAKI

It's in the news. An increase of 30% of 'Kawasaki-like' illness (high fever, skin rashes, reddish tongue and eyes) / 'Toxic Shock Syndrome' in children incidental to the Covid-19 entry into Italy is reported. We still don't know what causes Kawasaki disease, let alone the possible link between it and the corona.  Don't get scared, but consult your doctor when the above symptoms occur in children.  Indeed, children are less affected  by COVID-19.  Kawasaki is a childhood disease that triggers inflammation in the blood vessels and can cause lasting heart damage.  It is difficult to diagnose Kawasaki as there is no specific blood test or 'swab' test.   To know more about this, go to the following links: 
  (  https://www.livescience.com/covid-19-and-kawasaki-disease-children.html  )                                                                  
   (  https://www.bbc.com/news/health-52648557  )
Similar cases were found in New York, London and France.  The chief of WHO, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said in May 2020: "It is critical to urgently and carefully characterise this clinical syndrome, to understand causality and to describe treatment interventions."  


SMOKERS  and  CORONA




There is an unexpectedly good news for smokers ! A top French neurobiologist said nicotine in tobacco gets attached to ACE2 receptors to block entry of CORONA virus ! It may also lessen the 'cytokine storm' of COVID-19 ! In Paris hospitals, only 8.5% of the 11,000 Covid-19 patients were smokers while 25% of the population in France are smokers ! Please don't cite this as an excuse for smoking !!! 

January 17, 2021:   A first pan-India survey tracking nearly 10,000 employees of the Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) on the prevalence of COVID-19 found a significant association between smoking and protection against SARS-CoV-2.  The study (ICMR-IGIB) also found Covid seroprevalence  was highest for blood group type AB, follower by group B, group O and group A.  Blood group O was observed to be protective.


--  Dr. T. Rama Prasad,

EYE  and  CORONA


The digital wizardry of modern technology has burdened the EYE very much.  During the LOCK DOWN period, the organ most overused is the EYE ... electronic screens, newspapers, books.  And now, another new risk is added to the eyes of students -- online E-classes.  Authorities should realise that continuous viewing on electronic screens may be detrimental to the eyes of the pupils.  A break of 5 minutes may be given after every 20 minutes of teaching.  And for everybody the rule of 20-20-20 is recommended -- after every 20 minutes of exposure to digital screens see objects beyond 20 feet  for 20 seconds before resuming the activity.  
After the 'corona period',  have your eyes checked up if you hadn't recently.   I am not an eye specialist !                                                                                                                                                                      During the 'corona period',   (1)  Don't touch your eyes.  If necessary, wash your hands thoroughly before you touch. Coronavirus may gain entry into the body through eyes and may spread through eye secretions.  (2) Wearing glasses may add a layer of protection.  If wearing contact lenses, switch over to ordinary glasses during this period.     1 to 3%  of corona patients may get "pink eye" (conjunctivitis) which may be a rear early symptom of coronavirus.     It may be interesting to know that the Chinese whistleblower ophthalmologist, Dr.Li Wenliang developed symptoms of coronavirus after having treated a woman (for glaucoma eye disease) who was a contact of her daughter who had coronavirus infection.  It's unfortunate that this 32-year-old doctor died of coronavirus on February 7, 2020 at Wuhan Central Hospital. Beware of the importance of EYE in relation to CORONA !
According to an international study by UK's 'FeelGood Contacts' (that collated data from various sources such as Lancet Global Health, WHO, and screen time tracker DataReportal),  nearly 23% of the Indian population had deterioration of eyesight mostly because of excessive time spent on electronic screens due to coronavirus induced shutdowns which forced people to take to screens for education, work, entertainment, etc. (6 hours and 36 minutes per day in 2020 in India). The study noted that though it is a global phenomenon, Indians were found to have suffered the most damage to eyesight and vision.
Added to this is the Mucormycosis fungal infection of the eye which is associated with COVID-19.  The infection may lead to removal of the eye with a death rate of around 50% --   the disease races at a high speed from the nose to the eyes and on to the brain.  Head ache, drooping of eyelid, eyelid swelling, double vision, red eye, and blurred vision may be the symptoms pertaining to the eye.


SKIN  and  CORONA

Some skin lesions may give a clue to the underlying COVID-19.  People should be wary of it.     Changes to the tongue, the hands or the soles of the feet could give an early indication of  COVID-19, according to Spanish researchers (British Journal of Dermatology).  Swelling of the tongue and the appearance of patches, along with loss of taste is dubbed as 'Covid Tongue'.                           
'
PREGNANCY  and  CORONA



            As on July 16, 2020,  in Tamil Nadu,  1,606 pregnant women tested 'positive' for coronavirus.  At the Institute of Obstetrics and Gynaecology(IOG) and Hospital for Women and Children, Egmore, Chennai,  39 newborns tested 'positive', accounting for nearly about 12%.  National Health Mission has issued 'Special Protocol' for the care of antenatal women to the Comprehensive Emergency Obstetric and Newborn Care (CEmONC) centres and private obstetricians.  A study of over 700 cases at this hospital revealed that in-utero transmission of Covid is rare.  But, at the Dr.Mehta's Hospitals, Chennai, about a dozen cases of in-utero transmission were identified during 2020-21, the latest  being in May 2021 which had around 90% lung infection due to Covid.

        A four-day-old baby girl tested positive died of Meconium Aspiration Syndrome at Government Rajaji Hospital on August 2, 2020.  Her mother also tested positive.  Another nine new borns were treated  at the same hospital.  All this may just be the tip of the iceberg.
        As of 12th August, 2020,  100 Covid positive women gave birth to their babies at MGMGH, Trichy --  22 of them were normal deliveries, while 78 were of C-sections.  Two of these babies tested positive.  It was reported that more cases are being attended to at government hospitals as private hospitals are turning away patients fearing the virus infection.

            VERTICAL  TRANS-PLACENTAL transmission.  At least six published studies suggest this route of transmission.  A publication in Nature Communications (Daniele De Luca of Paris Saclay University, France, July 2020) has confirmatory evidence that the virus can infect a foetus through mother's blood via placenta.  Amniotic fluid positive.  Placental tissue positive.  Congenital SARS-CoV-2 infection. Cerebral vasculitis - white matter injury -  The newborn had neurological manifestations.  
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17436-6

 

Sasson Hospital in Pune, India and some hospitals in the US and France also reported similar cases of vertical transmission.  Vertical transmission is well-documented in HIV and ZIKA virus infections.

 

https://www.whattoexpect.com/news/pregnancy/coronavirus-during-pregnancy/


    A survey done abroad revealed that many couples now are either deciding to have pregnancy some time later or never to have children, due to the consequences of the pandemic.


https://qz.com/india/326402/cesarean-births-in-india-are-skyrocketing-and-there-is-reason-to-be-very-worried/

http://drtramaprasad.blogspot.com/2017/04/modern-medicine-good-bad-and-ugly_30.html


Second Wave' killed more pregnant women


        At the SVP Hospital in Ahmedabad, 13% (19 out of 148) of the Covid positive pregnant women admitted died during the 'Second Wave'.  Most of them had lung complications, sepsis, myocarditis and renal problems. The percentage was 0.3% (1 out of 359) during the 'First Wave'.   The same trend was observed in many other hospitals.


COST  and  CORONA


"COSTLY  CORONA:  Rs. 600 lakh ($1 million) hospital bill.  Yes, it's a costly disease.  They didn't overcharge.  In India it's much cheaper in private hospitals, and "free" in public hospitals.  The choice is there.  Spending by the hospitals varies from case to case.  Fixing "MRP" may only dilute the standards.  Of course, there are black sheep in all the fields."                                               --  T. Rama Prasad       











https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/blogs/jugglebandhi/hospital-hostages-thanks-to-coronavirus-one-sector-of-the-economy-is-making-mega-bucks-like-never-before/

From one point of view,  this looks like exploitation and profiteering.
Seen from another angle,  it looks like a struggle of the private hospitals for existence.https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/needed-a-transfusion-for-public-health-care/article31798593.eceand read under the sub-heading "POST-MORTEM of the LOCKDOWN" above.
Business crashed.  No passengers.  No patients.

One may hopefully think that these are isolated and aberrant cases occasionally occurring.  But if one goes through the following news it seems that it is so rampant that the issue is taken up by a court.




TEA  and  CORONA


STORM  in a  CORONA  TEACUP ...  2020

          While tea industry is grinding to a halt because of lockdowns around the world,  tea is making grand rounds on the Internet.   Social media flashed fake news about the benefits of tea in COVID-19.   One hurriedly published article (which was later removed)  in the WeChat account of Zhejiang CDC on Feb 26, 2020 claimed that drinking tea may help prevent COVID-19,  based on the flimsy evidence that tea inhibited proliferation of the virus in vitro (test tubes).  Added to this, is the circulating news that the whistleblower Chinese ophthalmologist, Dr. Li Wenliang  (who died of coronavirus) had documented evidence to support that tea has anti-coronavirus properties, and that tea was being given 3 times a day to patients in hospitals in China.  This is a big fat fake news.  Tea has a lot of exciting background.  To know more about TEA, read my article published in THE HINDU.  The link to the article is given below:
 http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/openpage/of-tea-coffee-and-commerce/article5567951.ece.

GUT  and  CORONA

Prevent transmission through stools.
               


THE  DEADLY  VIRUS. 
kissed  INDIA  on  30.1.2020
The first case was reported in Kerala in India on 30.01.2020 and the number had rose to 564 by 25.03.2020.   The first of the 1 deaths in India occurred on 10.03.2020 in Karnataka.  Initially, almost all the cases were in China. 
 Most airlines suspended many flights to China and other high-burdened countries
 – see the video  https://youtu.be/-bJHvK4Zb5o  Unprecedented – 41 million people in13 cities locked down in China – restricted transport, New Year festivities scrapped.  Hospital beds full .. To know more about this and some other viruses, read my ‘Scribblings’ at: 



KILLED  DOCTORS  and  MEDICAL  WORKERS  TOO

       Dr. Li Wenliang who posted early warnings of the presence of this virus on his social media group (considered to be an offence and punishable by the local authorities) died due to infection by the same virus !  Dr. Liu Zhiming, the Director of Wuhan Wuchang Hospital and an expert in Neurosurgery, died on February 11, 2020 due to this virus.  More than 1,700 medical workers were infected, and six of them died as on 20.02.2020.  Most medical staff in Wuhan are said to be infected by this virus.  In Italy, more than 100 doctors died of this disease.  More than this number of doctors (more than 200) died in India too.

          Infected doctors seem to have a 10-12% risk of mortality (10 times that of the general population -- CFR for doctors is 17%;  for the population, it is 1.7%, in India). This is due to exposure to a HIGHER VIRUS LOAD, which may lead to a 'cytokine storm'.  People, in general, are usually infected through air and contacts or fomites (infected surfaces).  Fomites have a lower virus load, and hence a lower mortality rate of about 2-3%. Doctors attending on the COVID-19 patients, pulmonologists, intensive care specialists anaesthetists and also the staff attending on these patients are at higher risk.  The nurses (20%) and sanitation staff (30%) seem to have a higher risk of mortality.


            Dr. J. N. Pande, aged 79, joined the premier institute, AIIMS, Delhi as an MBBS student and retired as HOD of Medicine of the same institution.  An eminent Pulmonologist, he was an embodiment of knowledge and humility.  He passed away in sleep on May 23, 2020.  He and his wife tested positive for COVID-19 a few days before the demise, and he had some co-morbid problems. RIP.          

It is recorded that about 400 doctors died due to COVID-19 in India up to September 2020., according to IMA.  The actual figure may be much higher.
This picture is made of numerous photos of numerous doctors and nurses who died of COVID-19.  Magnify the picture and see the small photos.

July 1, 2020 -- DOCTORS  DAY.   We doctors thank you all for the greetings.  We want to keep the "PATIENT  FIRST"  in our minds.  This is AC era (After Corona).  Patients are afraid of going to doctors.  Doctors are afraid of attending to patients.  'Fear Pandemic'  is worse than the 'Virus Pandemic'. 
 

Diamond Princess Cruise Ship with 3,600 passengers was quarantined in Japan.  356 of them were found to be p[ositive for this virus
Some cases across Europe were traced to a business meeting in Singapore attended by more than 90 foreigners in January 2020.  International fear has been growing with increased virus cases and deaths in countries outside China -- Middle East, South Korea, Italy, Iran, etc.

WHAT  IS  THIS  VIRUS  ABOUT  ?

We don't know much about this new Coronavirus which was informally known as 'CHINA / WUHAN coronavirus'.  Later, it was christened as SARS-CoV-2.  The World Health Organization (WHO)  coined the interim term '2019-nCoV acute respiratory disease' to describe the disease caused by this virus. Later, it was named as COVID-19.  This is the new highly contagious virus that is the cause of the ongoing and fast spreading 2019 - 2020 outbreak affecting badly some countries like USA, Spain, Italy and Britain.   As many early cases were linked to a large seafood and animal market, the virus is thought to have a zoonotic (animal) origin.  But, later experience indicates that it can spread from human to human by close contact such as exposure to coughing or sneezing within 6 feet.  Worryingly, one study indicated that the virus can thrive up to 3 hours in the air as an aerosol. And viruses mutate unpredictably.  Viral genomes are very diverse -- they can be DNA or RNA, single or double-stranded, linear or circular, may vary in length, number of DNA or RNA molecules may also vary.  COVID-19 is a single-stranded RNA type.  There are 5 types of clades circulating globally -- Type O, B, B1, A1a, A2a.  The Type O strain is the ancestral type (Wuhan strain) -- B type in England, B1 in the US and Singapore, A1a in Italy, A2a in India, mostly.  The ancestral type seems to be evolving into A2a in many countries.  Sequence diversity is a dynamic process.  We can only guess.  

MUTATIONS   
  
        The coronavirus keeps changing through mutations.  The SARS-CoV-2 that is present in India may not be the same as the one that caused the first case in China.  There are at least six identified strains of the virus in circulation across the globe.  They go on mutating.  Some are not effective and die out.  Some may become more virulent. While the G strain is the most common  (which dominated the earlier D strain after March 2020), some have vanished.  As in August 2020,  a swap between amino acids, identified as D and G, at position 614 in the code of the virus's spike protein produced a variant mutant called D614G which is currently the dominant strain  worldwide.   The strains present in the IUS are similar to those in Europe, perhaps due to the travel factor.  In Indioa, the first coronavirus was the L strain originating in Wuhan, which eventually mutated into the S and G strains and spread all over the country.  Due to closing of borders between States during the lockdown period, different types of mutations might have occured in different States.  The Malaysian case from Tamil Nadu raises the possibility of the D614G  strain being in Tamil Nadu.  A particular vaccine developed may or may not be very effective against a different mutant.  Some say that not giving a vaccine is better than giving a partially effective vaccine.  



As it is in August 2020, the D614G mutant  is the most predominant variant in some countries in Europe and the US, and is thought to be 10 times more infective than the original Wuhan-1 (SARS-CoV-2) strain.  The D614G mutation alters the spike protein, but not the critical 'receptor binding domain (RBD)' of the immunogenic part at the tip of the spike which binds to the ACE2 receptors on human cells.  This is some consolation. There is a report that a Malaysia hotel owner returned to Malaysia from Sivaganga in Tamil Nadu, India on  July 13, 2020 and infected  45 people in Malaysia out of which 3 had the D614G strain.  He breached his 14-day home quarantine, and was sentenced to five months in prison and a fine.  Though this strain may be more infectious, it may not have an impact on the ongoing vaccine development. Mutations are quite common, but cross-protection for mutants also is possible with 'old' vaccines. The information is patchy and needs to be updated.  People have to be more cautious in view of the spread of this mutant.  We don't know for sure the implications.  

.  Added to all this is the emergence of ‘variants’ and ‘mutants’ (VUI-202012/01, N501Y, 501.V2, B.1.1.7) in the UK, South Africa, Nigeria, etc. known to the public in December 2020. Will the vaccines that are rolling out would act against the variants ?  

HARMLESS MUTANTS are welcome, not D614G and other strains.  Doctor is afraid of seeing a patient.  Patient is afraid of being tested.  Everybody is afraid of quarantine, social stigma and sudden death. Employee is scared of going for work. Employer is worried about closure of his establishment if an employee tests positive. We are afraid of each other. For how long more ? -- August 2020

    We don't know how the virus came to France, but a study published in the International Journal of Microbial Agents indicates that an old sample of one patient (Mr. Amirouche Hammar) treated in December 2019 was positive for the coronavirus. He lived in France with no recent travel history.

" ... CORONA  FLOWERS: Physically, coronavirus, looks like a ball of sun with a circle of corona of spikes -- thus derives its name.  We identified 3 kinds of flowers which are 'lookalikes' of coronavirus -- (1) Haemanthus / Scadoxus multiflorus  (2)  Sphaeranthus indicus  (3)  Memecylon edule !!! -- Mrs. V.S. Rajyalakshmi, M Sc (Botany)  &  Dr. T. Rama Prasad. ..."






DATURA fruit looks like corona virus.


PETS  and  CORONA

After the initial event of the 'Wuhan meat and animal market' origin, there was no evidence of spread from animals to man. In late March 2020, a pet cat was found to be infected with this virus in Belgium.  In Hong Kong, two dogs tested positive. In April 2020, a four-year-old Malayan tiger in the New York-based  Bronx Zoo has tested positive for COVID-19. These four animals seem to have acquired the virus from humans. In Netherlands, one dog and three cats were found to be Corona positive.  Two dogs were found to be positive in the US.
May / June 2021:  Eight Covid-Positive Asiatic lions in Hyderabad (India) zoo recovered from the infection.  Nine lions tested positive at Arignar Anna Zoological Park near Chennai (India) out of which one lioness named Leela died of the Covid infection.
Russia had released a Covid vaccine for animals.
Pet parents who tested positive are a lot worried about their dog pets, especially when the parents are quarantined.  Who will look after their pets ?  In Chennai, some facilities like 'Dog House',  Petters' and 'Hotel for Dogs' are providing care for the furry pals of pet parents.  Life has been thrown out of whack by the coronavirus.  https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/life-style/spotlight/how-pet-boarding-facilities-are-helping-dog-parents-in-the-time-of-covid-19/articleshow/76862218.cms

At this time, there is no evidence that any animals, pets or livestock, play a significant role in spreading COVID-19 infection to people.


 


WHY  and  HOW  THE  NEW  VIRUSES  
EMERGE  ?

We don't exactly know.  Man's tinkering with 'Nature' ... deforestation ... pollution ... global warming ... climate change leading to mutations ... evolution -- originated in insects many million years ago and at some point of evolution developed the ability to infect other species ... insects, birds, bats, animals moving out from deep forests into human habitation due to environmental compulsions created by man ... vulnerability due to the emergence of modern bad lifestyle ...  

Perhaps, many viruses started their global journey from African rain forests, striking terror across the world. Some originated in China.  We have interfered too much with 'Nature', intruding into the forests and causing 'tropical biosphere devastation' leading to ecological imbalance which may be the cause for the emergence of new dangerous (Biosafety Level 4) microbes.  International travel promotes the spread of infections wide and fast.

Global warming may melt the polar icecaps / permafrost and bring out the hitherto 'sleeping' and frozen 'ancient' viruses as 'new' viruses !  we have changed the climate -- too much heat - drought, too much rain - floods, and so on. Warming temperatures favour growth of disease causing vectors such as mosquitoes and ticks which carry agents like Zika, Yellow Fever and Dengue viruses in places which were previously inhospitable to them. And, curiously, shifting weather patterns in warm and rain-fed areas may lead to 'intermingling' of different viruses inside mosquitoes to give birth to a hitherto unknown and untreatable pathogen. Floods in Kerala in 2018 caused Leptospirosis or Rat Fever across the State. Unusually heavy rains promoted bats and Ebola virus. Rodent populations multiply faster when drought forces predatory birds and animals to migrate in search of water and food, resulting in Hantavirus and other epidemics. Changes in climate and agricultural environment made African villagers consume more of ‘bushmeat’, such as bats suspected to be a CoV virus host, leading to Ebola virus outbreaks. The list is endless.  

Future is bleak -- The 7.3 billion world population is expected to bloat to around 10 billion by 2050;  more accommodation and more food would be needed;  deforestation; concrete jungles; bigger predators are either killed or migrate;  smaller creatures that host killer pathogens flourish; crowding and urbanisation;  bad lifestyle; diseases shine !!!

We may have to go back to 12,000 years ago, when our ancestors settled down at various locations alongside rivers and lived with agriculture and a few domestic animals.  We don't know whether those animals had viruses or not,  the animals and birds we brought in from deep jungles do have dangerous microbes.  Some of them are mentioned below.  The fashion is to talk about new diseases while ignoring old diseases which cause more economic damage and kill more number of people.  Tuberculosis (TB) is an example.  In February 2021, it is reported that the first case of H5N8 flu in humans was found in Russia.  H5N8 is a highly contagious avian (bird) influenza virus strain which is lethal to birds, but had never been reported to have spread to humans previously.

This virus has been catching headlines during January 2020. This is a 'novel' (new) virus identified in China in Wuhan City in December 2019 which belongs to the 'Coronavirus' family  which includes the deadly 'SARS virus', 'MERS virus' and the 'common cold virus' as well.  It was identified by 'sequencing the genome', a speedy and laudable research finding by China.  China shared the whole genome sequence with WHO and GISAID.  This virus causes respiratory and lung infections just as many other viruses.    Screening and quarantine in some airports is initiated.  Many countries have given travel advisory and warnings about this infection. This virus may snowball into epidemics, and may be into a pandemic.  According to the Global Health Security Index (October 2019), most countries are not prepared for the outbreaks of infections like this.  India ranks 57th among 100 countries. 

Some known new / dangerous microbes are: Marburg virus (MARV), Ravn (RAVV), Nipah virus, Japanese Encephalitis, Naegleria (brain-eating amoeba, Cryptococcosis, Hanta viruses, Hendra virus, Helminths virus, MERS-CoV, NDM-1, A/H1 N1 flu, SARS, Ebola, etc. There must be a number of unknown microbes infecting / killing people around the globe. We just can't diagnose these cases, and often give them wrong diagnostic labels.  Also of concern is the possibility of activity in re-engineering  and mutating contagious viruses for the purpose of biowarfare.  There are reports in media of a secret Chinese facility near Wuhan experimenting with germ studies.  Is this new coronavirus a fall out of a biowarfare gone awry ?  

The virus issue has become an international political issue too with tensions ratcheted up between Washington and Beijing as they trade barbs over the origin of the virus.



HARMLESS MUTANTS are welcome, not D614G strains.  Doctor is afraid of seeing a patient.  Patient is afraid of being tested.  Everybody is afraid of quarantine, social stigma and sudden death. Employee is scared of going for work. Employer is worried about closure of his establishment if an employee tests positive. We are afraid of each other. For how long more ? -- August 18, 2020

It is high time that we sit up and act to preserve ecology, biodiversity, environment and climate.  COVID-19 would have served its purpose if we learnt the importance of NATURE.  We claim to follow the writ of ancient India, but follow the modern materialistic philosophy. The ancient values and the contemporary political will have been replaced by GREED.

ECONOMIC  DISASTERS

Aside the loss of life,  there has been a staggering economic loss.  In August 2020, U.K.crashed into its largest recession on record, first time in 11 years -- contracting by a record of 20.4% in the second quarter owing to Covid-19 lockdown.
   On 02.02.2020, the headlines  in media were of the longest (160 minutes) Budget Speech by the Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman and the debates on national economics.  All these would pale into insignificance if the 2019-nCoV strikes hard on India. China incurred a loss of $18 billion due to SARS virus in 2002.  With 41 million people in the 'lockdown' state, China is poised to lose a staggering hundreds of billions of dollars, according to an estimate !  Zika virus outbreaks cost Latin America and Caribbean $18 billion in 2017;  to control the Ebola virus epidemic $5 billion were required in West Africa in 2014;  a swift penetration of a viral respiratory disease in the world can wipe out more than10% of the world's economy and kill millions of people !  India may initially lose more than Rs.4 lakh crore or roughly twice the national agriculture budget of 2019-20 !!!  International tourism industry could shrink by 70% with a loss of $1.2 trillion !

It is reported that China is also having the problem to deal with another virus disease outbreak -- a "highly pathogenic" strain of Birdflu or H5N1.

March 2020:  1. Flight - Mumbai to Singapore - the 256-seater plane had just 25 passengers !   2. Flight - Mumbai to London return ticket -Rs. 80,000 ticket was just for 46,000 !

 There was only one passenger on the American Airlines flight 4511 from Washington Reagan National Airport to New Orleans on April 3, 2020 !
May 19, 2020:   Japan, world's 3rd-largest economy, falls into a recession for the first time since 2015.










The "CHINA VIRUS" is still (Mar 2020) wreaking havoc in China.  Perhaps, their products made for home consumption may be of lasting quality !  Yes, they have the capability to produce cheap quality firecrackers and sophisticated space rockets as well.  Otherwise, how could they build a 1,000-bed hospital in nine days for Coronavirus patients ?  Kudos to China.

(These humorous lines were written at the beginning of the pandemic in India.  Now, 8 months later, we have to accept that this virus is of HIGH QUALITY !!!)

CORONA FESTIVAL is a year-long celebration. Next one in 2025--once in 5 years.  After an intensive study, psychiatrists found that most of the diseases and deaths during the past 100 years were due to STRESS, and they suggested a long holiday to unwind.  
The 'International Psychiatrists Academy' & the 'World Health Association' recommended the festival !  Enjoy until Dec 2020.        --  T. Rama Prasad. Sept 2020.

FAKE  INFORMATION

      No other disease had generated so much of fake news, rumours and misinformation than Coronavirus COVID-19.  Honestly speaking, we don't have much of proven facts about this disease.  This is the exact reason for the great bulk of misinformation about it on the Internet.  While the scientific world is struggling to find facts about this new virus, innumerable preventive and curative suggestions are made with no scientific proof.  Millions of dollars are being spent on products of unproved efficacy.  During the past one month, you would have seen innumerable suggestions of "eat this" and "don't eat this" on the Net.  Tall claims were made by alternative systems of medicine, though with no verifiable scientific proof.  Many of the suggested food items or medicinal supplements may, of course,  boost immunity in a general way -- but nothing very specific to this virus.  And some of the misinformation lead to a needless scare about certain things like newspapers, chicken, etc.  And it also promoted some drugs, vitamins, minerals, cow's urine, tea, bananas, etc. as preventive agents against COVID-19.



If you think newspapers carry the virus, it's better you go to Arctic and live in an igloo ! Theoretically, anything may carry the virus. It's the quantum of 'viral load' that's more important. Let's not dream to be in Utopia.  Let's develop a sense of proportion.  In our panic mood, we are doing so many things like rejecting broiler chicken, washing people with sodium hypochlorite solution, pushing them through 'disinfectant tunnels', and drinking cow urine.




SOOTHSAYERS  and  AUGURS

And curiously a lot of material has appeared on the Internet of predictions and prophecies -- Nostradamus, Sylvia Browne, et al.  They continue to arouse people's imagination to make one convinced of the link between this global epidemic and the predictions made long long ago.  Due to uncertainties and vicissitudes in life,  man hobbles through the life with the help of the crutches of the unseen and unbelievable.  A lot of predictions about corona devastation have come up.  You may be interested to read what is quoted in the newspaper clipping attached above.


OPTIMISM


Don't be scared, my dear friends.  It's not all doom and gloom.  New diseases periodically make sensational headlines though they may not cause as much harm as the existing ones.  The sensation with the coronavirus is the speed with which it demolished the defence of the sophisticated West. The fashion is to talk about new diseases while ignoring the old diseases which cause more economic damage in the long term and kill more number of people. Tuberculosis (TB) is an example. In the laid-back India, 1,000 persons are dying every day due to TB.  And now, the most dangerous drug-resistant TB, the XDR-TB (resistant to almost all the available drugs) is emerging. God, save us !   I wrote 43 years ago (Apr. 28, 1977) in THE HINDU that "development of drug resistance, which is a result of inadequate and irregular treatment mostly, has far-reaching implications and if unchecked would make tuberculosis totally unmanageable by the present methods in course of time, whatever be the means."

          When are we going to eradicate this new virus ?  Perhaps, we may not be able to do.  Like H1N1 virus and TB this also may become an uninvited permanent guest. The mortality due to H1N1 (swine flu) virus over the past several years has been still high in India.   1,218 people died in 2019 in India due to swine flu.  About 20,000 people die every day in India due to various diseases -- 5,000 due to heart disease, 2,000 due to brain disease.     And, 1,000 people are dying everyday in India due to Tuberculosis (TB) which is still the world's single most lethal infectious disease, killing 1.5 million worldwide (2018), 220,000 of whom were in India (and 27%of them are drug resistant). Click on:                                   

  https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/open-page/a-bad-patch/article31069356.ece

 About 770,000 die of AIDS and related illnesses, and 1.35 million die of road accidents every year around the world.  Every year around 5 lakhs of people die in the world due to 'flu' (seasonal influenza) viruses, around a thousand a day. ... When we get used to the trouble they give chronically, we tend not to think much about them.  Our brain gets set to take them as normal.  

Don't get panicked about Miss Corona who killed only around 100,000 in the whole world so far (10.04.2020),  but the fear of an invisible enemy in the very air that we breathe is primal.  It is  the nature's way of balancing life on the planet.  Move on, my dear ones !
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If you wish to have more detailed and categorised information on COVID-19, as in

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Just see what I wrote in January 2020:

As on 22.01.2020 … The CHINA VIRUS is fuelling fears of a major outbreak as millions travel for the LUNAR NEW YEAR holiday which begins later this week in China,  as this virus is related to the deadly SARS virus which killed about 650 people across mainland China and Hong Kong in 2002 - 2003. One more person has died (third person).  Now, it looks like it may be transmitted from human to human.  Fourteen medical personnel helping the victims of this virus were also infected.   Wuhan city in China has 11 million inhabitants and serves as a major transport hub.  They are all at greater risk and may transmit the virus to other countries.  Some international airports in India are already screening the passengers with thermal scanners.  We have to wait and see how the scenario unfolds over the next few weeks.
                                                --  T. Rama Prasad

                                               
As on 24.01.2020 … The death toll has alarmingly increased to 26 in China.  Korea, US, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore & Vietnam also identified cases.  The total number of cases reported has quickly rose to 834, raising concerns in the middle of a major holiday travel rush of hundreds of millions of people cris-crossing China to celebrate the Lunar New Year.  WHO is considering to declare the situation as a 'Public Health Emergency of International Concern'.  This 'China virus' is coded as '2019-nCoV-218'.  Nations across the Asia-Pacific region stepped up checks of passengers at airports.  --  T. Rama Prasad.

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          As on 10.04.2020, it is heartening to see that the government and the people are coming together to fight the monumental and formidable public health crisis through a 'LOCKDOWN'.  But, India is highly vulnerable to an outbreak, given its large population and the creaky health infrastructure.  There are critical weaknesses in India's health care system that may prevent a credible response to our efforts to contain  COVID-19.  NATURE is great.  Let's hope for the best with our NATURAL INDIAN  IMMUNITY  AND   SOLIDARITY.

God, bless us all ! 

That's what I wrote on 10.04.2020.  Now, as on 05.08.2020,  read the "letter" by Charles Darwin which is "reprinted" in the first few pages.

         
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-- Dr. T. Rama Prasad,  www.rama-scribbles.com
PAY WHAT YOU CAN  Clinic,  Perundurai.

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3 comments:

  1. Sir, Corona virus Covid 19 is not To be blamed at all. Mankind is just being too foolish to intrude into safe zones of viruses, fungi and deadly microbes, that are in animals, protected by Nature. Man cannot play with Mother Nature. Nature always punishes and wins every time humanity acts stupidly. Thanks for your humorous write. 

    Reply
  2. Learnt a lot....I wish to request you my dear Doctor the virus vs salt....what is the base for virus ...any element ....I develop halophilic bacteria in salinity of 24% sea water 3.5% to develop metabolic heat to evaporate sea water..by developing pigments ....I have to sit again read your article yet seeking some information on virus vs salt...Regards 
    Rahman 

    Reply
  3. One of the best articles I have read on this theme and having balance, measure and proportion. Miss Corona in hindsight is really kind and benign in a sense - Nature has rolled a dice with fatality of 2-3%. She is under no obligation not to roll a dice of fatality 40,50,60% with Mr. Corona being "size zero" and "air-borne". Consider what would have happened ? 

    Dr. Prasad is one of the few doctors whom I know who fall into the rare category of "healers". A healer knows the art, science and commerce of healing, i.e. allowing the innate immunity of the body to manifest itself. 

    One should be very careful and critical about three things in the world : Big Pharma, Big Government, Big Science. In the proverbial Kali-Yuga, all three converge with overlapped agendas and sometimes not with the best interest in mind of the end users : patients, citizens, learners. 

    Finally, this pandemic will also pass. The system will come to a new equilibrium. But I think a whole generation will carry this impression forward and may become saner with this. 

    I nurture another hope : just like pivotal events propel a whole generation (Apollo Mission and interest in space science), this may inspire many young Indians to shift their focus into public healthcare, virology, immunology, public immunity, psychological counseling and learning the art and science of healing. 

    Again, it was very nice to find an article of this time in the avalanche of printed words in this theme. 

    Continue your good work.